Crafts · The 2021 Vertigo Collection
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The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Shadow Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1708921 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +25 767.68₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 70 071.12₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 95 838.80₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +36.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 183 969.84₽ · profit at most −88 131.04₽ (at most -47.9%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) × 9 22% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 69396.21 → 182512.03 ₽
G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn) × 1 22% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 674.91 → 1457.81 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −69 481 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −69 481 ₽: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Field-Tested)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Shadow Collection
+25 767.68 ₽ +36.8% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Field-Tested) · 105 831.57 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −69 481 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.2004
  • 1× G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn) buy 0.3800–0.3953
Variant 2 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+8 547.50 ₽ +37.2% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) · 102 412.00 ₽ · chance 20%
marketplace price sells slowly 40% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 2× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1640
  • 8× G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1640
Variant 3 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+5 456.29 ₽ +25.8% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) · 102 412.00 ₽ · chance 20%
marketplace price float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1699
  • 8× Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
Variant 4 The Fracture Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+4 910.75 ₽ +24.5% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) · 102 412.00 ₽ · chance 20%
marketplace price rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1626
  • 1× M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1626
  • 7× XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+4 289.52 ₽ +19.7% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) · 102 412.00 ₽ · chance 20%
marketplace price rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1686
  • 2× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764
  • 6× P250 | Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+4 123.89 ₽ +17.9% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) · 102 412.00 ₽ · chance 20%
marketplace price sells slowly 40% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 1× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
  • 7× AWP | Duality (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

22% of lots fit collecting: no data

Price understated: only 22% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×9
Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.2004
69 396.21 ₽
at 7 710.69
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.200440f′ (normalized) 0.373413wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 9 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
×1
G3SG1 | Flux
Well-Worn
buy 0.3800–0.3953
674.91 ₽
at 674.91
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.395351f′ (normalized) 0.439279wear 0.3800–0.4500on the market 18
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 70 071.12 ₽ +25 767.68 (+36.8%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.379999900 result 0.304000, 0.380000, 0.380000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 3 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
M4A1-S | Imminent Danger
Field-Tested
121 706.30 ₽ 90.00%
price without deals
Steam M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Field-Tested)net 105831.57 you get 0.304000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 61 611.43 ₽ (you get 53 575.15)) · buy orders: 218 sell on Market.CSGO: 53 801.61 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 58 993.00 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 50 262.47 ₽ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 59 153.78 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 55 906.48 ₽ listings: 27
at a loss
worst
M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Field-Tested
6 596.68 ₽ 5.00%
Steam M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Field-Tested)net 5736.24 you get 0.380000The Shadow Collection sells 74 a week sell now to a buy order: 6 298.75 ₽ (you get 5 477.17)) · buy orders: 2808 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 742.40 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 200.00 · lots 75 on CSFloat: from 4 824.27 ₽ listings: 319 on CS.Money: ~ 5 280.82 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 148.91 ₽ listings: 196
at a loss
USP-S | Kill Confirmed
Field-Tested
6 982.31 ₽ 5.00%
Steam USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested)net 6071.57 you get 0.380000The Shadow Collection sells 67 a week sell now to a buy order: 6 848.58 ₽ (you get 5 955.28)) · buy orders: 1438 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 380.80 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 900.00 · lots 63 on CSFloat: from 5 165.18 ₽ listings: 340 on CS.Money: ~ 5 743.38 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 763.93 ₽ listings: 142
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