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The Ascent Collection + The Nuke Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +11 935.11₸

Invest 8 819.01₸

Average return 20 754.12₸

ROI +135.3%

Chance of profit 50%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 21 782.94₸ · profit at most −1 028.87₸ (at most -4.7%) · chance of profit at most 50%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 80.43 → 198.67 ₸

Souvenir MAG-7 | Irradiated Alert (Minimal Wear) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 8738.58 → 21584.28 ₸

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −8 760 ₸

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Ascent Collection + The Nuke Collection

+11 935.09 ₸ +135.3% chance of profit 50%

expensive: P90 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) · 50 450.51 ₸ · chance 17%

profit on prices without salesat least −8 760 ₸

5× Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
5× Souvenir MAG-7 | Irradiated Alert (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748

Variant 2 The Inferno Collection instead of The Nuke Collection

+5 551.36 ₸ +61.6% chance of profit 50%

expensive: M4A4 | Tornado (Factory New) · 48 667.56 ₸ · chance 25%

sells slowly

5× Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
5× Souvenir MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748

Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The Nuke Collection

+4 546.16 ₸ +167.3% chance of profit 70%

expensive: Glock-18 | Night (Factory New) · 17 684.43 ₸ · chance 18%

sells slowly

3× Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
6× Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
1× Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605

Variant 4 The Office Collection instead of The Ascent Collection

+104 333.37 ₸ +92.1% chance of profit 70%

expensive: Galil AR | Winter Forest (Factory New) · 494 917.85 ₸ · chance 23%

profit on prices without salesat least −113 247 ₸

3× Souvenir MAG-7 | Irradiated Alert (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605
7× FAMAS | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740

Variant 5 The Office Collection instead of The Nuke Collection

+102 683.34 ₸ +233.8% chance of profit 50%

expensive: Galil AR | Winter Forest (Factory New) · 494 917.85 ₸ · chance 17%

profit on prices without salesat least −43 861 ₸

5× Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
5× FAMAS | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748

Variant 6 The Aztec Collection instead of The Nuke Collection

+17 713.47 ₸ +95.5% chance of profit 50%

expensive: AK-47 | Jungle Spray (Factory New) · 105 487.39 ₸ · chance 25%

profit on prices without salesat least −18 482 ₸

5× Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
5× Nova | Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

Galil AR | Grey Smoke

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

80.43 ₸

at 16.09

Steam

×5

Souvenir MAG-7 | Irradiated Alert

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

8 738.58 ₸

at 1 747.72

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 8 819.01 ₸ +11 935.11 (+135.3%)

What you get 12 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

P90 | Fallout Warning

Factory New

58 018.07 ₸ 16.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

UMP-45 | Fallout Warning

Factory New

29 922.08 ₸ 16.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Fallout Warning

Factory New

54 859.30 ₸ 16.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre

Factory New

185.29 ₸ 5.56%

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Sky Blue

Factory New

100.32 ₸ 5.56%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Robin's Egg

Factory New

110.76 ₸ 5.56%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Ocean Topo

Factory New

211.50 ₸ 5.56%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo

Factory New

115.19 ₸ 5.56%

Steam

at a loss

Negev | Sour Grapes

Factory New

180.75 ₸ 5.56%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Turquoise Pour

Factory New

84.07 ₸ 5.56%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Electric Blue

Factory New

144.62 ₸ 5.56%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo

Factory New

79.06 ₸ 5.56%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +9 798.25 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +11 773.03 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ascent Collection and The Nuke Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1737198 · The Nuke Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 12 231.18₸ · invest 8 944.28₸
profit on prices without salesat least −8 607 ₸ rare inputs

Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New)
Craft 1704623 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 11 998.95₸ · invest 8 908.67₸
profit on prices without salesat least −8 697 ₸ rare inputs

AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New)
Craft 1707057 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 11 985.01₸ · invest 9 084.31₸
profit on prices without salesat least −8 711 ₸ rare inputs

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New); Souvenir MAG-7 | Irradiated Alert (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074257 instead of 0.074809
Craft 1734268 · The Harlequin Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 11 971.65₸ · invest 8 814.26₸
profit on prices without salesat least −8 724 ₸ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New)
Craft 1706213 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 11 930.27₸ · invest 9 240.70₸
profit on prices without salesat least −8 900 ₸ rare inputs

Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New); Souvenir MAG-7 | Irradiated Alert (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074257 instead of 0.074809
Craft 1737172 · The Nuke Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 11 919.93₸ · invest 8 810.31₸
profit on prices without salesat least −8 776 ₸ rare inputs

Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New); Souvenir MAG-7 | Irradiated Alert (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074592 instead of 0.074809
Craft 1711366 · The Anubis Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 11 915.64₸ · invest 9 397.34₸
profit on prices without salesat least −8 780 ₸ rare inputs

AUG | Snake Pit (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New); Souvenir MAG-7 | Irradiated Alert (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074592 instead of 0.074809
Craft 1705365 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 11 888.85₸ · invest 8 874.13₸
profit on prices without salesat least −8 807 ₸ rare inputs

P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New); Souvenir MAG-7 | Irradiated Alert (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074809
Craft 1708607 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 11 461.39₸ · invest 10 115.71₸
profit on prices without salesat least −9 483 ₸ rare inputs

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New); Souvenir MAG-7 | Irradiated Alert (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074809
Craft 1736879 · The Mirage Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 10 753.06₸ · invest 20 054.47₸
profit on prices without salesat least −17 301 ₸ rare inputs

Souvenir Galil AR | Hunting Blind (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ascent Collection + The Nuke Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 12 outcomes

More

How to build