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The Chroma 2 Collection + The Genesis Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +277.30₴

Invest 258.92₴

Average return 536.22₴

ROI +107.1%

Chance of profit 98%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 667.37₴ · profit at most −131.15₴ (at most -19.6%) · chance of profit at most 20%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 28.92 → 62.48 ₴

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear) × 9 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 230.00 → 604.89 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −130 ₴

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 2 Collection + The Genesis Collection

+277.30 ₴ +107.1% chance of profit 98%

expensive: StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation (Factory New) · 1 458.07 ₴ · chance 18%

profit on prices without salesat least −130 ₴

1× StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) buy 0.1000–0.1028
9× StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745

Variant 2 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Genesis Collection

+290.80 ₴ +125.6% chance of profit 98%

expensive: StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Factory New) · 1 000.01 ₴ · chance 18%

rare inputs

1× StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) buy 0.1000–0.1028
9× StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745

Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Chroma 2 Collection

+5 642.60 ₴ +421.2% chance of profit 52%

expensive: StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) · 24 263.20 ₴ · chance 13%

profit on prices without salesat least −1 261 ₴

6× StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
4× StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0839

Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Genesis Collection

+3 852.39 ₴ +198.4% chance of profit 54%

expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 26 120.27 ₴ · chance 18%

profit on prices without salesat least −1 711 ₴

1× StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) buy 0.1000–0.1033
9× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0847

Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Chroma 2 Collection

+3 832.40 ₴ +193.3% chance of profit 36%

expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 26 120.27 ₴ · chance 18%

profit on prices without salesat least −1 750 ₴

1× StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
9× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0860

Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Genesis Collection

+2 193.65 ₴ +23.0% chance of profit 47%

expensive: StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) · 24 263.20 ₴ · chance 23%

profit on prices without salesat least −9 513 ₴

1× StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) buy 0.1000–0.1025
2× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Origami (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
6× StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0225
1 more

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1028

28.92 ₴

at 28.92

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

230.00 ₴

at 25.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 258.92 ₴ +277.30 (+107.1%)

profit on prices without sales at least −133 ₴

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1038

115.70 ₴

at 28.92

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

12.05 ₴

at 12.05

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

127.78 ₴

at 25.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 255.53 ₴ +218.72 (+85.6%)

profit on prices without sales at least −131 ₴

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6

StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1035

173.55 ₴

at 28.92

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1665

24.10 ₴

at 12.05

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

51.11 ₴

at 25.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 248.76 ₴ +184.16 (+74.0%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 2%
About break-even 2%

in profit

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes

Factory New

349.68 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation

Factory New

1 676.78 ₴ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight

Factory New

402.65 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular

Factory New

380.94 ₴ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum

Factory New

391.98 ₴ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Worm God

Factory New

425.37 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Pole Position

Factory New

300.09 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heat

Factory New

810.45 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix

Field-Tested

75.41 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +224.94 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +272.54 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 2 Collection and The Genesis Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1733038 · The Genesis Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 289.11₴ · invest 322.92₴
profit on prices without salesat least −143 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075599 instead of 0.074590
Craft 1732918 · The Genesis Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 275.60₴ · invest 287.12₴
profit on prices without salesat least −116 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.074590
Craft 1732471 · The Genesis Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 272.24₴ · invest 283.42₴
profit on prices without salesat least −144 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076609 instead of 0.074590
Craft 1720571 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 270.90₴ · invest 280.52₴
profit on prices without salesat least −113 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.074590
Craft 1732649 · The Genesis Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 270.35₴ · invest 293.48₴
profit on prices without salesat least −143 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.074590
Craft 1732417 · The Genesis Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 268.97₴ · invest 289.52₴
profit on prices without salesat least −155 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.074590
Craft 1717523 · The CS20 Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 265.08₴ · invest 267.72₴
profit on prices without salesat least −143 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076723 instead of 0.074590
Craft 1732673 · The Genesis Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 263.82₴ · invest 268.67₴
profit on prices without salesat least −127 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.074590
Craft 1721552 · The Chroma Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 263.52₴ · invest 298.12₴
profit on prices without salesat least −165 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.074590
Craft 1729964 · The Gallery Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 262.84₴ · invest 297.62₴
profit on prices without salesat least −140 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076832 instead of 0.074590
Craft 1722445 · The Clutch Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 262.07₴ · invest 260.97₴
profit on prices without salesat least −121 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076609 instead of 0.074590
Craft 1732970 · The Genesis Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 260.42₴ · invest 268.33₴
profit on prices without salesat least −127 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.074590

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma 2 Collection + The Genesis Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build