The Danger Zone Collection
+ The Revolution Collection
StatTrak™
Classified → Covert
About the craftCraft 1724397 · ways to build: 5StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+91 773.61₸
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».71 578.00₸
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.163 351.61₸
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+128.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.50%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 182 096.56₸
· profit at most −18 744.95₸
(at most -10.3%) · chance of profit at most 45%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear) × 17% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.164024.92 → 8693.84 ₸
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) × 87% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.5963925.78 → 165567.78 ₸
StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) × 17% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.163627.29 → 7834.95 ₸
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
profit on prices without salesIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −68 828 ₸Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −68 828 ₸: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New), StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New), StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New)
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly85% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.float out of reachThere are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
7% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0757
(0% of this wear's listings)
4 024.92 ₸
at 4 024.92
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075746f′ (normalized) 0.151493wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 16 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.1 d.
×8
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0050
(0% of this wear's listings)
63 925.78 ₸
at 7 990.72
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005028f′ (normalized) 0.010056wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 57 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
×1
StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0757
(0% of this wear's listings)
3 627.29 ₸
at 3 627.29
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075746f′ (normalized) 0.075746wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 58 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.9 d.
Set · 10 pcs71 578.00 ₸
+91 773.61
(+128.2%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.030769131result 0.070000, 0.015385, 0.030769, 0.024615«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −52 921 ₸
!
12% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 12% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0085
(0% of this wear's listings)
7 990.72 ₸
at 7 990.72
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008547f′ (normalized) 0.017095wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 57 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
×3
StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0797
(0% of this wear's listings)
10 881.87 ₸
at 3 627.29
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.079769f′ (normalized) 0.079769wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 58 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.9 d.
×6
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0085
(0% of this wear's listings)
58 801.52 ₸
at 9 800.25
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008547f′ (normalized) 0.008547wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.9 d.
Set · 10 pcs77 674.11 ₸
+3 340.73
(+4.3%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.030769131result 0.030769, 0.024615, 0.070000, 0.015385«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −53 862 ₸
!
11% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 11% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×2
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0078
(0% of this wear's listings)
15 981.45 ₸
at 7 990.72
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007860f′ (normalized) 0.015720wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 57 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
×3
StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0789
(0% of this wear's listings)
10 881.87 ₸
at 3 627.29
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.078983f′ (normalized) 0.078983wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 58 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.9 d.
×5
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0078
(0% of this wear's listings)
49 001.27 ₸
at 9 800.25
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007860f′ (normalized) 0.007860wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.9 d.
Set · 10 pcs75 864.58 ₸
+15 442.35
(+20.4%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.030769131result 0.030769, 0.024615, 0.070000, 0.015385«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −54 803 ₸
!
10% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 10% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×3
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0072
(0% of this wear's listings)
23 972.17 ₸
at 7 990.72
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007274f′ (normalized) 0.014549wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 57 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
×3
StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0783
(0% of this wear's listings)
10 881.87 ₸
at 3 627.29
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.078314f′ (normalized) 0.078314wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 58 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.9 d.
×4
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0072
(0% of this wear's listings)
39 201.01 ₸
at 9 800.25
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007274f′ (normalized) 0.007274wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.9 d.
Set · 10 pcs74 055.05 ₸
+27 543.97
(+37.2%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.030769131result 0.030769, 0.024615, 0.070000, 0.015385«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −55 744 ₸
!
10% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 10% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×4
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(0% of this wear's listings)
31 962.89 ₸
at 7 990.72
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006770f′ (normalized) 0.013541wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 57 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
×3
StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0777
(0% of this wear's listings)
10 881.87 ₸
at 3 627.29
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077737f′ (normalized) 0.077737wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 58 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.9 d.
×3
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(0% of this wear's listings)
29 400.76 ₸
at 9 800.25
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006770f′ (normalized) 0.006770wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.9 d.
Set · 10 pcs72 245.52 ₸
+39 645.59
(+54.9%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.030769131result 0.030769, 0.024615, 0.070000, 0.015385«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
4 outcomes
Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%
in profit
best
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov
Factory New
350 745.53 ₸45.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New)net 304996.13you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir
Factory New
48 634.96 ₸45.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New)net 42291.27you get 0.015385
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 47 162.31 ₸
(you get 41 010.65)) · buy orders: 547
at a loss
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot
Factory New
63 257.63 ₸5.00%
SteamStatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New)net 55006.61you get 0.030769The Revolution Collectionsells 3 a weeksell now to a buy order: 52 735.42 ₸
(you get 45 856.85)) · buy orders: 7569
sell now to a buy order: 87 293.88 ₸
(you get 75 907.67)) · buy orders: 4190
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+79 067.29 ₸a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+90 998.81 ₸historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
Similar
12 crafts almost like this one
The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 1719095
· The Chroma 2 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 96 090.01₸
· invest 74 866.09₸
profit on prices without salesat least −74 866 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075368 instead of 0.075746; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004697 instead of 0.005028
Craft 1723762
· The Danger Zone Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 94 518.49₸
· invest 73 504.62₸
profit on prices without salesat least −63 859 ₸rare inputs
Craft 1724548
· The Danger Zone Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 93 966.01₸
· invest 72 455.02₸
profit on prices without salesat least −72 455 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075254 instead of 0.075746; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004597 instead of 0.005028
Craft 1720308
· The Chroma 3 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 93 228.26₸
· invest 74 930.28₸
profit on prices without salesat least −74 930 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074438 instead of 0.075746; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.003883 instead of 0.005028
Craft 1723860
· The Danger Zone Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 93 194.90₸
· invest 74 380.53₸
profit on prices without salesat least −74 381 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074648 instead of 0.075746; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004067 instead of 0.005028
Craft 1723832
· The Danger Zone Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 92 208.87₸
· invest 75 306.08₸
profit on prices without salesat least −68 627 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074648 instead of 0.075746; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004067 instead of 0.005028
Craft 1716348
· The Breakout Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 92 109.41₸
· invest 79 331.58₸
profit on prices without salesat least −79 332 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1723973
· The Danger Zone Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 91 385.93₸
· invest 75 678.24₸
profit on prices without salesat least −75 678 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074289 instead of 0.075746; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.003753 instead of 0.005028
Craft 1724585
· The Danger Zone Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 91 076.60₸
· invest 76 986.55₸
profit on prices without salesat least −74 239 ₸rare inputs
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1724357
· The Danger Zone Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 90 711.59₸
· invest 72 708.77₸
profit on prices without salesat least −65 568 ₸rare inputs
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
