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The Ancient Collection + The Genesis Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +4 476.94₴

Invest 10 747.18₴

Average return 15 224.12₴

ROI +41.7%

Chance of profit 80%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 25 363.47₴ · profit at most −10 139.35₴ (at most -40.0%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear) × 4 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 4129.64 → 9766.59 ₴

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) × 4 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 6271.70 → 14832.58 ₴

Nova | Ocular (Factory New) × 2 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 345.84 → 764.30 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −10 573 ₴

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Ancient Collection + The Genesis Collection

+4 476.94 ₴ +41.7% chance of profit 80%

expensive: AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New) · 23 744.62 ₴ · chance 40%

profit on prices without salesat least −10 573 ₴

4× Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
4× Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
2× Nova | Ocular (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Ancient Collection

+1 250.60 ₴ +54.0% chance of profit 30%

expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 9 387.45 ₴ · chance 30%

sells slowly

1× Nova | Ocular (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041

Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Ancient Collection

+1 123.13 ₴ +43.2% chance of profit 90%

expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 4 140.99 ₴ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× Nova | Ocular (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770

Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Ancient Collection

+894.99 ₴ +61.8% chance of profit 30%

expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 6 651.70 ₴ · chance 30%

sells slowly

1× UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750
2× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1643
7× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1643

Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Ancient Collection

+801.29 ₴ +40.8% chance of profit 90%

expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 2 929.77 ₴ · chance 90%

rare inputs

1× Nova | Ocular (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0753
3× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046

Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Ancient Collection

+676.15 ₴ +39.0% chance of profit 70%

expensive: AWP | Crakow! (Factory New) · 3 759.17 ₴ · chance 35%

sells slowly

1× UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748
2× Nova | Ocular (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
7× AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

4 129.64 ₴

at 1 032.41

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

6 271.70 ₴

at 1 567.93

souvenirSteam

×2

Nova | Ocular

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

345.84 ₴

at 172.92

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10 747.18 ₴ +4 476.94 (+41.7%)

profit on prices without sales at least −2 328 ₴

11% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 11% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0791

2 064.82 ₴

at 1 032.41

souvenirSteam

×4

UMP-45 | Continuum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0791

269.00 ₴

at 67.25

Steam

×4

Nova | Ocular

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0079

691.67 ₴

at 172.92

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 025.49 ₴ +1 749.96 (+57.8%)

profit on prices without sales at least −3 486 ₴

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

3 097.23 ₴

at 1 032.41

souvenirSteam

×2

UMP-45 | Continuum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

134.50 ₴

at 67.25

Steam

×5

Nova | Ocular

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

864.59 ₴

at 172.92

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 096.32 ₴ +2 420.57 (+59.1%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 20%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Panthera onca

Factory New

27 306.31 ₴ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P90 | Run and Hide

Factory New

15 719.82 ₴ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Ice Coaled

Factory New

1 510.46 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Factory New

1 450.04 ₴ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Smoking Kills

Factory New

1 498.80 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 216.81 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3 320.62 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ancient Collection and The Genesis Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 16 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1710824 · The Ancient Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 4 614.97₴ · invest 11 161.54₴
profit on prices without salesat least −10 888 ₴ rare inputs

MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ocular (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074057 instead of 0.074223; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003550 instead of 0.003695
Craft 1710335 · The Ancient Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 4 576.24₴ · invest 10 556.97₴
profit on prices without salesat least −10 389 ₴ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ocular (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074057 instead of 0.074223; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003550 instead of 0.003695
Craft 1710352 · The Ancient Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 4 575.04₴ · invest 10 698.68₴
profit on prices without salesat least −10 584 ₴ rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ocular (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074093 instead of 0.074223; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003581 instead of 0.003695
Craft 1710668 · The Ancient Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 4 560.96₴ · invest 10 990.60₴
profit on prices without salesat least −10 405 ₴ rare inputs

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ocular (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074034 instead of 0.074223; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003530 instead of 0.003695
Craft 1710762 · The Ancient Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 4 548.46₴ · invest 10 572.73₴
profit on prices without salesat least −10 524 ₴ rare inputs

Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ocular (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074017 instead of 0.074223; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003515 instead of 0.003695
Craft 1710270 · The Ancient Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 4 518.24₴ · invest 10 596.47₴
profit on prices without salesat least −10 447 ₴ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ocular (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074017 instead of 0.074223; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003515 instead of 0.003695
Craft 1710166 · The Ancient Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 4 516.24₴ · invest 10 722.64₴
profit on prices without salesat least −10 449 ₴ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ocular (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074034 instead of 0.074223; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003530 instead of 0.003695
Craft 1710675 · The Ancient Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 4 515.53₴ · invest 10 544.84₴
profit on prices without salesat least −10 450 ₴ rare inputs

M249 | Downtown (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ocular (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074017 instead of 0.074223; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003515 instead of 0.003695
Craft 1710191 · The Ancient Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 4 514.56₴ · invest 10 655.91₴
profit on prices without salesat least −10 603 ₴ rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ocular (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074093 instead of 0.074223; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003581 instead of 0.003695
Craft 1710796 · The Ancient Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 4 488.95₴ · invest 10 816.37₴
profit on prices without salesat least −10 477 ₴ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ocular (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074042 instead of 0.074223; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003537 instead of 0.003695
Craft 1710280 · The Ancient Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 4 473.78₴ · invest 10 799.66₴
profit on prices without salesat least −10 560 ₴ rare inputs

MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ocular (Factory New)
Craft 1710343 · The Ancient Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 4 473.16₴ · invest 10 580.55₴
profit on prices without salesat least −10 492 ₴ rare inputs

MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ocular (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074125 instead of 0.074223; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003609 instead of 0.003695
Craft 1710585 · The Ancient Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 4 451.48₴ · invest 11 092.03₴
profit on prices without salesat least −10 514 ₴ rare inputs

XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ocular (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074093 instead of 0.074223; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003581 instead of 0.003695
Craft 1710693 · The Ancient Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 4 436.87₴ · invest 10 799.61₴
profit on prices without salesat least −10 604 ₴ rare inputs

XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ocular (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074017 instead of 0.074223; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003515 instead of 0.003695
Craft 1710625 · The Ancient Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 4 431.21₴ · invest 10 698.97₴
profit on prices without salesat least −10 534 ₴ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ocular (Factory New)
Craft 1710229 · The Ancient Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 4 396.21₴ · invest 10 746.29₴
profit on prices without salesat least −10 649 ₴ rare inputs

XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ocular (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074093 instead of 0.074223; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003581 instead of 0.003695

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ancient Collection + The Genesis Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build