Crafts · The Boreal Collection
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The Boreal Collection + The Falchion Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1714815 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +471.40₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 793.88₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 1 265.28₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +59.4%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 87%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 924.33₽ · profit at most −659.06₽ (at most -34.2%) · chance of profit at most 7%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Field-Tested) × 7 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 512.05 → 1305.73 ₽
M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 84.81 → 183.19 ₽
Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) × 2 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 197.02 → 435.41 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Boreal Collection + The Falchion Collection
+471.40 ₽ +59.4% chance of profit 87%
expensive: MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) · 2 074.57 ₽ · chance 6.7%
  • 7× Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
  • 1× M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
  • 2× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+2 424.16 ₽ +55.2% chance of profit 30%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly
  • 1× Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1633
  • 5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Boreal Collection
+2 270.59 ₽ +78.1% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 20%
sells slowly
  • 4× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1635
  • 3× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1635
  • 3× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Boreal Collection
+2 186.20 ₽ +50.6% chance of profit 80%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 40%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1650
  • 8× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+2 180.90 ₽ +44.1% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Boreal Collection
+1 828.95 ₽ +68.9% chance of profit 30%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
  • 3× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
  • 6× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×7
Glock-18 | Glockingbird
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1623
512.05 ₽
at 73.15
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162330f′ (normalized) 0.242284wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 523 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
M4A4 | Sheet Lightning
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1623
84.81 ₽
at 84.81
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162330f′ (normalized) 0.216440wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 625 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
×2
Negev | Loudmouth
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1623
197.02 ₽
at 98.51
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162330f′ (normalized) 0.043784wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 218 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 1 371.79 ₽ · little data: 1.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 793.88 ₽ +471.40 (+59.4%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.199999900 result 0.150000, 0.200000, 0.064000, 0.200000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 87%
  • Losing outcome 13%
in profit
AWP | Green Energy
Minimal Wear
1 543.84 ₽ 80.00%
Steam AWP | Green Energy (Minimal Wear)net 1342.47 you get 0.150000 sells 490 a week no buy orders
at a loss
CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket
Field-Tested
466.18 ₽ 6.67%
Steam CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested)net 405.37 you get 0.200000The Falchion Collection sells ≈77 a week — 5 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 402.58 ₽ (you get 350.06)) · buy orders: 3606
in profit
best
MP7 | Nemesis
Factory New
2 385.76 ₽ 6.67%
Steam MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New)net 2074.57 you get 0.064000The Falchion Collection sells 34 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 380.08 ₽ (you get 2 069.63)) · buy orders: 2273
at a loss
worst
SG 553 | Cyrex
Field-Tested
447.99 ₽ 6.67%
Steam SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested)net 389.56 you get 0.200000The Falchion Collection sells 156 a week sell now to a buy order: 435.09 ₽ (you get 378.33)) · buy orders: 6096
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