Crafts · The Arms Deal 3 Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

LanguageRU
to all crafts

The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1713130 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +902.62₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 1 488.45₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 2 391.07₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +60.6%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 41%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 3 784.33₴ · profit at most −1 393.26₴ (at most -36.8%) · chance of profit at most 20%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 277.20 → 598.76 ₴
XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) × 9 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 1211.24 → 3185.57 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −926 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −926 ₴: Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New), Desert Eagle | Heirloom (Factory New), PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Factory New), Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+902.62 ₴ +60.6% chance of profit 41%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 8 205.78 ₴ · chance 18%
profit on prices without salesat least −926 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0760
  • 9× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0852
Variant 2 The Mirage Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+15 878.13 ₴ +150.1% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 29 117.09 ₴ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −10 556 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Dual Berettas | Panther (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+3 482.11 ₴ +73.0% chance of profit 92%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 10 934.16 ₴ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −4 744 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0771
  • 9× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+1 862.15 ₴ +138.5% chance of profit 35%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 8 976.64 ₴ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 060 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0778
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0068
Variant 5 The Chop Shop Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+1 157.10 ₴ +15.5% chance of profit 50%
expensive: Dual Berettas | Duelist (Factory New) · 18 881.31 ₴ · chance 25%
profit on prices without salesat least −7 328 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
  • 1× Dual Berettas | Panther (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
  • 5× MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+1 135.07 ₴ +184.6% chance of profit 44%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 6 110.12 ₴ · chance 18%
profit on prices without salesat least −194 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754
  • 9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0760
277.20 ₴
at 277.20
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076050f′ (normalized) 0.021689wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 49 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 800.23 ₴ · little data: 0.0 d.
×9
XM1014 | Red Python
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0800–0.0852
1 211.24 ₴
at 134.58
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.085294f′ (normalized) 0.012604wear 0.0800–0.1500on the market 42 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 1 999.09 ₴ · little data: 1.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 1 488.45 ₴ +902.62 (+60.6%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.002703, 0.001081, 0.070000, 0.002703, 0.010811, 0.002703, 0.002703 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 9 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 41%
  • Losing outcome 59%
at a loss
PP-Bizon | Blue Streak
Factory New
785.99 ₴ 18.00%
price without deals
Steam PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Factory New)net 683.47 you get 0.070000The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 605.78 ₴ (you get 526.77)) · buy orders: 826
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Crimson Web
Factory New
9 436.64 ₴ 18.00%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 8205.78 you get 0.070000The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 7 782.51 ₴ (you get 6 767.40)) · buy orders: 1148
in profit
Glock-18 | Steel Disruption
Factory New
2 010.97 ₴ 18.00%
Steam Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New)net 1748.67 you get 0.002703The eSports 2014 Summer Collection sells 43 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 046.34 ₴ (you get 1 779.43)) · buy orders: 5644
at a loss
MP7 | Ocean Foam
Factory New
555.71 ₴ 18.00%
Steam MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New)net 483.23 you get 0.001081The eSports 2014 Summer Collection sells 28 a week sell now to a buy order: 556.68 ₴ (you get 484.07)) · buy orders: 3956
at a loss
P90 | Virus
Factory New
860.95 ₴ 18.00%
Steam P90 | Virus (Factory New)net 748.65 you get 0.070000The eSports 2014 Summer Collection sells 1 a week sell now to a buy order: 858.32 ₴ (you get 746.37)) · buy orders: 1297
at a loss
worst
CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate
Factory New
367.63 ₴ 2.50%
Steam CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New)net 319.68 you get 0.002703 sells 14 a week sell now to a buy order: 361.27 ₴ (you get 314.14)) · buy orders: 1046
in profit
Desert Eagle | Heirloom
Factory New
6 218.76 ₴ 2.50%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Heirloom (Factory New)net 5407.62 you get 0.010811
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 273.69 ₴ (you get 4 585.82)) · buy orders: 1313
at a loss
Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy
Factory New
807.95 ₴ 2.50%
Steam Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Factory New)net 702.57 you get 0.002703 sells ≈21 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 830.76 ₴ (you get 722.40)) · buy orders: 2117
in profit
Tec-9 | Titanium Bit
Factory New
4 312.96 ₴ 2.50%
price without deals
Steam Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Factory New)net 3750.40 you get 0.002703
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 279.08 ₴ (you get 3 720.94)) · buy orders: 2386
Chains Pretty floats Interesting Cases Favorites Proven in practice How crafts work