Restricted → Classified
About the craftCraft 1710119 · ways to build: 2The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+3 062.72₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».17 292.52₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.20 355.24₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+17.7%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.55%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 42 745.50₴
· profit at most −22 390.26₴
(at most -52.4%) · chance of profit at most 0%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
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The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear) × 111% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.161032.41 → 2230.00 ₴
Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) × 811% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.5912543.41 → 32487.43 ₴
Desert Eagle | Pilot (Well-Worn) × 111% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.163716.70 → 8028.07 ₴
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
profit on prices without salesIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −13 774 ₴Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −13 774 ₴: AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New), P90 | Run and Hide (Factory New)
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Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 1.
They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 10.0% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -456.20 ₴.
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
profit on prices without salesat least −13 774 ₴marketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
1× Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear)buy0.0700–0.0788
8× Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New)buy0.0000–0.0077
1× Desert Eagle | Pilot (Well-Worn)buy0.3800–0.3877
Variant 2The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Baggage Collection
profit on prices without salesat least −10 389 ₴rare inputsThe rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
4× Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear)buy0.0700–0.0740
4× Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New)buy0.0000–0.0035
2× Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New)buy0.0000–0.0035
How to build
Ways to build
2 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
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11% of lots fitcollecting: no data
Price understated: only 11% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0788
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
1 032.41 ₴
at 1 032.41
souvenirSteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.078816f′ (normalized) 0.175146wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 22 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×8
Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0077
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
12 543.41 ₴
at 1 567.93
souvenirSteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007714f′ (normalized) 0.017142wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 29 · good ≈ 0
Set · 10 pcs17 292.52 ₴
+3 062.72
(+17.7%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900all outcomes come out at 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
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profit on prices without salesat least −14 273 ₴
!
11% of lots fitcollecting: no data
Price understated: only 11% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×8
Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0077
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
12 543.41 ₴
at 1 567.93
souvenirSteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007704f′ (normalized) 0.017122wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 29 · good ≈ 0
buy0.1500–0.1753
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
5 050.47 ₴
at 5 050.47
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.175316f′ (normalized) 0.175316wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 18 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs21 310.58 ₴
+692.89
(+3.2%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900all outcomes come out at 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
3 outcomes
Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%
in profit
AK-47 | Panthera onca
Factory New
27 306.31 ₴45.00%
price without deals
SteamAK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New)net 23744.62you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 21 370.35 ₴
(you get 18 582.91)) · buy orders: 651
at a loss
worst
P90 | Run and Hide
Factory New
15 719.82 ₴45.00%
price without deals
SteamP90 | Run and Hide (Factory New)net 13669.41you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 10 073.88 ₴
(you get 8 759.89)) · buy orders: 706
in profit
best
AK-47 | Jet Set
Factory New
35 907.47 ₴10.00%
sell on CSFloat
SteamAK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New)net 35189.32you get 0.070000The Baggage Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 35 907.47 ₴listings 13 · you get 35 189.32 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+556.08 ₴a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+1 778.05 ₴historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ancient Collection and The Baggage Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
