Crafts · The Ascent Collection
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The Ascent Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1714082 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +761.79₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 1 508.08₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 2 269.87₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +50.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 3 840.74₽ · profit at most −1 570.87₽ (at most -40.9%) · chance of profit at most 22%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 86.20 → 186.19 ₽
G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 65.40 → 141.26 ₽
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 8 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 1356.48 → 3513.28 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −653 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −653 ₽: M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Ascent Collection + The Vanguard Collection
+761.79 ₽ +50.5% chance of profit 45%
expensive: M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New) · 6 288.88 ₽ · chance 22%
profit on prices without salesat least −653 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 6 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 1× G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
  • 8× UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+2 204.02 ₽ +301.6% chance of profit 41%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%
sells slowly
  • 1× Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
  • 9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+763.12 ₽ +85.4% chance of profit 54%
expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 9 555.43 ₽ · chance 8.0%
rare inputs
  • 6× Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
  • 4× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1641
Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+495.64 ₽ +60.3% chance of profit 95%
expensive: AWP | Black Box (Factory New) · 2 128.47 ₽ · chance 30%
  • 1× Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
  • 9× R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766
Variant 5 The Mirage Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+30 423.51 ₽ +154.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −19 587 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+6 683.15 ₽ +77.2% chance of profit 90%
expensive: USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) · 20 866.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −8 578 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0068
  • 9× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0068

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
Desert Eagle | Mint Fan
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0038
86.20 ₽
at 86.20
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003816f′ (normalized) 0.006361wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 811 · good ≈ 10
Market history: no data yet
×1
G3SG1 | Murky
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0743
65.40 ₽
at 65.40
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074361f′ (normalized) 0.297447wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 63 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×8
UMP-45 | Delusion
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0743
1 356.48 ₽
at 169.56
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074361f′ (normalized) 0.049523wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 79 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 1 508.08 ₽ +761.79 (+50.5%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.036100, 0.056000, 0.047600, 0.070000, 0.052500, 0.042000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
at a loss
Glock-18 | Grinder
Factory New
858.36 ₽ 22.50%
Steam Glock-18 | Grinder (Factory New)net 746.40 you get 0.036100The Vanguard Collection sells 64 a week sell now to a buy order: 859.66 ₽ (you get 747.53)) · buy orders: 14620 sell on Market.CSGO: 655.26 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 718.49 · lots 83 on CSFloat: from 598.75 ₽ listings: 435 on CS.Money: ~ 641.58 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 636.44 ₽ listings: 280
in profit
best
M4A4 | Griffin
Factory New
7 232.21 ₽ 22.50%
price without deals
Steam M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New)net 6288.88 you get 0.056000The Vanguard Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 446.96 ₽ (you get 5 606.05)) · buy orders: 5075 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 459.36 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 986.15 · lots 39 on CSFloat: from 5 139.49 ₽ listings: 59 on CS.Money: ~ 5 554.07 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 386.18 ₽ listings: 158
in profit
M4A1-S | Basilisk
Factory New
2 494.55 ₽ 22.50%
Steam M4A1-S | Basilisk (Factory New)net 2169.17 you get 0.047600The Vanguard Collection sells 40 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 485.27 ₽ (you get 2 161.10)) · buy orders: 4448 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 099.78 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 302.40 · lots 57 on CSFloat: from 2 082.35 ₽ listings: 186 on CS.Money: ~ 2 108.90 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 060.08 ₽ listings: 211
at a loss
Sawed-Off | Highwayman
Factory New
603.94 ₽ 22.50%
Steam Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New)net 525.17 you get 0.070000The Vanguard Collection sells 7 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 410.40 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 450.00 · lots 12 on CSFloat: from 352.91 ₽ listings: 22 on CS.Money: ~ 364.05 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 389.74 ₽ listings: 27
at a loss
AK-47 | Midnight Laminate
Factory New
1 359.78 ₽ 5.00%
Steam AK-47 | Midnight Laminate (Factory New)net 1182.42 you get 0.052500 sells 360 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 279.45 ₽ (you get 1 112.56)) · buy orders: 7460 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 091.82 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 197.18 · lots 51 on CSFloat: from 985.07 ₽ listings: 476 on CS.Money: ~ 1 191.50 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 077.58 ₽ listings: 724
at a loss
worst
USP-S | Royal Guard
Factory New
496.46 ₽ 5.00%
Steam USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New)net 431.70 you get 0.042000 sells 521 a week sell now to a buy order: 472.38 ₽ (you get 410.76)) · buy orders: 8527 sell on Market.CSGO: 375.63 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 411.88 · lots 64 on CSFloat: from 381.18 ₽ listings: 519 on CS.Money: ~ 464.27 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 390.60 ₽ listings: 763
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