The Breakout Collection
+ The Operation Broken Fang Collection
StatTrak™
Classified → Covert
About the craftCraft 1716697 · ways to build: 5StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+19 227.31₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».50 296.39₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.69 523.70₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+38.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.45%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 130 784.59₽
· profit at most −61 260.89₽
(at most -46.8%) · chance of profit at most 0%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) × 16% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.163180.67 → 6870.25 ₽
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear) × 96% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.6347115.72 → 123914.34 ₽
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
profit on prices without salesIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −40 776 ₽Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −40 776 ₽: StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New), StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Factory New), StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
продажа ненадёжнаmarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.float out of reachThere are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
1× StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear)buy0.0700–0.0745
1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested)buy0.1500–0.1631
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0041
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
3 180.67 ₽
at 3 180.67
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004132f′ (normalized) 0.013773wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 46 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×9
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0747
(0% of this wear's listings)
47 115.72 ₽
at 5 235.08
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074722f′ (normalized) 0.076247wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs50 296.39 ₽
+19 227.31
(+38.2%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.056000, 0.035000, 0.064400«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −24 304 ₽
!
9% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×6
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0771
(0% of this wear's listings)
12 946.62 ₽
at 2 157.77
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077178f′ (normalized) 0.077178wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 15 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
×3
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0062
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
9 542.01 ₽
at 3 180.67
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006280f′ (normalized) 0.020936wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 46 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1706
(0% of this wear's listings)
2 872.85 ₽
at 2 872.85
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.170637f′ (normalized) 0.174119wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 15 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Set · 10 pcs25 361.48 ₽
+7 915.31
(+31.2%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.035000, 0.064400, 0.070000, 0.056000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −36 421 ₽
!
8% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×3
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0058
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
9 542.01 ₽
at 3 180.67
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005816f′ (normalized) 0.019388wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 46 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1691
(0% of this wear's listings)
2 872.85 ₽
at 2 872.85
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.169111f′ (normalized) 0.172562wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 15 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
×6
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0766
(0% of this wear's listings)
31 410.48 ₽
at 5 235.08
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076647f′ (normalized) 0.078211wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs43 825.34 ₽
+16 636.63
(+38.0%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.056000, 0.035000, 0.064400«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −28 706 ₽
!
8% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×6
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0054
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
19 084.02 ₽
at 3 180.67
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005424f′ (normalized) 0.018082wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 46 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×3
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1678
(0% of this wear's listings)
8 618.55 ₽
at 2 872.85
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.167824f′ (normalized) 0.171249wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 15 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0761
(0% of this wear's listings)
5 235.08 ₽
at 5 235.08
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076199f′ (normalized) 0.077754wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs32 937.65 ₽
+13 931.73
(+42.3%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.035000, 0.064400, 0.070000, 0.056000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −24 984 ₽
!
7% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×4
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0752
(0% of this wear's listings)
8 631.08 ₽
at 2 157.77
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075288f′ (normalized) 0.075288wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 15 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
×4
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0046
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
12 722.68 ₽
at 3 180.67
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004627f′ (normalized) 0.015423wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 46 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×2
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1652
(0% of this wear's listings)
5 745.70 ₽
at 2 872.85
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165203f′ (normalized) 0.168575wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 15 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Set · 10 pcs27 099.46 ₽
+10 708.20
(+39.5%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.035000, 0.064400, 0.070000, 0.056000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
4 outcomes
Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir
Factory New
24 330.06 ₽45.00%
SteamStatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)net 21156.57you get 0.070000The Operation Broken Fang Collectionsells 1 a weeksell now to a buy order: 21 725.75 ₽
(you get 18 891.95)) · buy orders: 1715
sell on Market.CSGO: 19 686.99 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 21 586.62 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 18 406.22 ₽listings: 14
on CS.Money: ~ 20 213.60 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 20 143.36 ₽listings: 28
sell now to a buy order: 103 421.07 ₽
(you get 89 931.36)) · buy orders: 1968
sell on Market.CSGO: 82 089.09 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 90 009.97 · lots 11
on CSFloat: from 79 865.06 ₽listings: 56
on CS.Money: ~ 92 524.47 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 83 926.97 ₽listings: 53
at a loss
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
27 760.32 ₽5.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New)net 24139.41you get 0.035000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 22 195.26 ₽
(you get 19 300.22)) · buy orders: 1002
sell on Market.CSGO: 18 318.75 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 20 086.35 · lots 20
on CSFloat: from 17 320.07 ₽listings: 55
on CS.Money: ~ 21 379.41 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 17 708.10 ₽listings: 63
at a loss
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov
Factory New
38 355.32 ₽5.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Factory New)net 33352.45you get 0.064400
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 26 565.28 ₽
(you get 23 100.24)) · buy orders: 401
sell on Market.CSGO: 29 041.18 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 31 843.41 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 23 555.98 ₽listings: 7
on CS.Money: ~ 26 523.18 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 24 936.79 ₽listings: 24
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+16 500.12 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+18 676.94 ₽historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Operation Broken Fang Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
Similar
22 crafts almost like this one
The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 1717702
· The CS20 Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 19 871.68₽
· invest 48 537.74₽
profit on prices without salesat least −38 747 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075025 instead of 0.074722
Craft 1736051
· The Kilowatt Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 19 673.73₽
· invest 48 761.46₽
profit on prices without salesat least −38 544 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075447 instead of 0.074722
Craft 1729353
· The Fracture Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 19 589.59₽
· invest 48 128.66₽
profit on prices without salesat least −38 318 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075226 instead of 0.074722
Craft 1737419
· The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 19 557.40₽
· invest 48 445.62₽
profit on prices without salesat least −37 571 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075476 instead of 0.074722
Craft 1727543
· The Falchion Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 19 398.33₽
· invest 49 739.75₽
profit on prices without salesat least −40 219 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074794 instead of 0.074722
profit on prices without salesat least −40 087 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075559 instead of 0.074722
Craft 1737325
· The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 19 161.67₽
· invest 49 177.37₽
profit on prices without salesat least −39 657 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New)
Craft 1737459
· The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 19 016.17₽
· invest 48 973.81₽
profit on prices without salesat least −38 932 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075680 instead of 0.074722
Craft 1728478
· The Fever Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 19 009.97₽
· invest 49 865.72₽
profit on prices without salesat least −38 517 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075680 instead of 0.074722
Craft 1737623
· The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 18 974.03₽
· invest 50 169.66₽
profit on prices without salesat least −40 649 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075303 instead of 0.074722
Craft 1734793
· The Horizon Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 18 932.08₽
· invest 50 543.02₽
profit on prices without salesat least −41 023 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075559 instead of 0.074722
profit on prices without salesat least −41 850 ₽rare inputs
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075680 instead of 0.074722
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
