The Boreal Collection + The Genesis Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.

Average profit +11.90$

Invest 17.06$

Average return 28.96$

ROI +69.7%

Chance of profit 100%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 43.20$ · profit at most −14.23$ (at most -33.0%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 3.58 → 7.73 $

UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear) × 9 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 13.48 → 35.46 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Boreal Collection + The Genesis Collection

+11.90 $ +69.7% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AWP | Green Energy (Factory New) · 30.44 $ · chance 10%

sells slowly

1× Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
9× UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Genesis Collection

+28.30 $ +55.2% chance of profit 30%

expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 209.15 $ · chance 30%

sells slowly

1× Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1633
5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040

Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Boreal Collection

+27.86 $ +54.0% chance of profit 30%

expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 209.15 $ · chance 30%

sells slowly

1× Nova | Ocular (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041

Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Genesis Collection

+25.46 $ +44.1% chance of profit 90%

expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 92.26 $ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767

Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Boreal Collection

+25.02 $ +43.2% chance of profit 90%

expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 92.26 $ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× Nova | Ocular (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770

Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Genesis Collection

+20.94 $ +63.3% chance of profit 30%

expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 148.20 $ · chance 30%

sells slowly

1× M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
2× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
7× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623

How to build

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Glock-18 | Glockingbird

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

3.58 $

at 3.58

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | Continuum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

13.48 $

at 1.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17.06 $ +11.90 (+69.7%)

12% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 12% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Glock-18 | Glockingbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0795

1.77 $

at 1.77

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Glockingbird

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0083

7.16 $

at 3.58

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Continuum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0795

10.49 $

at 1.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.41 $ +9.88 (+50.9%)

11% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 11% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

Glock-18 | Glockingbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

5.30 $

at 1.77

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | Glockingbird

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

10.74 $

at 3.58

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Continuum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

5.99 $

at 1.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 22.03 $ +7.75 (+35.2%)

10% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 10% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

Glock-18 | Glockingbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0778

8.84 $

at 1.77

Steam

×4

Glock-18 | Glockingbird

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

14.32 $

at 3.58

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Continuum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0778

1.50 $

at 1.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24.65 $ +5.62 (+22.8%)

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

Glock-18 | Glockingbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

3.54 $

at 1.77

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Glockingbird

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

7.16 $

at 3.58

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Continuum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

8.99 $

at 1.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.68 $ +9.77 (+49.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

AWP | Ice Coaled

Factory New

33.65 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

worst

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Factory New

32.31 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Smoking Kills

Factory New

33.39 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Green Energy

Factory New

35.01 $ 10.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +8.31 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +10.26 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Boreal Collection and The Genesis Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1725989 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 12.87$ · invest 14.77$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New); UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076792
Craft 1732808 · The Genesis Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 12.76$ · invest 14.45$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) instead of Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New); UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075527 instead of 0.076792
Craft 1730989 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 12.70$ · invest 16.10$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New); UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076370 instead of 0.076792
Craft 1732950 · The Genesis Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 12.68$ · invest 15.97$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New); UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076609 instead of 0.076792
Craft 1728289 · The Fever Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 12.57$ · invest 15.22$
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New); UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076792
Craft 1722466 · The Clutch Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 12.48$ · invest 15.05$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New); UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076609 instead of 0.076792
Craft 1732981 · The Genesis Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 12.33$ · invest 16.21$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New); UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.076792
Craft 1732923 · The Genesis Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 12.26$ · invest 15.39$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New); UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076765 instead of 0.076792
Craft 1732537 · The Genesis Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 12.23$ · invest 14.90$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New); UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076721 instead of 0.076792
Craft 1723921 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 11.92$ · invest 15.66$
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New); UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076765 instead of 0.076792
Craft 1732762 · The Genesis Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 11.89$ · invest 15.08$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Downtown (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New); UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076765 instead of 0.076792
Craft 1717529 · The CS20 Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 11.88$ · invest 16.32$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New); UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076885 instead of 0.076792

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Boreal Collection + The Genesis Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build