Crafts · The Arms Deal 3 Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Mirage Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1712925 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +15 878.13₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 10 581.75₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 26 459.88₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +150.1%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 26 851.88₴ · profit at most −391.99₴ (at most -1.5%) · chance of profit at most 90%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Dual Berettas | Panther (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 320.99 → 693.33 ₴
UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 969.39 → 2093.88 ₴
MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 9291.38 → 24064.66 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −10 556 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −10 556 ₴: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New), Desert Eagle | Heirloom (Factory New), Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Mirage Collection
+15 878.13 ₴ +150.1% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 29 117.09 ₴ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −10 556 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Dual Berettas | Panther (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 2 only The Mirage Collection
+17 694.90 ₴ +154.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 29 117.09 ₴ · chance 100%
profit on prices without salesat least −11 422 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 9× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection
+16 334.04 ₴ +151.8% chance of profit 95%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 29 117.09 ₴ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −10 760 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection
+16 047.43 ₴ +154.4% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 29 117.09 ₴ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −10 336 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 1× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0838
Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection
+15 962.01 ₴ +151.0% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 29 117.09 ₴ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −10 543 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
  • 1× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
Variant 6 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection
+15 957.75 ₴ +155.0% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 29 117.09 ₴ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −10 248 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 1× Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
Dual Berettas | Panther
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
320.99 ₴
at 320.99
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003948f′ (normalized) 0.006807wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 131 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 150) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
UMP-45 | Blaze
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
969.39 ₴
at 969.39
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003948f′ (normalized) 0.049356wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 91 · good ≈ 7
on the market with this float, usually ~7, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 2 619.97 ₴ · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 5 of 396 · from 967.71 ₴ (float 0.0037) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×8
MAC-10 | Amber Fade
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
9 291.38 ₴
at 1 161.42
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003948f′ (normalized) 0.009871wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 37 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 62) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 10 581.75 ₴ +15 878.13 (+150.1%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.070000, 0.002703, 0.010811, 0.002703, 0.002703 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
MAG-7 | Bulldozer
Factory New
33 484.65 ₴ 90.00%
price without deals
Steam MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New)net 29117.09 you get 0.070000The Mirage Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 119.35 ₴ (you get 7 929.87)) · buy orders: 202 sell on Market.CSGO: 10 449.93 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 11 458.26 · lots 4 CSFloat: price does not match Steam — not shown CS.Money: price does not match Steam — not shown Lis-Skins: price does not match Steam — not shown
at a loss
worst
CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate
Factory New
367.63 ₴ 2.50%
Steam CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New)net 319.68 you get 0.002703 sells 14 a week sell now to a buy order: 361.27 ₴ (you get 314.14)) · buy orders: 1046 sell on Market.CSGO: 308.61 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 338.39 · lots 37 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 296.69 ₴ listings: 71 on CS.Money: ~ 302.07 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 310.15 ₴ listings: 91
at a loss
Desert Eagle | Heirloom
Factory New
6 218.76 ₴ 2.50%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Heirloom (Factory New)net 5407.62 you get 0.010811
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 273.69 ₴ (you get 4 585.82)) · buy orders: 1313 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 830.84 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 5 296.97 · lots 14 on CSFloat: from 4 284.21 ₴ listings: 36 on CS.Money: ~ 4 356.02 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 4 572.37 ₴ listings: 59
at a loss
Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy
Factory New
807.95 ₴ 2.50%
Steam Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Factory New)net 702.57 you get 0.002703 sells ≈21 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 830.76 ₴ (you get 722.40)) · buy orders: 2117 sell on Market.CSGO: 687.51 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 753.85 · lots 55 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 727.13 ₴ listings: 178 on CS.Money: ~ 662.05 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 671.92 ₴ listings: 187
at a loss
Tec-9 | Titanium Bit
Factory New
4 312.96 ₴ 2.50%
price without deals
Steam Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Factory New)net 3750.40 you get 0.002703
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 279.08 ₴ (you get 3 720.94)) · buy orders: 2386 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 249.60 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 3 563.15 · lots 16 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 3 352.86 ₴ listings: 34 on CS.Money: ~ 3 169.28 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 3 181.85 ₴ listings: 57
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