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Crafts · The Danger Zone Collection

₴≈

The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +1 366.52₴

Invest 3 451.20₴

Average return 4 817.72₴

ROI +39.6%

Chance of profit 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 8 459.66₴ · profit at most −3 641.95₴ (at most -43.0%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 557.48 → 1204.16 ₴

P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 2337.39 → 6053.84 ₴

P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 556.32 → 1201.66 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

+1 366.52 ₴ +39.6% chance of profit 90%

expensive: AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) · 5 238.07 ₴ · chance 45%

float out of reach

1× UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
8× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1645
1× P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

+1 930.74 ₴ +65.6% chance of profit 95%

expensive: AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) · 5 238.07 ₴ · chance 45%

float out of reach

9× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1618
1× XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1618

Variant 3 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

+1 878.76 ₴ +60.1% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) · 5 238.07 ₴ · chance 45%

rare inputs

9× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
1× G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630

Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

+1 859.29 ₴ +58.8% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) · 5 238.07 ₴ · chance 45%

rare inputs

9× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1649
1× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045

Variant 5 The Fracture Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

+1 821.61 ₴ +61.8% chance of profit 90%

expensive: AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) · 5 238.07 ₴ · chance 45%

rare inputs

9× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1656
1× XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047

Variant 6 The Fever Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

+1 787.13 ₴ +53.1% chance of profit 90%

expensive: AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 7 443.94 ₴ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

557.48 ₴

at 557.48

Steam

×8

P90 | Deathgaze

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

2 337.39 ₴

at 292.17

Steam

×1

P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

556.32 ₴

at 556.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 451.20 ₴ +1 366.52 (+39.6%)

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

UMP-45 | Momentum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

1 073.71 ₴

at 268.43

Steam

×3

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

1 027.27 ₴

at 342.42

Steam

×3

P90 | Deathgaze

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1679

876.52 ₴

at 292.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 977.50 ₴ +279.07 (+9.4%)

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

UMP-45 | Momentum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

805.28 ₴

at 268.43

Steam

×3

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

1 027.27 ₴

at 342.42

Steam

×4

P90 | Deathgaze

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

1 168.69 ₴

at 292.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 001.25 ₴ +515.52 (+17.2%)

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

UMP-45 | Momentum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

268.43 ₴

at 268.43

Steam

×2

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

684.85 ₴

at 342.42

Steam

×6

P90 | Deathgaze

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

1 753.04 ₴

at 292.17

Steam

×1

P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

556.32 ₴

at 556.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 262.64 ₴ +1 034.69 (+31.7%)

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

UMP-45 | Momentum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

536.85 ₴

at 268.43

Steam

×3

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

1 027.27 ₴

at 342.42

Steam

×5

P90 | Deathgaze

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

1 460.87 ₴

at 292.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 025.00 ₴ +751.96 (+24.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Minimal Wear

6 023.78 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Minimal Wear

5 655.40 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

2 979.64 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

2 715.17 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +869.11 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 262.73 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1724940 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 1 447.00₴ · invest 3 379.06₴
rare inputs

P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166225 instead of 0.164514; P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075643 instead of 0.075048
Craft 1717292 · The CS20 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 1 416.82₴ · invest 3 455.35₴
rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164636 instead of 0.164514; P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075090 instead of 0.075048
Craft 1725699 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 1 368.68₴ · invest 3 859.45₴
rare inputs

P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.164514; P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076399 instead of 0.075048
Craft 1725678 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 1 333.86₴ · invest 3 754.82₴
rare inputs

Nova | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162694 instead of 0.164514; P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074415 instead of 0.075048

Market check at night · fresher — with «Check floats on Steam»

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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