Crafts · The Arms Deal 2 Collection
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The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1712661 · ways to build: 4 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +3 235.51₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 2 544.35₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 5 779.86₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +127.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 30%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 6 452.88₽ · profit at most −673.02₽ (at most -10.4%) · chance of profit at most 30%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) × 1 10% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 508.01 → 1097.30 ₽
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) × 9 10% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 2036.34 → 5355.57 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −1 904 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −1 904 ₽: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection
+3 235.51 ₽ +127.2% chance of profit 30%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 904 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0778
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0068
Variant 2 The Mirage Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+29 909.50 ₽ +147.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −20 101 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× P250 | Hive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+6 327.08 ₽ +69.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 20 866.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −8 934 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0771
  • 9× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
Variant 4 only The Train 2025 Collection
+3 996.74 ₽ +176.6% chance of profit 33%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 33%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 714 ₽
  • 10× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0079
Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection
+3 950.83 ₽ +160.5% chance of profit 40%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 967 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0064
  • 1× MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0245
Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection
+3 793.28 ₽ +165.4% chance of profit 34%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 685 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0073
  • 1× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0873

How to build Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

10% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 10% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
SCAR-20 | Crimson Web
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0778
508.01 ₽
at 508.01
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077804f′ (normalized) 0.024059wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 34 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×9
XM1014 | Run Run Run
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0068
2 036.34 ₽
at 226.26
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006828f′ (normalized) 0.009146wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 505 · good ≈ 34
on the market with this float, usually ~18, new ~1.32 per day, cheapest usually 1 498.16 ₽ · among lots up to 3 300.00 ₽
Set · 10 pcs 2 544.35 ₽ +3 235.51 (+127.2%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.010638198 result 0.007447, 0.010638, 0.070000, 0.002128, 0.010638, 0.000851, 0.001277 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 7 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 30%
  • Losing outcome 68%
  • About break-even 2%
at a loss
worst
MAC-10 | Derailment
Factory New
725.39 ₽ 30.00%
Steam MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New)net 630.77 you get 0.007447The Train 2025 Collection sells 74 a week sell now to a buy order: 687.54 ₽ (you get 597.86)) · buy orders: 1828 sell on Market.CSGO: 579.03 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 634.91 · lots 72 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 582.48 ₽ listings: 384 on CS.Money: ~ 574.77 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 550.78 ₽ listings: 620
at a loss
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
Factory New
1 168.47 ₽ 30.00%
Steam Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Factory New)net 1016.06 you get 0.010638The Train 2025 Collection sells 23 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 046.13 ₽ (you get 909.67)) · buy orders: 1772 sell on Market.CSGO: 827.22 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 907.05 · lots 90 on CSFloat: from 853.15 ₽ listings: 284 on CS.Money: ~ 943.95 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 842.02 ₽ listings: 356
in profit
best
Tec-9 | Whiteout
Factory New
19 700.88 ₽ 30.00%
price without deals
Steam Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New)net 17131.20 you get 0.070000The Train 2025 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 14 721.28 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 16 141.76 · lots 20 on CSFloat: from 13 421.77 ₽ listings: 207 on CS.Money: ~ 14 491.64 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 13 700.16 ₽ listings: 118
at a loss
Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin
Factory New
1 422.52 ₽ 2.50%
Steam Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Factory New)net 1236.97 you get 0.002128 sells 39 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 425.75 ₽ (you get 1 239.78)) · buy orders: 1330 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 107.28 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 214.13 · lots 38 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 1 139.25 ₽ listings: 187 on CS.Money: ~ 1 214.63 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 133.26 ₽ listings: 182
about break-even
Five-SeveN | Case Hardened
Factory New
2 879.19 ₽ 2.50%
pricier variants exist
Steam Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 2503.64 you get 0.010638 sells 9 a week sell now to a buy order: 3 404.21 ₽ (you get 2 960.18)) · buy orders: 2580 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 032.94 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 325.60 · lots 28 on CSFloat: from 2 826.72 ₽ listings: 217 on CS.Money: ~ 3 052.86 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 890.10 ₽ listings: 128
at a loss
MP9 | Hypnotic
Factory New
1 534.87 ₽ 2.50%
Steam MP9 | Hypnotic (Factory New)net 1334.67 you get 0.000851 sells 60 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 525.20 ₽ (you get 1 326.26)) · buy orders: 2930 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 187.33 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 398.39 · lots 25 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 1 199.21 ₽ listings: 175 on CS.Money: ~ 1 314.00 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 252.32 ₽ listings: 300
at a loss
Nova | Graphite
Factory New
900.00 ₽ 2.50%
Steam Nova | Graphite (Factory New)net 782.61 you get 0.001277 sells 29 a week sell now to a buy order: 813.76 ₽ (you get 707.61)) · buy orders: 1048 sell on Market.CSGO: 701.21 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 768.88 · lots 16 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 676.70 ₽ listings: 74 on CS.Money: ~ 711.82 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 682.70 ₽ listings: 104
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