Crafts · The Breakout Collection
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The Breakout Collection + The Horizon Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1716627 · ways to build: 5 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +2 759.11₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 10 470.65₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 13 229.76₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +26.4%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 60%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 25 403.42₽ · profit at most −12 173.66₽ (at most -47.9%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 1831.92 → 3956.95 ₽
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 2157.77 → 4660.78 ₽
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 6480.96 → 16785.69 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −6 651 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −6 651 ₽: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Horizon Collection
+2 759.11 ₽ +26.4% chance of profit 60%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) · 19 218.83 ₽ · chance 40%
profit on prices without salesat least −6 651 ₽ float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
  • 1× StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0747
  • 8× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection
+34 038.96 ₽ +147.3% chance of profit 95%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 77 229.36 ₽ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
  • 1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1617
  • 8× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Horizon Collection
+33 801.56 ₽ +144.5% chance of profit 100%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 77 229.36 ₽ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
  • 1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1631
  • 8× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Horizon Collection
+21 841.10 ₽ +52.2% chance of profit 45%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 117 438.99 ₽ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0076
  • 3× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0787
  • 6× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0076
Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection
+21 545.87 ₽ +51.2% chance of profit 45%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 117 438.99 ₽ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0091
  • 3× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0804
  • 6× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0091
Variant 6 The Fever Collection instead of The Horizon Collection
+10 256.11 ₽ +81.0% chance of profit 55%
expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 36 575.01 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0051
  • 9× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1636
1 831.92 ₽
at 1 831.92
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163658f′ (normalized) 0.163658wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 14 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 30 · from 1 875.06 ₽ (float 0.1550) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0747
2 157.77 ₽
at 2 157.77
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074750f′ (normalized) 0.074750wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 15 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 34) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×8
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1636
6 480.96 ₽
at 810.12
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163658f′ (normalized) 0.204573wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 10 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 54) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 10 470.65 ₽ +2 759.11 (+26.4%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.187499900 result 0.150000, 0.187500, 0.093750, 0.172500 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 60%
  • Losing outcome 40%
in profit
best
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider
Minimal Wear
22 101.65 ₽ 40.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear)net 19218.83 you get 0.150000The Horizon Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 14 682.06 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 16 098.76 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 13 645.34 ₽ listings: 75 on CS.Money: ~ 14 194.41 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 14 266.36 ₽ listings: 63
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red
Field-Tested
6 549.05 ₽ 40.00%
Steam StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested)net 5694.83 you get 0.187500The Horizon Collection sells 9 a week sell now to a buy order: 6 427.84 ₽ (you get 5 589.42)) · buy orders: 405 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 059.96 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 548.21 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 5 186.60 ₽ listings: 26 on CS.Money: ~ 5 599.47 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 273.11 ₽ listings: 50
in profit
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex
Minimal Wear
17 732.55 ₽ 10.00%
Steam StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)net 15419.61 you get 0.093750 sells 9 a week sell now to a buy order: 17 719.11 ₽ (you get 15 407.92)) · buy orders: 689 sell on Market.CSGO: 14 400.00 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 15 789.48 · lots 30 on CSFloat: from 13 871.48 ₽ listings: 38 on CS.Money: ~ 16 204.80 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 15 158.92 ₽ listings: 53
in profit
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov
Field-Tested
19 806.85 ₽ 10.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested)net 17223.35 you get 0.172500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 16 819.29 ₽ (you get 14 625.46)) · buy orders: 859 sell on Market.CSGO: 14 355.02 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 15 740.16 · lots 16 on CSFloat: from 13 643.63 ₽ listings: 27 on CS.Money: ~ 14 537.90 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 13 643.63 ₽ listings: 49
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