The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.

Average profit +408.29₴

Invest 790.35₴

Average return 1 198.64₴

ROI +51.7%

Chance of profit 48%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 2 012.79₴ · profit at most −814.15₴ (at most -40.5%) · chance of profit at most 22%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 45.29 → 97.82 ₴

G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 34.27 → 74.02 ₴

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 8 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 710.79 → 1840.94 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −370 ₴

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection

+408.29 ₴ +51.7% chance of profit 48%

expensive: M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New) · 3 295.33 ₴ · chance 22%

profit on prices without salesat least −370 ₴

1× XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
1× G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
8× UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

+1 164.01 ₴ +303.9% chance of profit 38%

expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 6 110.12 ₴ · chance 18%

sells slowly

1× XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053

Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

+454.58 ₴ +96.9% chance of profit 39%

expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 5 006.99 ₴ · chance 8.0%

rare inputs

6× XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
4× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630

Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

+268.83 ₴ +62.4% chance of profit 92%

expensive: Desert Eagle | Naga (Factory New) · 1 245.25 ₴ · chance 2.5%

rare inputs

1× XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
9× R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765

Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

+250.81 ₴ +113.5% chance of profit 64%

expensive: Desert Eagle | Naga (Factory New) · 1 245.25 ₴ · chance 2.5%

rare inputs

1× XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
2× P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
7× MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1618

Variant 6 The Mirage Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

+15 950.85 ₴ +154.8% chance of profit 90%

expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 29 117.09 ₴ · chance 90%

profit on prices without salesat least −10 291 ₴

1× XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

XM1014 | Quicksilver

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

45.29 ₴

at 45.29

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Murky

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

34.27 ₴

at 34.27

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

710.79 ₴

at 88.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 790.35 ₴ +408.29 (+51.7%)

profit on prices without sales at least −357 ₴

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

M249 | System Lock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

33.95 ₴

at 33.95

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Quicksilver

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

45.29 ₴

at 45.29

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

45.42 ₴

at 45.42

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

621.94 ₴

at 88.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 746.60 ₴ +376.11 (+50.4%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 48%
Losing outcome 52%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

449.78 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

3 789.63 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

1 307.13 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

316.46 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Naga

Factory New

1 432.04 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Urban Shock

Factory New

373.92 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Malachite

Factory New

301.89 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Serenity

Factory New

262.43 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +140.22 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +268.23 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 37 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

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profit on prices without salesat least −333 ₴ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −336 ₴ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −347 ₴ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −344 ₴ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −348 ₴ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −342 ₴ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −342 ₴ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −343 ₴ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −344 ₴ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −344 ₴ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −344 ₴ rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074389 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074389 instead of 0.074323
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profit on prices without salesat least −344 ₴ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074323
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profit on prices without salesat least −345 ₴ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074351 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074351 instead of 0.074323
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profit on prices without salesat least −352 ₴ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −346 ₴ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −347 ₴ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −347 ₴ rare inputs

SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074344 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074344 instead of 0.074323
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profit on prices without salesat least −347 ₴ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −348 ₴ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −349 ₴ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −349 ₴ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −350 ₴ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −350 ₴ rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New)
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profit on prices without salesat least −393 ₴ rare inputs

Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074323
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profit on prices without salesat least −358 ₴ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −391 ₴ rare inputs

Galil AR | Vandal (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074323
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profit on prices without salesat least −473 ₴ rare inputs

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075743 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075743 instead of 0.074323
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profit on prices without salesat least −364 ₴ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074361 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074361 instead of 0.074323
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profit on prices without salesat least −365 ₴ rare inputs

AUG | Signal Scanner (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074323
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profit on prices without salesat least −366 ₴ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074323
Craft 1740185 · The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 373.59₴ · invest 765.14₴
profit on prices without salesat least −368 ₴ rare inputs

MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074783 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074783 instead of 0.074323
Craft 1735746 · The Huntsman Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 373.11₴ · invest 813.35₴
profit on prices without salesat least −368 ₴ rare inputs

SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074002 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074002 instead of 0.074323
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profit on prices without salesat least −369 ₴ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074323
Craft 1741857 · The Safehouse Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 372.59₴ · invest 779.90₴
profit on prices without salesat least −369 ₴ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074323
Craft 1711672 · The Anubis Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 369.24₴ · invest 801.32₴
profit on prices without salesat least −407 ₴ rare inputs

Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074323

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build