StatTrak™
Classified → Covert
About the craftCraft 1717466 · ways to build: 5StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+18 189.35₸
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».60 340.37₸
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.78 529.72₸
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+30.1%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.50%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 142 540.95₸
· profit at most −64 011.23₸
(at most -44.9%) · chance of profit at most 0%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) × 25% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.2115000.52 → 33151.15 ₸
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) × 65% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.5130629.11 → 76879.06 ₸
StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) × 25% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.2114710.74 → 32510.75 ₸
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
1× StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New)buy0.0000–0.0036
2× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested)buy0.1500–0.1621
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
продажа ненадёжнаmarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
1× StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New)buy0.0000–0.0081
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
5% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×2
StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0035
(0% of this wear's listings)
15 000.52 ₸
at 7 500.26
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003514f′ (normalized) 0.008786wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 29 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 59 · from 24 884.74 ₸ (float 0.0032) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×6
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1615
(0% of this wear's listings)
30 629.11 ₸
at 5 104.85
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.161547f′ (normalized) 0.161547wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 21 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 57 · from 8 010.29 ₸ (float 0.1615) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0740
(0% of this wear's listings)
14 710.74 ₸
at 7 355.37
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074016f′ (normalized) 0.092520wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 43 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 57 · from 16 128.97 ₸ (float 0.0702) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs60 340.37 ₸
+18 189.35
(+30.1%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.117189820result 0.085607, 0.070000, 0.090861, 0.058595«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
8% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0058
(0% of this wear's listings)
7 500.26 ₸
at 7 500.26
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005898f′ (normalized) 0.014745wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 29 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 59 · from 24 884.74 ₸ (float 0.0032) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×4
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1693
(8% of this wear's listings)
20 419.41 ₸
at 5 104.85
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.169380f′ (normalized) 0.169380wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 21 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 11 281.88 ₸
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 57 · from 8 010.29 ₸ (float 0.1615) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×5
StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0767
(0% of this wear's listings)
36 776.86 ₸
at 7 355.37
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076740f′ (normalized) 0.095926wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 43 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 57 · from 16 128.97 ₸ (float 0.0702) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs64 696.53 ₸
+17 087.64
(+26.4%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.117189820result 0.085607, 0.070000, 0.090861, 0.058595«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −3 316 ₸
!
7% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×2
StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1649
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
7 378.32 ₸
at 3 689.16
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164965f′ (normalized) 0.289413wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 21 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 81 · from 3 862.84 ₸ (float 0.1618) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×5
StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0045
(0% of this wear's listings)
37 501.30 ₸
at 7 500.26
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004554f′ (normalized) 0.011386wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 29 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 59 · from 24 884.74 ₸ (float 0.0032) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1649
(0% of this wear's listings)
5 010.60 ₸
at 5 010.60
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164965f′ (normalized) 0.206206wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 57 · from 5 150.42 ₸ (float 0.1531) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1649
(4% of this wear's listings)
10 209.70 ₸
at 5 104.85
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164965f′ (normalized) 0.164965wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 21 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 11 281.88 ₸
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 57 · from 8 010.29 ₸ (float 0.1615) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs60 099.91 ₸
+2 157.69
(+3.6%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.117189820result 0.090861, 0.058595, 0.085607, 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ MP9 | Hydra
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1631
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
6 592.96 ₸
at 6 592.96
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163131f′ (normalized) 0.163131wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 31 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 68 · from 9 654.79 ₸ (float 0.1607) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0039
(0% of this wear's listings)
22 500.78 ₸
at 7 500.26
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003996f′ (normalized) 0.009991wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 29 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 59 · from 24 884.74 ₸ (float 0.0032) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×6
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1631
