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The CS20 Collection + The Gallery Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +24.42$

Invest 99.45$

Average return 123.87$

ROI +24.6%

Chance of profit 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 241.26$ · profit at most −117.39$ (at most -48.7%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 12.51 → 27.03 $

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) × 3 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 15.91 → 35.95 $

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) × 6 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 71.03 → 178.28 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The CS20 Collection + The Gallery Collection

+24.42 $ +24.6% chance of profit 90%

expensive: M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) · 143.18 $ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
3× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1657
6× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754

Variant 2 The Fever Collection instead of The Gallery Collection

+45.34 $ +60.3% chance of profit 95%

expensive: AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 165.85 $ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766

Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The CS20 Collection

+40.89 $ +62.6% chance of profit 100%

expensive: M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) · 143.18 $ · chance 25%

sells slowly

5× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1615
3× XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1615
2× R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) buy 0.2500–0.2565

Variant 4 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Gallery Collection

+36.18 $ +50.9% chance of profit 95%

expensive: AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) · 116.70 $ · chance 45%

rare inputs

1× P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
9× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1657

Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The CS20 Collection

+34.55 $ +40.7% chance of profit 100%

expensive: M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) · 143.18 $ · chance 30%

sells slowly

5× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1627
1× P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
4× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038

Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The CS20 Collection

+34.32 $ +47.9% chance of profit 70%

expensive: M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) · 143.18 $ · chance 20%

sells slowly

4× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1648
6× Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045

How to build

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

P90 | Nostalgia

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

12.51 $

at 12.51

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

15.91 $

at 5.30

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

71.03 $

at 11.84

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 99.45 $ +24.42 (+24.6%)

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

P90 | Nostalgia

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

50.05 $

at 12.51

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

26.51 $

at 5.30

Steam

×1

P250 | Epicenter

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

10.81 $

at 10.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 87.37 $ +17.64 (+20.2%)

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

P90 | Nostalgia

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

14.01 $

at 7.00

Steam

×4

P90 | Nostalgia

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

50.05 $

at 12.51

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

21.21 $

at 5.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 85.27 $ +7.17 (+8.4%)

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

P90 | Nostalgia

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

37.54 $

at 12.51

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

21.21 $

at 5.30

Steam

×3

P250 | Epicenter

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

32.44 $

at 10.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 91.19 $ +20.11 (+22.1%)

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

AUG | Death by Puppy

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

5.64 $

at 5.64

Steam

×4

P90 | Nostalgia

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

50.05 $

at 12.51

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

21.21 $

at 5.30

Steam

×1

P250 | Epicenter

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

10.81 $

at 10.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 87.71 $ +11.01 (+12.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Factory New

134.70 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Vaporwave

Factory New

164.66 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Wildfire

Minimal Wear

88.02 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

66.77 $ 5.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.14 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +12.05 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Gallery Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1716492 · The Breakout Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 23.93$ · invest 113.95$
sells slowly rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New); UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164464 instead of 0.165700; UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075030 instead of 0.075461
Craft 1730494 · The Gallery Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 23.84$ · invest 98.64$
sells slowly rare inputs

AWP | Duality (Factory New) instead of P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New); UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166141 instead of 0.165700; UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075614 instead of 0.075461
Craft 1723827 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 23.30$ · invest 99.35$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New); UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165494 instead of 0.165700; UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075389 instead of 0.075461

Market check at night · fresher — with «Check floats on Steam»

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection + The Gallery Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build