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The Arabesque Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +59 303.69₸

Invest 184 906.43₸

Average return 244 210.12₸

ROI +32.1%

Chance of profit 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 483 666.51₸ · profit at most −239 456.39₸ (at most -49.5%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear) × 9 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 179294.97 → 471545.78 ₸

UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 5611.45 → 12120.74 ₸

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −182 414 ₸

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Arabesque Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

+59 303.69 ₸ +32.1% chance of profit 90%

expensive: AK-47 | Consequence of the Jinn (Factory New) · 298 802.85 ₸ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −182 414 ₸

9× Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
1× UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056

Variant 2 The Fever Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection

+17 988.76 ₸ +53.1% chance of profit 90%

expensive: AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 74 928.54 ₸ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765

Variant 3 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection

+16 305.67 ₸ +50.8% chance of profit 90%

expensive: AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) · 52 724.87 ₸ · chance 45%

rare inputs

1× UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
9× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1656

Variant 4 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

+13 795.57 ₸ +32.9% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AK-47 | Consequence of the Jinn (Minimal Wear) · 112 870.14 ₸ · chance 5.0%

1× Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1683
7× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1683
2× P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763

Variant 5 The Genesis Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection

+10 995.67 ₸ +35.7% chance of profit 90%

expensive: AK-47 | The Oligarch (Minimal Wear) · 51 288.66 ₸ · chance 45%

rare inputs

1× UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
9× Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1656

Variant 6 The Gallery Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection

+10 528.32 ₸ +23.5% chance of profit 90%

expensive: M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) · 64 689.72 ₸ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
3× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1654
6× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0753

How to build

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×9

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

179 294.97 ₸

at 19 921.66

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

5 611.45 ₸

at 5 611.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 184 906.43 ₸ +59 303.69 (+32.1%)

profit on prices without sales at least −139 047 ₸

12% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 12% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

10 159.12 ₸

at 10 159.12

Steam

×6

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0792

119 529.98 ₸

at 19 921.66

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0080

16 834.36 ₸

at 5 611.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 146 523.47 ₸ +48 956.12 (+33.4%)

profit on prices without sales at least −38 778 ₸

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1716

20 318.24 ₸

at 10 159.12

Steam

×3

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

10 340.24 ₸

at 3 446.75

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

28 057.27 ₸

at 5 611.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 58 715.76 ₸ +14 937.49 (+25.4%)

profit on prices without sales at least −112 482 ₸

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1705

20 318.24 ₸

at 10 159.12

Steam

×4

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

79 686.65 ₸

at 19 921.66

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

22 445.82 ₸

at 5 611.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 122 450.72 ₸ +48 663.60 (+39.7%)

profit on prices without sales at least −85 917 ₸

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

30 477.37 ₸

at 10 159.12

Steam

×2

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

39 843.33 ₸

at 19 921.66

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

28 057.27 ₸

at 5 611.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 98 377.97 ₸ +48 371.09 (+49.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Consequence of the Jinn

Factory New

343 623.29 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | Sovereign Flame

Factory New

274 100.08 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

29 992.23 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

27 330.10 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +33 070.03 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +53 699.73 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arabesque Collection and The Danger Zone Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 14 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1712155 · The Arabesque Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 61 719.91₸ · invest 184 659.90₸
profit on prices without salesat least −179 998 ₸ rare inputs

Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1711801 · The Arabesque Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 60 837.86₸ · invest 191 500.02₸
profit on prices without salesat least −186 785 ₸ rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1711926 · The Arabesque Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 59 305.84₸ · invest 191 298.91₸
profit on prices without salesat least −191 299 ₸ rare inputs

SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1711983 · The Arabesque Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 59 005.19₸ · invest 193 890.68₸
profit on prices without salesat least −189 490 ₸ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1712114 · The Arabesque Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 58 773.79₸ · invest 204 521.28₸
profit on prices without salesat least −204 521 ₸ rare inputs

SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1711966 · The Arabesque Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 58 306.55₸ · invest 192 593.45₸
profit on prices without salesat least −192 593 ₸ rare inputs

MP9 | Airlock (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1711956 · The Arabesque Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 58 244.06₸ · invest 189 354.20₸
profit on prices without salesat least −183 474 ₸ rare inputs

P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1711901 · The Arabesque Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 58 084.65₸ · invest 188 330.81₸
profit on prices without salesat least −183 633 ₸ rare inputs

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1712136 · The Arabesque Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 58 047.58₸ · invest 202 676.15₸
profit on prices without salesat least −202 676 ₸ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1712300 · The Arabesque Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 57 871.68₸ · invest 193 061.61₸
profit on prices without salesat least −190 034 ₸ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1711846 · The Arabesque Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 57 455.83₸ · invest 190 212.92₸
profit on prices without salesat least −184 262 ₸ rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1711828 · The Arabesque Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 56 379.49₸ · invest 197 204.68₸
profit on prices without salesat least −194 178 ₸ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077156 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1712328 · The Arabesque Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 56 201.60₸ · invest 194 312.16₸
profit on prices without salesat least −185 516 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Galil AR | Rainbow Spoon (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076617 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1711993 · The Arabesque Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 55 944.82₸ · invest 206 751.92₸
profit on prices without salesat least −199 230 ₸ rare inputs

P90 | Shallow Grave (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076885 instead of 0.076511

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arabesque Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build