Crafts · The Arms Deal 2 Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Overpass Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1712573 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +4 714.34₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 14 886.88₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 19 601.22₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +31.7%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 36 218.68₴ · profit at most −16 617.45₴ (at most -45.9%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Nova | Graphite (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 471.59 → 1018.64 ₴
Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 4 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 3864.01 → 9138.39 ₴
AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 10551.27 → 26061.64 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −14 561 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −14 561 ₴: M4A1-S | Master Piece (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Overpass Collection
+4 714.34 ₴ +31.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Master Piece (Factory New) · 21 416.52 ₴ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −14 561 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Nova | Graphite (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
  • 4× Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1641
  • 5× AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Overpass Collection
+1 021.55 ₴ +35.2% chance of profit 95%
expensive: USP-S | Serum (Factory New) · 4 372.84 ₴ · chance 5.0%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Nova | Graphite (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Overpass Collection
+842.82 ₴ +28.9% chance of profit 35%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 9 387.45 ₴ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Nova | Graphite (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
  • 3× MP7 | Powercore (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1638
  • 6× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Overpass Collection
+804.03 ₴ +44.4% chance of profit 40%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 6 651.70 ₴ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Nova | Graphite (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 3× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1631
  • 6× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1631
Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Overpass Collection
+565.94 ₴ +23.6% chance of profit 95%
expensive: USP-S | Serum (Factory New) · 4 372.84 ₴ · chance 5.0%
rare inputs
  • 1× Nova | Graphite (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048
  • 5× USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0755
  • 4× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048
Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The Overpass Collection
+549.26 ₴ +40.6% chance of profit 40%
expensive: USP-S | Serum (Factory New) · 4 372.84 ₴ · chance 5.0%
rare inputs
  • 1× Nova | Graphite (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 9× Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
Nova | Graphite
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0043
471.59 ₴
at 471.59
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004315f′ (normalized) 0.035965wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 83 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 2 237.01 ₴ · little data: 0.0 d.
×4
Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1641
3 864.01 ₴
at 966.00
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164180f′ (normalized) 0.140784wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 27 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
×5
AWP | Pink DDPAT
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0749
10 551.27 ₴
at 2 110.25
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074932f′ (normalized) 0.020178wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 38 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 14 886.88 ₴ +4 714.34 (+31.7%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.070000, 0.005600, 0.017500 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 3 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
M4A1-S | Master Piece
Factory New
24 629.00 ₴ 90.00%
price without deals
Steam M4A1-S | Master Piece (Factory New)net 21416.52 you get 0.070000The Overpass Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 16 083.64 ₴ (you get 13 985.77)) · buy orders: 504 sell on Market.CSGO: 13 774.13 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 15 103.21 · lots 12 on CSFloat: from 13 034.86 ₴ listings: 52 on CS.Money: ~ 13 875.09 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 13 334.23 ₴ listings: 75
at a loss
worst
P90 | Cold Blooded
Factory New
2 477.35 ₴ 5.00%
Steam P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New)net 2154.22 you get 0.005600 sells 10 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 411.62 ₴ (you get 2 097.05)) · buy orders: 645 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 068.22 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 2 267.79 · lots 33 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 1 940.35 ₴ listings: 108 on CS.Money: ~ 2 056.15 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 1 981.19 ₴ listings: 141
at a loss
USP-S | Serum
Factory New
5 028.77 ₴ 5.00%
Steam USP-S | Serum (Factory New)net 4372.84 you get 0.017500 sells 5 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 4 157.58 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 4 558.75 · lots 19 on CSFloat: from 3 855.56 ₴ listings: 97 on CS.Money: ~ 3 909.87 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 3 830.88 ₴ listings: 84
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