The Bravo Collection
+ The eSports 2013 Winter Collection
StatTrak™
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted
About the craftCraft 1716192 · ways to build: 5StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+2 803.82₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».17 523.89₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.20 327.71₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+16.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.45%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 40 559.19₽
· profit at most −20 231.48₽
(at most -49.9%) · chance of profit at most 22%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear) × 65% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.513983.04 → 9997.43 ₽
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Bone Pile (Factory New) × 35% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.2613135.23 → 29685.62 ₽
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New) × 15% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.16405.62 → 876.14 ₽
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
profit on prices without salesIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −17 318 ₽Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −17 318 ₽: StatTrak™ USP-S | Overgrowth (Factory New), StatTrak™ M4A4 | Zirka (Factory New), StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New)
!
The gain is understated. 1 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 22.5% of the probability.
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
profit on prices without salesat least −17 318 ₽no outcome priceOutcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understatedrare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
profit on prices without salesat least −4 810 ₽no outcome priceOutcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understatedrare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
profit on prices without salesat least −4 256 ₽no outcome priceOutcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understatedrare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
profit on prices without salesat least −3 989 ₽no outcome priceOutcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understatedrare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
profit on prices without salesat least −3 994 ₽no outcome priceOutcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understatedrare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
profit on prices without salesat least −4 009 ₽no outcome priceOutcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understatedrare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
4× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New)buy0.0000–0.0040
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
5% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
×6
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0742
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
3 983.04 ₽
at 663.84
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074299f′ (normalized) 0.019323wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 14 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×3
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Bone Pile
Factory New
buy0.0600–0.0605
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
13 135.23 ₽
at 4 378.41
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.060537f′ (normalized) 0.001919wear 0.0600–0.0700on the market 2 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
×1
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Azure Zebra
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0037
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
405.62 ₽
at 405.62
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003761f′ (normalized) 0.013435wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 22 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs17 523.89 ₽
+2 803.82
(+16.0%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.013513414result 0.101622, 0.064865, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.025135, 0.006757«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
The gain is understated, noticeably. 1 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap. The calculation counts them as zero, so the profit shown is a lower bound. Such outcomes carry 18% of the probability.
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
×4
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0750
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
2 655.36 ₽
at 663.84
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075029f′ (normalized) 0.020310wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 14 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×3
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Bone Pile
Factory New
buy0.0600–0.0606
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
13 135.23 ₽
at 4 378.41
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.060628f′ (normalized) 0.002245wear 0.0600–0.0700on the market 2 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
×3
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Azure Zebra
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0044
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
1 216.86 ₽
at 405.62
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004401f′ (normalized) 0.015718wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 22 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs17 007.45 ₽
-589.83
(-3.5%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.013513414result 0.101622, 0.064865, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.025135, 0.006757«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
The gain is understated, noticeably. 1 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap. The calculation counts them as zero, so the profit shown is a lower bound. Such outcomes carry 20% of the probability.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −16 853 ₽
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
×5
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0747
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
3 319.20 ₽
at 663.84
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074709f′ (normalized) 0.019878wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 14 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×3
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Bone Pile
Factory New
buy0.0600–0.0605
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
13 135.23 ₽
at 4 378.41
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.060588f′ (normalized) 0.002102wear 0.0600–0.0700on the market 2 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
×2
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Azure Zebra
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0041
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
811.24 ₽
at 405.62
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004121f′ (normalized) 0.014718wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 22 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs17 265.67 ₽
+1 107.00
(+6.4%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.013513414result 0.101622, 0.064865, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.025135, 0.006757«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
The gain is understated, noticeably. 1 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap. The calculation counts them as zero, so the profit shown is a lower bound. Such outcomes carry 12% of the probability.
