Crafts · The CS20 Collection
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The CS20 Collection + The Recoil Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1717883 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +511.96₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 3 617.12₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 4 129.08₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +14.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 50%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 9 325.63₽ · profit at most −5 196.54₽ (at most -55.7%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 398.72 → 861.24 ₽
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested) × 9 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 3218.40 → 8464.39 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The CS20 Collection + The Recoil Collection
+511.96 ₽ +14.2% chance of profit 50%
expensive: AWP | Wildfire (Minimal Wear) · 6 555.90 ₽ · chance 5.0%
  • 1× P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1640
  • 9× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1640
Variant 2 The Fever Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+3 884.06 ₽ +60.3% chance of profit 95%
expensive: AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 14 206.16 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
  • 9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766
Variant 3 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+3 099.50 ₽ +50.9% chance of profit 95%
expensive: AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) · 9 996.43 ₽ · chance 45%
rare inputs
  • 1× P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
  • 9× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1657
Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+2 788.81 ₽ +44.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) · 14 105.21 ₽ · chance 10%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
  • 8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The CS20 Collection
+2 686.86 ₽ +46.2% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 10 178.43 ₽ · chance 40%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× P250 | Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768
Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+2 391.02 ₽ +39.7% chance of profit 95%
expensive: AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) · 14 105.21 ₽ · chance 5.0%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
  • 1× AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748
  • 8× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
P90 | Nostalgia
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1640
398.72 ₽
at 398.72
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164091f′ (normalized) 0.287880wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 98 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×9
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1640
3 218.40 ₽
at 357.60
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164091f′ (normalized) 0.164091wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 544 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 650.38 ₽ · among lots up to 707.91 ₽ · little data: 3.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 3 617.12 ₽ +511.96 (+14.2%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.176470488 result 0.123529, 0.150000, 0.131765, 0.088235 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 50%
  • Losing outcome 50%
at a loss
AWP | Chromatic Aberration
Minimal Wear
3 788.03 ₽ 45.00%
Steam AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear)net 3293.94 you get 0.123529The Recoil Collection sells 140 a week sell now to a buy order: 3 772.36 ₽ (you get 3 280.31)) · buy orders: 3940 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 906.86 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 187.35 · lots 64 on CSFloat: from 2 929.51 ₽ listings: 262 on CS.Money: ~ 2 793.31 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 012.60 ₽ listings: 338
in profit
USP-S | Printstream
Minimal Wear
5 568.20 ₽ 45.00%
Steam USP-S | Printstream (Minimal Wear)net 4841.91 you get 0.150000The Recoil Collection sells 133 a week sell now to a buy order: 6 217.47 ₽ (you get 5 406.49)) · buy orders: 2282 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 651.20 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 100.00 · lots 215 on CSFloat: from 4 454.22 ₽ listings: 720 on CS.Money: ~ 5 013.57 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 4 769.44 ₽ listings: 484
in profit
best
AWP | Wildfire
Minimal Wear
7 539.29 ₽ 5.00%
Steam AWP | Wildfire (Minimal Wear)net 6555.90 you get 0.131765 sells ≈72 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 6 767.30 ₽ (you get 5 884.60)) · buy orders: 2177 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 472.00 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 000.00 · lots 51 on CSFloat: from 5 065.82 ₽ listings: 291 on CS.Money: ~ 5 633.73 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 306.52 ₽ listings: 334
at a loss
worst
FAMAS | Commemoration
Minimal Wear
3 223.56 ₽ 5.00%
Steam FAMAS | Commemoration (Minimal Wear)net 2803.10 you get 0.088235 sells 59 a week sell now to a buy order: 3 212.96 ₽ (you get 2 793.87)) · buy orders: 2155 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 693.23 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 953.11 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 2 489.22 ₽ listings: 98 on CS.Money: ~ 2 701.66 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 668.25 ₽ listings: 75
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