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The Chroma Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit +11.30$

Invest 28.09$

Average return 39.38$

ROI +40.2%

Chance of profit 50%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 68.44$ · profit at most −29.06$ (at most -42.5%) · chance of profit at most 33%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 21.14 → 52.21 $

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 0.97 → 2.10 $

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) × 4 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 5.98 → 14.14 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Chroma Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

+11.30 $ +40.2% chance of profit 50%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Cartel (Factory New) · 97.38 $ · chance 17%

sells slowly

5× StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1645
1× StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750
4× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044

Variant 2 The Fever Collection instead of The Chroma Collection

+15.38 $ +90.0% chance of profit 100%

expensive: StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Factory New) · 39.33 $ · chance 30%

sells slowly

1× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
7× StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
2× StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740

Variant 3 The Fever Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

+13.81 $ +57.5% chance of profit 100%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Cartel (Factory New) · 97.38 $ · chance 3.3%

sells slowly

1× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
7× StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
2× StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740

Variant 4 The Recoil Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

+13.34 $ +41.9% chance of profit 67%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Cartel (Factory New) · 97.38 $ · chance 17%

sells slowly

5× StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
1× StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
4× StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037

Variant 5 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

+12.97 $ +38.4% chance of profit 80%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Cartel (Factory New) · 97.38 $ · chance 13%

sells slowly

4× StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1643
6× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043

Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Chroma Collection

+11.70 $ +72.5% chance of profit 73%

expensive: StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker (Factory New) · 41.75 $ · chance 27%

sells slowly

2× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
2× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
6× StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

21.14 $

at 4.23

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

0.97 $

at 0.97

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

5.98 $

at 1.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 28.09 $ +11.30 (+40.2%)

10% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 10% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1723

12.68 $

at 4.23

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

4.85 $

at 0.97

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

2.99 $

at 1.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 20.52 $ +6.07 (+29.6%)

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1679

16.91 $

at 4.23

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

2.91 $

at 0.97

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

4.48 $

at 1.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24.30 $ +8.68 (+35.7%)

profit on prices without sales at least −0 $

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

4.23 $

at 4.23

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

0.76 $

at 0.76

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

7.76 $

at 0.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12.75 $ +1.06 (+8.3%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Cartel

Factory New

111.99 $ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King)

Factory New

92.01 $ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos

Factory New

42.13 $ 16.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

8.66 $ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Minimal Wear

8.89 $ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

8.05 $ 16.67%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +7.59 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +10.64 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build