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
×3
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0745
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
1 991.52 ₽
at 663.84
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074598f′ (normalized) 0.019727wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 14 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×2
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Bone Pile
Factory New
buy0.0600–0.0605
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
8 756.82 ₽
at 4 378.41
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.060574f′ (normalized) 0.002052wear 0.0600–0.0700on the market 2 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
×5
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Azure Zebra
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0040
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
2 028.10 ₽
at 405.62
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004023f′ (normalized) 0.014369wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 22 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs12 776.44 ₽
-268.92
(-2.1%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.013513414result 0.025135, 0.006757, 0.101622, 0.064865, 0.070000, 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
The gain is understated, noticeably. 1 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap. The calculation counts them as zero, so the profit shown is a lower bound. Such outcomes carry 8% of the probability.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −7 102 ₽
!
5% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
×2
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0743
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
1 327.68 ₽
at 663.84
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074320f′ (normalized) 0.019351wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 14 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Bone Pile
Factory New
buy0.0600–0.0605
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
4 378.41 ₽
at 4 378.41
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.060540f′ (normalized) 0.001928wear 0.0600–0.0700on the market 2 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
×7
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Azure Zebra
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0037
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
2 839.34 ₽
at 405.62
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003780f′ (normalized) 0.013500wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 22 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs8 545.43 ₽
+52.00
(+0.6%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.013513414result 0.025135, 0.006757, 0.101622, 0.064865, 0.070000, 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
6 outcomes
Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 32%
Above the Steam cap 22%
at a loss
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Bright Water
Minimal Wear
7 227.99 ₽22.50%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)net 6285.21you get 0.101622
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 938.24 ₽
(you get 5 163.68)) · buy orders: 593
in profit
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Zirka
Factory New
44 431.76 ₽22.50%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ M4A4 | Zirka (Factory New)net 38636.31you get 0.064865
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Graven
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap22.50%
SteamStatTrak™ MAC-10 | Graven (Factory New)you get 0.070000sell now to a buy order: 10 420.14 ₽
(you get 9 060.99)) · buy orders: 157
in profit
best
StatTrak™ USP-S | Overgrowth
Factory New
50 840.95 ₽22.50%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ USP-S | Overgrowth (Factory New)net 44209.52you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 25 795.50 ₽
(you get 22 430.86)) · buy orders: 296
at a loss
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Blue Laminate
Factory New
4 741.53 ₽5.00%
SteamStatTrak™ AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Factory New)net 4123.07you get 0.025135The eSports 2013 Winter Collectionsells ≈15 a week — 5 of 7 days measuredsell now to a buy order: 4 873.95 ₽
(you get 4 238.21)) · buy orders: 969
sell now to a buy order: 1 272.75 ₽
(you get 1 106.73)) · buy orders: 470
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week-410.25 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+2 687.13 ₽historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Bravo Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
Similar
4 crafts almost like this one
The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 1716130
· The Bravo Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 2 970.40₽
· invest 17 295.60₽
profit on prices without salesat least −17 178 ₽no outcome pricerare inputs
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074174 instead of 0.074299; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Bone Pile (Factory New): float at most 0.060521 instead of 0.060537
Craft 1715502
· The Bravo Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 2 923.25₽
· invest 17 198.08₽
profit on prices without salesat least −17 177 ₽no outcome pricerare inputs
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Origami (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074896 instead of 0.074299; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Bone Pile (Factory New): float at most 0.060612 instead of 0.060537
Craft 1715791
· The Bravo Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 2 835.20₽
· invest 17 359.44₽
profit on prices without salesat least −17 302 ₽no outcome pricerare inputs
StatTrak™ P90 | Module (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074524 instead of 0.074299; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Bone Pile (Factory New): float at most 0.060565 instead of 0.060537
Craft 1713143
· The Arms Deal Collection + The Bravo Collection · profit 2 830.45₽
· invest 18 831.43₽
profit on prices without salesat least −18 831 ₽no outcome pricerare inputs
StatTrak™ MP7 | Skulls (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074047 instead of 0.074299; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Bone Pile (Factory New): float at most 0.060505 instead of 0.060537
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
