The Danger Zone Collection
+ The Horizon Collection
StatTrak™
Classified → Covert
About the craftCraft 1724031 · ways to build: 5StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+1 523.12₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».4 589.18₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.6 112.30₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+33.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.45%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 11 372.89₴
· profit at most −5 260.59₴
(at most -46.3%) · chance of profit at most 0%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear) × 15% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.16399.86 → 863.71 ₴
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested) × 85% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.593395.98 → 8795.60 ₴
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear) × 15% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.16793.33 → 1713.59 ₴
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
profit on prices without salesIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −3 009 ₴Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −3 009 ₴: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear)
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly85% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.float out of reachThere are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
5% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0741
(0% of this wear's listings)
399.86 ₴
at 399.86
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074195f′ (normalized) 0.148390wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 16 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.1 d.
×8
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1620
(0% of this wear's listings)
3 395.98 ₴
at 424.50
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162061f′ (normalized) 0.202576wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 10 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
×1
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0741
(0% of this wear's listings)
793.33 ₴
at 793.33
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074195f′ (normalized) 0.105993wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 19 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs4 589.18 ₴
+1 523.12
(+33.2%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.187499900result 0.150000, 0.187500, 0.171875, 0.093750«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −2 812 ₴
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0746
(0% of this wear's listings)
399.86 ₴
at 399.86
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074609f′ (normalized) 0.149218wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 16 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.1 d.
×1
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0746
(6% of this wear's listings)
685.49 ₴
at 685.49
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074609f′ (normalized) 0.093261wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 22 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 983.44 ₴ · little data: 0.0 d.
×8
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1632
(0% of this wear's listings)
3 395.98 ₴
at 424.50
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163251f′ (normalized) 0.204064wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 10 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Set · 10 pcs4 481.34 ₴
+1 215.96
(+27.1%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.187499900result 0.150000, 0.187500, 0.171875, 0.093750«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −2 413 ₴
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×3
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0745
(0% of this wear's listings)
1 199.59 ₴
at 399.86
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074573f′ (normalized) 0.149147wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 16 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.1 d.
×7
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1631
(0% of this wear's listings)
2 971.49 ₴
at 424.50
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163149f′ (normalized) 0.203936wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 10 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Set · 10 pcs4 171.08 ₴
+1 111.22
(+26.6%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.187499900result 0.150000, 0.187500, 0.171875, 0.093750«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −2 222 ₴
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1631
(1% of this wear's listings)
322.00 ₴
at 322.00
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163149f′ (normalized) 0.203936wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 32 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.33 per day, cheapest usually 563.07 ₴
×3
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0745
(0% of this wear's listings)
1 199.59 ₴
at 399.86
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074573f′ (normalized) 0.149147wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 16 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.1 d.
×6
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1631
(0% of this wear's listings)
2 546.99 ₴
at 424.50
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163149f′ (normalized) 0.203936wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 10 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Set · 10 pcs4 068.58 ₴
+798.72
(+19.6%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.187499900result 0.150000, 0.187500, 0.171875, 0.093750«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −2 031 ₴
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×2
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1631
(1% of this wear's listings)
644.00 ₴
at 322.00
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163149f′ (normalized) 0.203936wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 32 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.33 per day, cheapest usually 563.07 ₴
×3
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0745
(0% of this wear's listings)
1 199.59 ₴
at 399.86
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074573f′ (normalized) 0.149147wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 16 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.1 d.
×5
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1631
(0% of this wear's listings)
2 122.49 ₴
at 424.50
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163149f′ (normalized) 0.203936wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 10 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Set · 10 pcs3 966.08 ₴
+486.21
(+12.3%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.187499900result 0.171875, 0.093750, 0.150000, 0.187500«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 7 693.31 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 8 435.65 · lots 23
on CSFloat: from 7 150.07 ₴listings: 75
on CS.Money: ~ 7 437.78 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 7 475.49 ₴listings: 63
at a loss
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red
Field-Tested
3 431.66 ₴45.00%
SteamStatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested)net 2984.06you get 0.187500The Horizon Collectionsells 9 a weeksell now to a buy order: 3 368.15 ₴
(you get 2 928.82)) · buy orders: 405
sell on Market.CSGO: 2 651.39 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 2 907.23 · lots 23
on CSFloat: from 2 717.75 ₴listings: 26
on CS.Money: ~ 2 934.09 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 2 763.08 ₴listings: 50
at a loss
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov
Field-Tested
3 214.85 ₴5.00%
SteamStatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested)net 2795.52you get 0.171875sells 47 a weeksell now to a buy order: 3 315.53 ₴
(you get 2 883.07)) · buy orders: 926
sell on Market.CSGO: 2 778.40 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 3 046.50 · lots 69
on CSFloat: from 2 561.55 ₴listings: 97
on CS.Money: ~ 2 713.71 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 2 570.07 ₴listings: 108
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir
Minimal Wear
2 252.92 ₴5.00%
SteamStatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)net 1959.06you get 0.093750sells ≈18 a week — 6 of 7 days measuredsell now to a buy order: 3 546.02 ₴
(you get 3 083.49)) · buy orders: 534
sell on Market.CSGO: 3 071.89 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 3 368.30 · lots 19
on CSFloat: from 2 699.34 ₴listings: 57
on CS.Money: ~ 2 972.24 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 2 953.39 ₴listings: 57
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+705.32 ₴a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+1 212.23 ₴historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
Similar
4 crafts almost like this one
The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 1735214
· The Horizon Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 1 597.83₴
· invest 5 401.85₴
profit on prices without salesat least −4 059 ₴rare inputs
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163491 instead of 0.162061; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074692 instead of 0.074195
Craft 1735360
· The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 1 537.04₴
· invest 5 080.10₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 737 ₴float out of reachrare inputs
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162945 instead of 0.162061; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074502 instead of 0.074195
Craft 1731858
· The Gamma Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 1 485.96₴
· invest 4 972.68₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 630 ₴rare inputs
StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164832 instead of 0.162061; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075159 instead of 0.074195
Craft 1733185
· The Glove Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 1 464.03₴
· invest 4 957.02₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 068 ₴rare inputs
StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166574 instead of 0.162061; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075764 instead of 0.074195
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
