Crafts · The Chop Shop Collection
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The Chop Shop Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1718843 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +2 473.60₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 11 859.55₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 14 333.15₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +20.9%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 50%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 29 293.09₽ · profit at most −14 959.94₽ (at most -51.1%) · chance of profit at most 25%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear) × 5 10% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 11500.00 → 28405.00 ₽
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) × 5 10% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 359.55 → 888.09 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −11 535 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −11 535 ₽: Dual Berettas | Duelist (Factory New), SG 553 | Bulldozer (Minimal Wear)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Chop Shop Collection + The Falchion Collection
+2 473.60 ₽ +20.9% chance of profit 50%
expensive: Dual Berettas | Duelist (Factory New) · 36 033.45 ₽ · chance 25%
profit on prices without salesat least −11 535 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× MP7 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0779
  • 5× UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0069
Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Chop Shop Collection
+2 223.35 ₽ +310.3% chance of profit 42%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
  • 9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Chop Shop Collection
+754.37 ₽ +93.3% chance of profit 36%
expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 9 555.43 ₽ · chance 8.0%
rare inputs
  • 6× UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
  • 4× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1651
Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Chop Shop Collection
+494.18 ₽ +61.2% chance of profit 92%
expensive: AWP | Black Box (Factory New) · 2 128.47 ₽ · chance 30%
rare inputs
  • 1× UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 9× R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768
Variant 5 The Mirage Collection instead of The Chop Shop Collection
+30 442.85 ₽ +154.9% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −19 568 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 6 The Mirage Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+29 353.42 ₽ +121.2% chance of profit 100%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −24 219 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× MP7 | Full Stop (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

10% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 10% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5
MP7 | Full Stop
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0779
11 500.00 ₽
at 2 300.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077999f′ (normalized) 0.129999wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 16 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×5
UMP-45 | Riot
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0069
359.55 ₽
at 71.91
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006999f′ (normalized) 0.009999wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 174 · good ≈ 12
on the market with this float, usually ~14, new ~0.5 per day, cheapest usually 215.09 ₽ · little data: 2.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 11 859.55 ₽ +2 473.60 (+20.9%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.070000, 0.111800, 0.042000, 0.070000, 0.036400, 0.035000, 0.175700 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 7 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 50%
  • Losing outcome 50%
in profit
best
Dual Berettas | Duelist
Factory New
41 438.47 ₽ 25.00%
price without deals
Steam Dual Berettas | Duelist (Factory New)net 36033.45 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 26 103.41 ₽ (you get 22 698.61)) · buy orders: 113 sell on Market.CSGO: 25 699.25 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 28 179.01 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 24 411.71 ₽ listings: 26 on Lis-Skins: from 22 005.57 ₽ listings: 34
in profit
SG 553 | Bulldozer
Minimal Wear
23 000.00 ₽ 25.00%
price without deals
Steam SG 553 | Bulldozer (Minimal Wear)net 20000.00 you get 0.111800
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 16 588.43 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 18 189.07 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 14 476.22 ₽ listings: 14 on CS.Money: ~ 17 326.07 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 16 316.16 ₽ listings: 17
at a loss
FAMAS | Neural Net
Factory New
597.19 ₽ 10.00%
Steam FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New)net 519.30 you get 0.042000The Falchion Collection sells 28 a week sell now to a buy order: 558.44 ₽ (you get 485.60)) · buy orders: 9026 sell on Market.CSGO: 452.72 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 496.41 · lots 88 on CSFloat: from 457.41 ₽ listings: 122 on CS.Money: ~ 471.12 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 460.84 ₽ listings: 275
at a loss
P2000 | Handgun
Factory New
1 713.16 ₽ 10.00%
Steam P2000 | Handgun (Factory New)net 1489.70 you get 0.070000The Falchion Collection sells 15 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 644.73 ₽ (you get 1 430.20)) · buy orders: 2687 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 418.66 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 555.55 · lots 25 on CSFloat: from 1 226.62 ₽ listings: 68 on CS.Money: ~ 1 302.00 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 343.12 ₽ listings: 71
at a loss
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo
Factory New
831.46 ₽ 10.00%
Steam M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New)net 723.01 you get 0.036400The Falchion Collection sells 147 a week sell now to a buy order: 810.89 ₽ (you get 705.12)) · buy orders: 15649 sell on Market.CSGO: 690.42 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 757.05 · lots 47 on CSFloat: from 635.58 ₽ listings: 532 on CS.Money: ~ 761.50 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 676.70 ₽ listings: 753
at a loss
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart
Factory New
496.65 ₽ 10.00%
Steam MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New)net 431.87 you get 0.035000The Falchion Collection sells 95 a week sell now to a buy order: 480.03 ₽ (you get 417.41)) · buy orders: 15545 sell on Market.CSGO: 374.92 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 411.10 · lots 33 on CSFloat: from 376.90 ₽ listings: 214 on CS.Money: ~ 395.74 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 381.18 ₽ listings: 256
at a loss
worst
Negev | Loudmouth
Field-Tested
96.61 ₽ 10.00%
Steam Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested)net 84.01 you get 0.175700The Falchion Collection sells 236 a week sell now to a buy order: 87.97 ₽ (you get 76.49)) · buy orders: 17976 sell on Market.CSGO: 69.02 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 75.69 · lots 32 on CSFloat: from 65.96 ₽ listings: 82 on CS.Money: ~ 68.53 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 70.24 ₽ listings: 128
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