Crafts · The 2021 Vertigo Collection
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The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1709177 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +19 797.95₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 67 378.84₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 87 176.79₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +29.4%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 80%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 172 347.73₽ · profit at most −85 170.94₽ (at most -49.4%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 61685.52 → 159765.50 ₽
P250 | Mehndi (Factory New) × 2 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 5693.32 → 12582.24 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −67 379 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −67 379 ₽: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Field-Tested), M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested), Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Minimal Wear)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection
+19 797.95 ₽ +29.4% chance of profit 80%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Field-Tested) · 105 831.57 ₽ · chance 80%
profit on prices without salesat least −67 379 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 8× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1649
  • 2× P250 | Mehndi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
Variant 2 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection
+8 547.50 ₽ +37.2% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) · 102 412.00 ₽ · chance 20%
marketplace price sells slowly 40% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 2× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1640
  • 8× G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1640
Variant 3 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection
+5 456.29 ₽ +25.8% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) · 102 412.00 ₽ · chance 20%
marketplace price float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1699
  • 8× Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
Variant 4 The Fracture Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection
+4 910.75 ₽ +24.5% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) · 102 412.00 ₽ · chance 20%
marketplace price rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1626
  • 1× M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1626
  • 7× XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection
+4 289.52 ₽ +19.7% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) · 102 412.00 ₽ · chance 20%
marketplace price rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1686
  • 2× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764
  • 6× P250 | Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection
+4 123.89 ₽ +17.9% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) · 102 412.00 ₽ · chance 20%
marketplace price sells slowly 40% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 1× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
  • 7× AWP | Duality (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×8
Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1649
61 685.52 ₽
at 7 710.69
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164909f′ (normalized) 0.303743wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 9 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
×2
P250 | Mehndi
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0045
5 693.32 ₽
at 2 846.66
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004537f′ (normalized) 0.004537wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 27 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 111 130.27 ₽
Set · 10 pcs 67 378.84 ₽ +19 797.95 (+29.4%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.243902339 result 0.195122, 0.380000, 0.097561 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 3 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 80%
  • Losing outcome 20%
in profit
best
M4A1-S | Imminent Danger
Field-Tested
121 706.30 ₽ 80.00%
price without deals
Steam M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Field-Tested)net 105831.57 you get 0.195122
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 61 611.43 ₽ (you get 53 575.15)) · buy orders: 218 sell on Market.CSGO: 53 801.61 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 58 993.00 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 50 262.47 ₽ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 59 153.78 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 55 906.48 ₽ listings: 27
at a loss
M4A4 | Asiimov
Field-Tested
22 164.94 ₽ 10.00%
price without deals
Steam M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested)net 19273.86 you get 0.380000The Winter Offensive Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 21 454.18 ₽ (you get 18 655.80)) · buy orders: 1629 sell on Market.CSGO: 15 361.68 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 16 843.95 · lots 39 on CSFloat: from 14 476.22 ₽ listings: 283 on CS.Money: ~ 15 430.45 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 14 965.33 ₽ listings: 255
at a loss
worst
Sawed-Off | The Kraken
Minimal Wear
6 717.74 ₽ 10.00%
price without deals price cut
Steam Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Minimal Wear)net 5841.51 you get 0.097561The Winter Offensive Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 9 063.30 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 7 975.99 ₽ (you get 6 935.64)) · buy orders: 1807 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 505.26 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 132.97 · lots 15 on CSFloat: from 6 293.30 ₽ listings: 29 on CS.Money: ~ 6 504.88 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 6 356.69 ₽ listings: 40
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