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The Ancient Collection + The Radiant Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +101.62$

Invest 244.87$

Average return 346.48$

ROI +41.5%

Chance of profit 80%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 577.07$ · profit at most −230.59$ (at most -40.0%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear) × 4 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 92.01 → 217.59 $

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) × 4 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 139.73 → 330.46 $

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) × 2 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 13.13 → 29.01 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −232 $

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Ancient Collection + The Radiant Collection

+101.62 $ +41.5% chance of profit 80%

expensive: AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New) · 529.02 $ · chance 40%

profit on prices without salesat least −232 $

4× Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
4× Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
2× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Ancient Collection

+25.96 $ +42.8% chance of profit 100%

expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 92.26 $ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767

Variant 3 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Ancient Collection

+20.58 $ +70.3% chance of profit 83%

expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 65.27 $ · chance 50%

sells slowly

1× USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
4× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
5× UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035

Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The Ancient Collection

+19.15 $ +46.8% chance of profit 90%

expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 65.27 $ · chance 90%

6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
3× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
1× MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) buy 0.2100–0.2193

Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Ancient Collection

+18.85 $ +40.3% chance of profit 93%

expensive: Tec-9 | Decimator (Factory New) · 128.71 $ · chance 6.7%

rare inputs

4× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
4× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
1× P2000 | Obsidian (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1618
1 more

Variant 6 only The Radiant Collection

+18.79 $ +40.4% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 65.27 $ · chance 100%

6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0751
4× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

92.01 $

at 23.00

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

139.73 $

at 34.93

souvenirSteam

×2

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

13.13 $

at 6.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 244.87 $ +101.62 (+41.5%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 20%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Panthera onca

Factory New

608.37 $ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P90 | Run and Hide

Factory New

350.23 $ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge

Factory New

75.06 $ 20.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +50.68 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +75.63 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ancient Collection and The Radiant Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 16 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1710824 · The Ancient Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 102.82$ · invest 248.67$
profit on prices without salesat least −243 $ rare inputs

MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074057 instead of 0.074034; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003550 instead of 0.003530
Craft 1710335 · The Ancient Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 101.96$ · invest 235.20$
profit on prices without salesat least −231 $ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074057 instead of 0.074034; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003550 instead of 0.003530
Craft 1710352 · The Ancient Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 101.93$ · invest 238.36$
profit on prices without salesat least −236 $ rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074093 instead of 0.074034; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003581 instead of 0.003530
Craft 1710762 · The Ancient Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 101.34$ · invest 235.56$
profit on prices without salesat least −234 $ rare inputs

Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074017 instead of 0.074034; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003515 instead of 0.003530
Craft 1710270 · The Ancient Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 100.66$ · invest 236.08$
profit on prices without salesat least −233 $ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074017 instead of 0.074034; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003515 instead of 0.003530
Craft 1710166 · The Ancient Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 100.62$ · invest 238.90$
profit on prices without salesat least −233 $ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New)
Craft 1710675 · The Ancient Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 100.60$ · invest 234.93$
profit on prices without salesat least −233 $ rare inputs

M249 | Downtown (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074017 instead of 0.074034; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003515 instead of 0.003530
Craft 1710191 · The Ancient Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 100.58$ · invest 237.41$
profit on prices without salesat least −236 $ rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074093 instead of 0.074034; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003581 instead of 0.003530
Craft 1710796 · The Ancient Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 100.01$ · invest 240.98$
profit on prices without salesat least −233 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074042 instead of 0.074034; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003537 instead of 0.003530
Craft 1710380 · The Ancient Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 99.74$ · invest 239.44$
profit on prices without salesat least −236 $ rare inputs

Nova | Ocular (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074223 instead of 0.074034; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003695 instead of 0.003530
Craft 1710280 · The Ancient Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 99.67$ · invest 240.61$
profit on prices without salesat least −235 $ rare inputs

MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074223 instead of 0.074034; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003695 instead of 0.003530
Craft 1710343 · The Ancient Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 99.66$ · invest 235.73$
profit on prices without salesat least −234 $ rare inputs

MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074125 instead of 0.074034; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003609 instead of 0.003530
Craft 1710585 · The Ancient Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 99.18$ · invest 247.12$
profit on prices without salesat least −234 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074093 instead of 0.074034; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003581 instead of 0.003530
Craft 1710693 · The Ancient Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 98.85$ · invest 240.61$
profit on prices without salesat least −236 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074017 instead of 0.074034; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003515 instead of 0.003530
Craft 1710625 · The Ancient Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 98.73$ · invest 238.37$
profit on prices without salesat least −235 $ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074223 instead of 0.074034; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003695 instead of 0.003530
Craft 1710229 · The Ancient Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 97.95$ · invest 239.42$
profit on prices without salesat least −237 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074093 instead of 0.074034; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003581 instead of 0.003530

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ancient Collection + The Radiant Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build