Crafts · The Arms Deal 3 Collection
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The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1713091 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +3 553.76₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 2 565.36₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 6 119.12₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +138.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 35%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 6 498.26₽ · profit at most −379.14₽ (at most -5.8%) · chance of profit at most 35%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) × 1 10% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 529.02 → 1142.68 ₽
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) × 9 10% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 2036.34 → 5355.57 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −2 023 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −2 023 ₽: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New), Desert Eagle | Heirloom (Factory New), Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection
+3 553.76 ₽ +138.5% chance of profit 35%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −2 023 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0778
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0068
Variant 2 The Mirage Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+30 302.13 ₽ +150.1% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −20 146 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Dual Berettas | Panther (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+6 645.32 ₽ +73.0% chance of profit 92%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 20 866.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −9 053 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0771
  • 9× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
Variant 4 only The Train 2025 Collection
+3 996.74 ₽ +176.6% chance of profit 33%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 33%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 714 ₽
  • 10× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0079
Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection
+3 950.83 ₽ +160.5% chance of profit 40%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 967 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0064
  • 1× MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0245
Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection
+3 793.28 ₽ +165.4% chance of profit 34%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 685 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0073
  • 1× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0873

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

10% of lots fit ≈ enough for 1 contract · medium (by listings)

Price understated: only 10% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0778
529.02 ₽
at 529.02
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077804f′ (normalized) 0.024059wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 49 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 1 527.17 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
×9
XM1014 | Run Run Run
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0068
2 036.34 ₽
at 226.26
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006828f′ (normalized) 0.009146wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 505 · good ≈ 34
on the market with this float, usually ~18, new ~1.32 per day, cheapest usually 1 498.16 ₽ · among lots up to 3 300.00 ₽
Set · 10 pcs 2 565.36 ₽ +3 553.76 (+138.5%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.010638198 result 0.007447, 0.010638, 0.070000, 0.002128, 0.008511, 0.002128, 0.002128 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 7 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 35%
  • Losing outcome 65%
at a loss
MAC-10 | Derailment
Factory New
725.39 ₽ 30.00%
Steam MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New)net 630.77 you get 0.007447The Train 2025 Collection sells 74 a week sell now to a buy order: 687.54 ₽ (you get 597.86)) · buy orders: 1828 sell on Market.CSGO: 579.03 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 634.91 · lots 72 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 582.48 ₽ listings: 384 on CS.Money: ~ 574.77 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 550.78 ₽ listings: 620
at a loss
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
Factory New
1 168.47 ₽ 30.00%
Steam Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Factory New)net 1016.06 you get 0.010638The Train 2025 Collection sells 23 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 046.13 ₽ (you get 909.67)) · buy orders: 1772 sell on Market.CSGO: 827.22 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 907.05 · lots 90 on CSFloat: from 853.15 ₽ listings: 284 on CS.Money: ~ 943.95 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 842.02 ₽ listings: 356
in profit
best
Tec-9 | Whiteout
Factory New
19 700.88 ₽ 30.00%
price without deals
Steam Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New)net 17131.20 you get 0.070000The Train 2025 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 14 721.28 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 16 141.76 · lots 20 on CSFloat: from 13 421.77 ₽ listings: 207 on CS.Money: ~ 14 491.64 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 13 700.16 ₽ listings: 118
at a loss
worst
CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate
Factory New
701.60 ₽ 2.50%
Steam CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New)net 610.09 you get 0.002128 sells 14 a week sell now to a buy order: 689.45 ₽ (you get 599.52)) · buy orders: 1046 sell on Market.CSGO: 588.96 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 645.79 · lots 37 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 566.20 ₽ listings: 71 on CS.Money: ~ 576.48 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 591.90 ₽ listings: 91
in profit
Desert Eagle | Heirloom
Factory New
11 868.00 ₽ 2.50%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Heirloom (Factory New)net 10320.00 you get 0.008511
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 10 064.42 ₽ (you get 8 751.66)) · buy orders: 1313 sell on Market.CSGO: 9 219.26 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 10 108.84 · lots 14 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 8 176.07 ₽ listings: 36 on CS.Money: ~ 8 313.12 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 8 725.99 ₽ listings: 59
at a loss
Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy
Factory New
1 541.91 ₽ 2.50%
Steam Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Factory New)net 1340.79 you get 0.002128 sells ≈21 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 1 585.44 ₽ (you get 1 378.64)) · buy orders: 2117 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 312.05 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 438.66 · lots 55 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 1 387.66 ₽ listings: 178 on CS.Money: ~ 1 263.46 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 282.30 ₽ listings: 187
in profit
Tec-9 | Titanium Bit
Factory New
8 230.94 ₽ 2.50%
price without deals
Steam Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Factory New)net 7157.34 you get 0.002128
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 8 166.28 ₽ (you get 7 101.11)) · buy orders: 2386 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 201.59 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 799.99 · lots 16 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 6 398.66 ₽ listings: 34 on CS.Money: ~ 6 048.32 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 6 072.30 ₽ listings: 57
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