Crafts · The Breakout Collection
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The Breakout Collection + The Recoil Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1716846 · ways to build: 2 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +828.18₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 7 195.73₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 8 023.91₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +11.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 55%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 17 514.89₽ · profit at most −9 490.99₽ (at most -54.2%) · chance of profit at most 10%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 2103.05 → 4542.59 ₽
P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 506.36 → 1093.74 ₽
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) × 8 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 4586.32 → 11878.57 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Recoil Collection
+828.18 ₽ +11.5% chance of profit 55%
expensive: M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) · 17 878.17 ₽ · chance 5.0%
  • 1× Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 1× P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 8× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
Variant 2 The Fever Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+3 701.47 ₽ +48.2% chance of profit 55%
expensive: P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) · 22 392.21 ₽ · chance 5.0%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 15 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0051
  • 9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
Variant 3 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+3 134.80 ₽ +42.8% chance of profit 100%
expensive: P90 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) · 17 640.77 ₽ · chance 5.0%
float out of reach rare inputs The rarest input sells 15 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
  • 9× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1649
Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Breakout Collection
+2 686.86 ₽ +46.2% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 10 178.43 ₽ · chance 40%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× P250 | Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768
Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+2 423.62 ₽ +27.8% chance of profit 60%
expensive: P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) · 22 392.21 ₽ · chance 10%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
  • 8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Breakout Collection
+2 340.05 ₽ +40.2% chance of profit 100%
expensive: M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) · 8 841.97 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly
  • 1× P250 | Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
  • 1× AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
  • 8× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749

How to build Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
Glock-18 | Water Elemental
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0758
2 103.05 ₽
at 2 103.05
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075851f′ (normalized) 0.108359wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 206 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 14 of 259 · from 2 056.65 ₽ (float 0.0753) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
P250 | Visions
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0758
506.36 ₽
at 506.36
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075851f′ (normalized) 0.108359wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 202 · good ≈ 4
on the market with this float, usually ~4, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 1 366.42 ₽ · little data: 3.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 8 of 198 · from 764.93 ₽ (float 0.0726) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×8
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0758
4 586.32 ₽
at 573.29
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075851f′ (normalized) 0.075851wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 253 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 151 · from 2 508.07 ₽ (float 0.0749) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 7 195.73 ₽ +828.18 (+11.5%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.082352841 result 0.057647, 0.070000, 0.041176, 0.075765 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 55%
  • Losing outcome 45%
at a loss
worst
AWP | Chromatic Aberration
Factory New
7 100.73 ₽ 45.00%
Steam AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New)net 6174.55 you get 0.057647The Recoil Collection sells 34 a week sell now to a buy order: 7 133.54 ₽ (you get 6 203.07)) · buy orders: 2825 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 836.79 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 399.99 · lots 40 on CSFloat: from 5 330.50 ₽ listings: 184 on CS.Money: ~ 5 700.55 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 676.56 ₽ listings: 176
in profit
USP-S | Printstream
Factory New
8 866.28 ₽ 45.00%
Steam USP-S | Printstream (Factory New)net 7709.81 you get 0.070000The Recoil Collection sells 33 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 7 742.83 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 489.95 · lots 45 on CSFloat: from 7 423.13 ₽ listings: 245 on CS.Money: ~ 8 402.20 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 993.62 ₽ listings: 196
in profit
best
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
20 559.89 ₽ 5.00%
Steam M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New)net 17878.17 you get 0.041176 sells ≈32 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 20 019.82 ₽ (you get 17 408.53)) · buy orders: 2437 sell on Market.CSGO: 16 307.60 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 17 881.15 · lots 22 on CSFloat: from 14 889.09 ₽ listings: 197 on CS.Money: ~ 17 121.34 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 16 381.26 ₽ listings: 146
in profit
P90 | Asiimov
Minimal Wear
20 286.88 ₽ 5.00%
Steam P90 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear)net 17640.77 you get 0.075765 sells 29 a week sell now to a buy order: 19 782.67 ₽ (you get 17 202.32)) · buy orders: 2211 sell on Market.CSGO: 16 101.95 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 17 655.65 · lots 35 on CSFloat: from 14 805.15 ₽ listings: 87 on CS.Money: ~ 16 457.49 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 15 908.43 ₽ listings: 108
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