Crafts · The Boreal Collection
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The Boreal Collection + The Fracture Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1714843 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +741.89₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 1 689.03₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 2 430.92₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +43.9%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 4 169.22₽ · profit at most −1 738.30₽ (at most -41.7%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Minimal Wear) × 8 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 1211.44 → 3137.63 ₽
Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 306.59 → 662.23 ₽
MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 171.00 → 369.36 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Boreal Collection + The Fracture Collection
+741.89 ₽ +43.9% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AWP | Green Energy (Factory New) · 2 607.62 ₽ · chance 90%
rare inputs
  • 8× Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
  • 1× Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 1× MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Fracture Collection
+2 424.16 ₽ +55.2% chance of profit 30%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly
  • 1× Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1633
  • 5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Boreal Collection
+2 383.05 ₽ +56.0% chance of profit 30%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1634
  • 5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Fracture Collection
+2 180.90 ₽ +44.1% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Boreal Collection
+2 139.79 ₽ +44.5% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0769
Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Fracture Collection
+1 793.89 ₽ +63.3% chance of profit 30%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
  • 2× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
  • 7× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×8
Glock-18 | Glockingbird
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0767
1 211.44 ₽
at 151.43
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076799f′ (normalized) 0.114626wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 501 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
Glock-18 | Glockingbird
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0059
306.59 ₽
at 306.59
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005949f′ (normalized) 0.008880wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 495 · good ≈ 10
Market history: no data yet
×1
MP5-SD | Kitbash
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0059
171.00 ₽
at 171.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005949f′ (normalized) 0.007437wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 390 · good ≈ 7
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 1 689.03 ₽ +741.89 (+43.9%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.093333233 result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.068133, 0.046667 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
AWP | Green Energy
Factory New
2 998.76 ₽ 90.00%
Steam AWP | Green Energy (Factory New)net 2607.62 you get 0.070000 sells 96 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 987.29 ₽ (you get 2 597.64)) · buy orders: 9285 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 453.28 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 690.00 · lots 43 on CSFloat: from 2 416.42 ₽ listings: 146 on CS.Money: ~ 2 510.64 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 413.85 ₽ listings: 563
at a loss
Glock-18 | Vogue
Factory New
999.71 ₽ 3.33%
Steam Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New)net 869.31 you get 0.070000The Fracture Collection sells 137 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 108.28 ₽ (you get 963.72)) · buy orders: 7948 sell on Market.CSGO: 928.65 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 018.26 · lots 53 on CSFloat: from 856.58 ₽ listings: 354 on CS.Money: ~ 932.82 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 909.69 ₽ listings: 682
at a loss
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy
Factory New
1 290.76 ₽ 3.33%
Steam M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New)net 1122.40 you get 0.068133The Fracture Collection sells 130 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 187.65 ₽ (you get 1 032.73)) · buy orders: 8829 sell on Market.CSGO: 958.95 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 051.49 · lots 82 on CSFloat: from 938.81 ₽ listings: 302 on CS.Money: ~ 956.80 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 974.79 ₽ listings: 629
at a loss
worst
XM1014 | Entombed
Factory New
609.80 ₽ 3.33%
Steam XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New)net 530.26 you get 0.046667The Fracture Collection sells 215 a week sell now to a buy order: 586.17 ₽ (you get 509.71)) · buy orders: 6021 sell on Market.CSGO: 470.28 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 515.66 · lots 139 on CSFloat: from 475.40 ₽ listings: 293 on CS.Money: ~ 455.70 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 463.41 ₽ listings: 412
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