Crafts · The Arabesque Collection
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The Arabesque Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1712364 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +717.39₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 1 461.28₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 2 178.67₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +49.1%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 3 739.65₽ · profit at most −1 560.98₽ (at most -41.7%) · chance of profit at most 22%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 39.40 → 85.10 ₽
G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 65.40 → 141.26 ₽
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 1356.48 → 3513.28 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −698 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −698 ₽: M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Arabesque Collection + The Vanguard Collection
+717.39 ₽ +49.1% chance of profit 45%
expensive: M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New) · 6 288.88 ₽ · chance 22%
profit on prices without salesat least −698 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 6 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1641
  • 1× G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
  • 8× UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+2 161.30 ₽ +263.9% chance of profit 46%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 13 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0055
  • 9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0055
Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+506.80 ₽ +35.6% chance of profit 44%
expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 9 555.43 ₽ · chance 8.0%
rare inputs
  • 6× Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0052
  • 4× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1671
Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+506.54 ₽ +120.1% chance of profit 64%
expensive: AWP | Atheris (Factory New) · 2 271.23 ₽ · chance 18%
  • 1× Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
  • 9× MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1625
Variant 5 The Mirage Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+30 380.79 ₽ +153.8% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −19 630 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+6 640.43 ₽ +75.9% chance of profit 90%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 20 866.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −8 621 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0071
  • 9× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0071

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1641
39.40 ₽
at 39.40
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164110f′ (normalized) 0.164110wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 252 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
G3SG1 | Murky
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0749
65.40 ₽
at 65.40
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074908f′ (normalized) 0.299632wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 63 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×8
UMP-45 | Delusion
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0749
1 356.48 ₽
at 169.56
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074908f′ (normalized) 0.051407wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 79 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 1 461.28 ₽ +717.39 (+49.1%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.087499900 result 0.040125, 0.070000, 0.059500, 0.087500, 0.087500, 0.087500, 0.087500 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 7 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
at a loss
Glock-18 | Grinder
Factory New
858.36 ₽ 22.50%
Steam Glock-18 | Grinder (Factory New)net 746.40 you get 0.040125The Vanguard Collection sells 64 a week sell now to a buy order: 859.66 ₽ (you get 747.53)) · buy orders: 14620 sell on Market.CSGO: 655.26 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 718.49 · lots 83 on CSFloat: from 598.75 ₽ listings: 435 on CS.Money: ~ 641.58 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 636.44 ₽ listings: 280
in profit
best
M4A4 | Griffin
Factory New
7 232.21 ₽ 22.50%
price without deals
Steam M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New)net 6288.88 you get 0.070000The Vanguard Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 446.96 ₽ (you get 5 606.05)) · buy orders: 5075 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 459.36 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 986.15 · lots 39 on CSFloat: from 5 139.49 ₽ listings: 59 on CS.Money: ~ 5 554.07 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 386.18 ₽ listings: 158
in profit
M4A1-S | Basilisk
Factory New
2 494.55 ₽ 22.50%
Steam M4A1-S | Basilisk (Factory New)net 2169.17 you get 0.059500The Vanguard Collection sells 40 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 485.27 ₽ (you get 2 161.10)) · buy orders: 4448 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 099.78 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 302.40 · lots 57 on CSFloat: from 2 082.35 ₽ listings: 186 on CS.Money: ~ 2 108.90 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 060.08 ₽ listings: 211
at a loss
worst
Sawed-Off | Highwayman
Minimal Wear
257.11 ₽ 22.50%
Steam Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear)net 223.57 you get 0.087500The Vanguard Collection sells 20 a week sell now to a buy order: 213.24 ₽ (you get 185.42)) · buy orders: 2895 sell on Market.CSGO: 182.12 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 199.70 · lots 31 on CSFloat: from 176.46 ₽ listings: 18 on CS.Money: ~ 191.02 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 183.31 ₽ listings: 61
at a loss
AUG | Lapis Lazuli
Minimal Wear
672.31 ₽ 3.33%
Steam AUG | Lapis Lazuli (Minimal Wear)net 584.62 you get 0.087500 sells 273 a week sell now to a buy order: 664.59 ₽ (you get 577.90)) · buy orders: 3781 sell on Market.CSGO: 573.39 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 628.72 · lots 11 on CSFloat: from 481.40 ₽ listings: 93 on CS.Money: ~ 549.07 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 518.23 ₽ listings: 126
at a loss
Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice
Minimal Wear
636.91 ₽ 3.33%
Steam Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear)net 553.83 you get 0.087500 sells 238 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 478.36 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 524.52 · lots 35 on CSFloat: from 460.84 ₽ listings: 97 on CS.Money: ~ 494.25 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 486.54 ₽ listings: 156
at a loss
P250 | Lotus Imprint
Minimal Wear
669.96 ₽ 3.33%
Steam P250 | Lotus Imprint (Minimal Wear)net 582.57 you get 0.087500 sells 216 a week sell now to a buy order: 646.42 ₽ (you get 562.10)) · buy orders: 4118 sell on Market.CSGO: 463.43 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 508.15 · lots 36 on CSFloat: from 481.40 ₽ listings: 89 on CS.Money: ~ 526.80 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 476.26 ₽ listings: 188
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