Crafts · The Breakout Collection
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The Breakout Collection + The Clutch Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1716319 · ways to build: 2 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +829.63₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 6 161.89₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 6 991.52₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +13.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 55%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 15 118.18₽ · profit at most −8 126.65₽ (at most -53.8%) · chance of profit at most 10%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 2314.03 → 4998.30 ₽
AUG | Stymphalian (Minimal Wear) × 9 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 3847.86 → 10119.87 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Clutch Collection
+829.63 ₽ +13.5% chance of profit 55%
expensive: M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) · 17 878.17 ₽ · chance 5.0%
rare inputs
  • 1× Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 9× AUG | Stymphalian (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
Variant 2 The Fever Collection instead of The Breakout Collection
+3 777.17 ₽ +59.5% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 14 206.16 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 2 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
  • 9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
Variant 3 The Fever Collection instead of The Clutch Collection
+3 701.47 ₽ +48.2% chance of profit 55%
expensive: P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) · 22 392.21 ₽ · chance 5.0%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 15 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0051
  • 9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
Variant 4 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Breakout Collection
+3 208.23 ₽ +53.9% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) · 9 996.43 ₽ · chance 45%
float out of reach rare inputs The rarest input sells 14 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× AUG | Stymphalian (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0746
  • 8× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1633
  • 1× P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0746
Variant 5 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Clutch Collection
+3 134.80 ₽ +42.8% chance of profit 100%
expensive: P90 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) · 17 640.77 ₽ · chance 5.0%
float out of reach rare inputs The rarest input sells 15 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
  • 9× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1649
Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Breakout Collection
+2 575.01 ₽ +42.5% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 10 178.43 ₽ · chance 40%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 2 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
  • 8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766

How to build Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
Desert Eagle | Conspiracy
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
2 314.03 ₽
at 2 314.03
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003912f′ (normalized) 0.013042wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 358 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · among lots up to 3 298.67 ₽ · little data: 2.9 d.
×9
AUG | Stymphalian
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0744
3 847.86 ₽
at 427.54
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074471f′ (normalized) 0.118208wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 110 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 813.33 ₽ · little data: 2.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 6 161.89 ₽ +829.63 (+13.5%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.107692208 result 0.096923, 0.070000, 0.053846, 0.099077 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 55%
  • Losing outcome 45%
at a loss
worst
M4A4 | Neo-Noir
Minimal Wear
5 766.94 ₽ 45.00%
Steam M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)net 5014.73 you get 0.096923The Clutch Collection sells 93 a week sell now to a buy order: 5 074.76 ₽ (you get 4 412.83)) · buy orders: 4482 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 058.40 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 4 450.00 · lots 52 on CSFloat: from 3 816.93 ₽ listings: 231 on CS.Money: ~ 4 011.37 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 998.52 ₽ listings: 368
in profit
MP7 | Bloodsport
Factory New
7 561.76 ₽ 45.00%
Steam MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New)net 6575.44 you get 0.070000The Clutch Collection sells 38 a week sell now to a buy order: 7 109.64 ₽ (you get 6 182.29)) · buy orders: 16836 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 816.44 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 377.68 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 5 474.41 ₽ listings: 120 on CS.Money: ~ 6 109.99 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 6 045.75 ₽ listings: 94
in profit
best
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
20 559.89 ₽ 5.00%
Steam M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New)net 17878.17 you get 0.053846 sells ≈32 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 20 019.82 ₽ (you get 17 408.53)) · buy orders: 2437 sell on Market.CSGO: 16 307.60 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 17 881.15 · lots 22 on CSFloat: from 14 889.09 ₽ listings: 197 on CS.Money: ~ 17 121.34 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 16 381.26 ₽ listings: 146
in profit
P90 | Asiimov
Minimal Wear
20 286.88 ₽ 5.00%
Steam P90 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear)net 17640.77 you get 0.099077 sells 29 a week sell now to a buy order: 19 782.67 ₽ (you get 17 202.32)) · buy orders: 2211 sell on Market.CSGO: 16 101.95 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 17 655.65 · lots 35 on CSFloat: from 14 805.15 ₽ listings: 87 on CS.Money: ~ 16 457.49 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 15 908.43 ₽ listings: 108
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