(0% of this wear's listings)
30 629.11 ₸
at 5 104.85
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163131f′ (normalized) 0.163131wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 21 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 57 · from 8 010.29 ₸ (float 0.1615) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs59 722.85 ₸
+12 298.04
(+20.6%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.117189820result 0.085607, 0.070000, 0.090861, 0.058595«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −2 097 ₸
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×3
StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0745
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
15 139.55 ₸
at 5 046.52
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074570f′ (normalized) 0.186425wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 16 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 36 · from 5 294.99 ₸ (float 0.0739) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0039
(0% of this wear's listings)
22 500.78 ₸
at 7 500.26
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003998f′ (normalized) 0.009997wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 29 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 59 · from 24 884.74 ₸ (float 0.0032) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1631
(0% of this wear's listings)
15 314.55 ₸
at 5 104.85
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163139f′ (normalized) 0.163139wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 21 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 57 · from 8 010.29 ₸ (float 0.1615) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0745
(0% of this wear's listings)
7 355.37 ₸
at 7 355.37
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074570f′ (normalized) 0.093212wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 43 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 57 · from 16 128.97 ₸ (float 0.0702) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs60 310.26 ₸
+5 201.79
(+8.6%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.117189820result 0.090861, 0.058595, 0.085607, 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
sell now to a buy order: 35 052.72 ₸
(you get 30 480.58)) · buy orders: 1538
sell on Market.CSGO: 31 233.13 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 34 246.90 · lots 12
on CSFloat: from 29 361.99 ₸listings: 48
on CS.Money: ~ 33 017.03 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 31 137.56 ₸listings: 59
in profit
best
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Vaporwave
Factory New
153 620.92 ₸40.00%
SteamStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New)net 133583.43you get 0.070000The Gallery Collectionsells 3 a weeksell now to a buy order: 156 330.10 ₸
(you get 135 939.18)) · buy orders: 1679
sell on Market.CSGO: 136 033.17 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 149 159.18 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 121 979.50 ₸listings: 56
on CS.Money: ~ 134 747.12 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 134 096.58 ₸listings: 38
in profit
StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire
Minimal Wear
87 925.33 ₸10.00%
SteamStatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Minimal Wear)net 76456.79you get 0.090861sells ≈5 a week — 6 of 7 days measuredsell now to a buy order: 76 747.83 ₸
(you get 66 737.23)) · buy orders: 990
sell on Market.CSGO: 63 712.75 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 69 860.50 · lots 17
on CSFloat: from 60 034.19 ₸listings: 51
on CS.Money: ~ 66 259.90 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 62 135.03 ₸listings: 52
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
32 811.64 ₸10.00%
SteamStatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)net 28531.86you get 0.058595sells 2 a weekno buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 30 362.49 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 33 292.24 · lots 10
on CSFloat: from 27 017.22 ₸listings: 31
on CS.Money: ~ 29 140.63 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 31 322.79 ₸listings: 33
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+9 332.47 ₸a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+15 982.61 ₸historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Gallery Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
Similar
6 crafts almost like this one
The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 1716499
· The Breakout Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 18 325.99₸
· invest 72 602.65₸
profit on prices without salesat least −19 169 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162727 instead of 0.161547; StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 2; StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074426 instead of 0.074016
Craft 1727275
· The Falchion Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 18 313.24₸
· invest 64 608.92₸
profit on prices without salesat least −11 176 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162727 instead of 0.161547; StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 2; StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074426 instead of 0.074016
Craft 1730945
· The Gallery Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 18 188.20₸
· invest 72 274.79₸
profit on prices without salesat least −18 841 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164177 instead of 0.161547; StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 2; StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074931 instead of 0.074016
Craft 1720509
· The Chroma 3 Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 18 135.82₸
· invest 64 612.61₸
profit on prices without salesat least −11 179 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162727 instead of 0.161547; StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 2; StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074426 instead of 0.074016
Craft 1725893
· The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 17 207.92₸
· invest 57 752.45₸
sells slowlyrare inputs
StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162727 instead of 0.161547; StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 2; StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074426 instead of 0.074016
Craft 1730504
· The Gallery Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 16 714.59₸
· invest 57 095.47₸
sells slowlyrare inputs
StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162727 instead of 0.161547; StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 2; StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074426 instead of 0.074016
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
