The Breakout Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.

Average profit +25 106.79₸

Invest 144 212.61₸

Average return 169 319.40₸

ROI +17.4%

Chance of profit 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 374 737.90₸ · profit at most −205 418.50₸ (at most -54.8%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested) × 1 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 9662.22 → 20870.40 ₸

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested) × 9 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 134550.38 → 353867.51 ₸

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −140 146 ₸

+ a third collection

How to build

11% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 11% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1749

9 662.22 ₸

at 9 662.22

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1749

134 550.38 ₸

at 14 950.04

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 144 212.61 ₸ +25 106.79 (+17.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

345 638.73 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken

Factory New

65 066.79 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

93 528.02 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

104 468.65 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The Fever Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +13 277.70 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +23 029.38 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 16 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

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profit on prices without salesat least −140 352 ₸ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −140 146 ₸ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −135 194 ₸ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −135 344 ₸ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −137 263 ₸ float out of reach rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −147 264 ₸ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −135 399 ₸ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −137 939 ₸ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −143 517 ₸ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −142 747 ₸ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −136 156 ₸ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −142 656 ₸ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −133 898 ₸ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −139 242 ₸ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −140 017 ₸ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −140 279 ₸ rare inputs

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How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build