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The Breakout Collection + The Genesis Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +256.38₴

Invest 268.52₴

Average return 524.90₴

ROI +95.5%

Chance of profit 92%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 688.10₴ · profit at most −163.20₴ (at most -23.7%) · chance of profit at most 18%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 38.52 → 83.21 ₴

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear) × 9 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 230.00 → 604.89 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −137 ₴

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Genesis Collection

+256.38 ₴ +95.5% chance of profit 92%

expensive: StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation (Factory New) · 1 458.07 ₴ · chance 18%

profit on prices without salesat least −137 ₴

1× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
9× StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0762

Variant 2 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Genesis Collection

+269.89 ₴ +111.9% chance of profit 92%

expensive: StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Factory New) · 1 000.01 ₴ · chance 18%

rare inputs

1× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
9× StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0762

Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

+5 642.60 ₴ +421.2% chance of profit 52%

expensive: StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) · 24 263.20 ₴ · chance 13%

profit on prices without salesat least −1 261 ₴

6× StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
4× StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0839

Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

+3 832.40 ₴ +193.3% chance of profit 36%

expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 26 120.27 ₴ · chance 18%

profit on prices without salesat least −1 750 ₴

1× StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
9× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0860

Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Genesis Collection

+3 831.47 ₴ +196.3% chance of profit 54%

expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 26 120.27 ₴ · chance 18%

profit on prices without salesat least −1 718 ₴

1× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
9× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0856

Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Genesis Collection

+2 744.48 ₴ +356.7% chance of profit 20%

expensive: StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) · 24 263.20 ₴ · chance 6.7%

profit on prices without salesat least −656 ₴

8× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
2× StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0839

How to build

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

38.52 ₴

at 38.52

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

230.00 ₴

at 25.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 268.52 ₴ +256.38 (+95.5%)

profit on prices without sales at least −145 ₴

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

154.10 ₴

at 38.52

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1686

24.10 ₴

at 12.05

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

102.22 ₴

at 25.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 280.42 ₴ +148.56 (+53.0%)

profit on prices without sales at least −143 ₴

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

192.62 ₴

at 38.52

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

36.16 ₴

at 12.05

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

51.11 ₴

at 25.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 279.89 ₴ +117.12 (+41.9%)

profit on prices without sales at least −135 ₴

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

77.05 ₴

at 38.52

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

12.05 ₴

at 12.05

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

178.89 ₴

at 25.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 267.99 ₴ +224.94 (+83.9%)

profit on prices without sales at least −141 ₴

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Ivory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

33.02 ₴

at 33.02

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

77.05 ₴

at 38.52

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

12.05 ₴

at 12.05

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

153.33 ₴

at 25.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 275.45 ₴ +185.50 (+67.3%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 92%
Losing outcome 8%

in profit

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes

Factory New

349.68 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation

Factory New

1 676.78 ₴ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight

Factory New

402.65 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular

Factory New

380.94 ₴ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum

Factory New

391.98 ₴ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Osiris

Factory New

224.25 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Factory New

437.53 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Koi

Factory New

225.79 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova

Factory New

203.25 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +204.61 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +250.50 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Genesis Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1731774 · The Gamma Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 279.34₴ · invest 258.32₴
profit on prices without salesat least −110 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074193 instead of 0.076256
Craft 1723908 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 274.94₴ · invest 244.42₴
profit on prices without salesat least −108 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074729 instead of 0.076256
Craft 1732524 · The Genesis Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 270.42₴ · invest 251.67₴
profit on prices without salesat least −113 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076827 instead of 0.076256
Craft 1725970 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 269.69₴ · invest 245.09₴
profit on prices without salesat least −114 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076256
Craft 1729155 · The Fracture Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 266.18₴ · invest 253.35₴
profit on prices without salesat least −121 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076256
Craft 1732789 · The Genesis Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 260.61₴ · invest 256.54₴
profit on prices without salesat least −127 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076915 instead of 0.076256
Craft 1732751 · The Genesis Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 258.92₴ · invest 259.10₴
profit on prices without salesat least −125 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076256
Craft 1732940 · The Genesis Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 258.18₴ · invest 259.93₴
profit on prices without salesat least −129 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076256
Craft 1730981 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 257.87₴ · invest 276.45₴
profit on prices without salesat least −141 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.076256
Craft 1732701 · The Genesis Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 257.81₴ · invest 301.75₴
profit on prices without salesat least −169 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Crypsis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076609 instead of 0.076256

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Genesis Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build