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The Ancient Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +7 753.57₽

Invest 25 314.37₽

Average return 33 067.94₽

ROI +30.6%

Chance of profit 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 61 553.87₽ · profit at most −28 485.92₽ (at most -46.3%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear) × 3 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 5910.81 → 13358.43 ₽

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) × 6 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 17953.56 → 45063.44 ₽

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 1450.00 → 3132.00 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −24 377 ₽

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Ancient Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

+7 753.57 ₽ +30.6% chance of profit 90%

expensive: AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New) · 45 314.68 ₽ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −24 377 ₽

3× Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750
6× Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
1× Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1644

Variant 2 The Overpass Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

+12 441.45 ₽ +49.1% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New) · 45 314.68 ₽ · chance 30%

profit on prices without salesat least −25 328 ₽

6× Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0068
4× Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1725

Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Ancient Collection

+9 956.14 ₽ +57.5% chance of profit 50%

expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 55 811.32 ₽ · chance 25%

profit on prices without salesat least −16 067 ₽

5× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
5× P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038

Variant 4 only The Ancient Collection

+8 844.19 ₽ +32.9% chance of profit 50%

expensive: AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New) · 45 314.68 ₽ · chance 50%

profit on prices without salesat least −26 857 ₽

3× Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0815
7× Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0100

Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

+8 807.31 ₽ +41.3% chance of profit 80%

expensive: AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New) · 45 314.68 ₽ · chance 40%

profit on prices without salesat least −20 779 ₽

4× Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
4× Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
2× MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035

Variant 6 The Fever Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

+8 733.39 ₽ +43.3% chance of profit 80%

expensive: AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New) · 45 314.68 ₽ · chance 40%

profit on prices without salesat least −19 827 ₽

4× Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
4× Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
2× Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

5 910.81 ₽

at 1 970.27

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

17 953.56 ₽

at 2 992.26

souvenirSteam

×1

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

1 450.00 ₽

at 1 450.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 25 314.37 ₽ +7 753.57 (+30.6%)

profit on prices without sales at least −19 882 ₽

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

3 940.54 ₽

at 1 970.27

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

11 969.04 ₽

at 2 992.26

souvenirSteam

×2

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

2 900.00 ₽

at 1 450.00

Steam

×2

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

4 820.88 ₽

at 2 410.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 23 630.46 ₽ +1 538.86 (+6.5%)

profit on prices without sales at least −22 858 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

5 910.81 ₽

at 1 970.27

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

14 961.30 ₽

at 2 992.26

souvenirSteam

×1

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

1 450.00 ₽

at 1 450.00

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

2 410.44 ₽

at 2 410.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24 732.55 ₽ +5 702.52 (+23.1%)

profit on prices without sales at least −21 339 ₽

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

5 910.81 ₽

at 1 970.27

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

11 969.04 ₽

at 2 992.26

souvenirSteam

×1

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

1 450.00 ₽

at 1 450.00

Steam

×2

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

4 820.88 ₽

at 2 410.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24 150.73 ₽ +3 651.47 (+15.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 45%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Panthera onca

Factory New

52 111.88 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

P90 | Run and Hide

Factory New

30 000.00 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Red Laminate

Minimal Wear

10 473.31 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | BOOM

Minimal Wear

11 082.47 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 804.49 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5 212.17 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ancient Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1710173 · The Ancient Collection + The Bravo Collection · profit 7 683.46₽ · invest 25 613.92₽
profit on prices without salesat least −24 810 ₽ rare inputs

MAC-10 | Graven (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested)
Craft 1710562 · The Ancient Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 7 654.67₽ · invest 25 933.16₽
profit on prices without salesat least −25 573 ₽ rare inputs

SSG 08 | Death's Head (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074734 instead of 0.075027; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.004142 instead of 0.004399

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ancient Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build