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The Chroma Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +423.63₴

Invest 1 058.66₴

Average return 1 482.28₴

ROI +40.0%

Chance of profit 67%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 2 600.94₴ · profit at most −1 118.66₴ (at most -43.0%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) × 4 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 388.17 → 918.03 ₴

UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) × 6 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 670.48 → 1682.91 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −155 ₴

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Chroma Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

+423.63 ₴ +40.0% chance of profit 67%

expensive: M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New) · 2 558.59 ₴ · chance 13%

profit on prices without salesat least −155 ₴

4× Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
6× UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection

+1 217.84 ₴ +50.7% chance of profit 33%

expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 9 387.45 ₴ · chance 30%

sells slowly

1× Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039

Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Chroma Collection

+1 178.09 ₴ +46.4% chance of profit 90%

expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 4 140.99 ₴ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0057
9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766

Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection

+1 090.37 ₴ +40.5% chance of profit 90%

expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 4 140.99 ₴ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765

Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection

+957.00 ₴ +63.0% chance of profit 37%

expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 6 651.70 ₴ · chance 30%

sells slowly

1× Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
1× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
8× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616

Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection

+768.53 ₴ +37.4% chance of profit 97%

expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 2 929.77 ₴ · chance 90%

rare inputs

1× Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750
3× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

Desert Eagle | Naga

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

388.17 ₴

at 97.04

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Exposure

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

670.48 ₴

at 111.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 058.66 ₴ +423.63 (+40.0%)

profit on prices without sales at least −110 ₴

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

Desert Eagle | Naga

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

194.09 ₴

at 97.04

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Ziggy

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

226.21 ₴

at 75.40

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Exposure

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

558.73 ₴

at 111.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 979.03 ₴ +377.33 (+38.5%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 67%
Losing outcome 33%

in profit

PP-Bizon | High Roller

Factory New

1 367.68 ₴ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Leaded Glass

Factory New

2 218.36 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon

Minimal Wear

658.95 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Cartel

Factory New

2 514.24 ₴ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King)

Factory New

2 942.38 ₴ 13.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Muertos

Factory New

960.60 ₴ 13.33%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +224.08 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +346.21 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1721393 · The Chroma Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 474.27₴ · invest 734.01₴
sells slowly

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.163660
Craft 1721514 · The Chroma Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 426.82₴ · invest 1 091.23₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162269 instead of 0.163660
Craft 1721417 · The Chroma Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 410.35₴ · invest 697.89₴
sells slowly

Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163681 instead of 0.163660
Craft 1716289 · The Breakout Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 392.91₴ · invest 1 200.07₴
profit on prices without salesat least −34 ₴ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear), Nova | Koi (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 4; Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162049 instead of 0.163660
Craft 1721444 · The Chroma Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 391.78₴ · invest 855.05₴
sells slowly

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New); Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165131 instead of 0.163660
Craft 1721320 · The Chroma Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 369.47₴ · invest 809.09₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build