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The Danger Zone Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +29 141.46₽

Invest 24 820.05₽

Average return 53 961.51₽

ROI +117.4%

Chance of profit 75%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 61 305.52₽ · profit at most −7 344.01₽ (at most -12.0%) · chance of profit at most 50%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 7575.05 → 18710.37 ₽

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 17245.00 → 42595.15 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −24 820 ₽

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

+29 141.46 ₽ +117.4% chance of profit 75%

expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) · 86 732.37 ₽ · chance 25%

profit on prices without salesat least −24 820 ₽

5× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
5× StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1643

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

+33 202.92 ₽ +150.8% chance of profit 90%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 77 229.36 ₽ · chance 45%

marketplace price

1× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
2× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1622
7× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742

Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

+25 867.06 ₽ +148.3% chance of profit 65%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 117 438.99 ₽ · chance 15%

marketplace price

7× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
3× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764

Variant 4 The Fever Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

+9 937.68 ₽ +90.4% chance of profit 45%

expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 36 575.01 ₽ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
9× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765

Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

+4 193.62 ₽ +47.2% chance of profit 50%

expensive: StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) · 22 468.92 ₽ · chance 45%

sells slowly

1× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748
9× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748

Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

+1 251.21 ₽ +28.7% chance of profit 50%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) · 9 791.83 ₽ · chance 5.0%

rare inputs

1× StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
7× StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
2× StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0747

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

7 575.05 ₽

at 1 515.01

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

17 245.00 ₽

at 3 449.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24 820.05 ₽ +29 141.46 (+117.4%)

profit on prices without sales at least −17 422 ₽

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

12 120.08 ₽

at 1 515.01

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1669

1 853.38 ₽

at 1 853.38

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1669

3 449.00 ₽

at 3 449.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17 422.46 ₽ +23 915.45 (+137.3%)

profit on prices without sales at least −33 554 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

6 060.04 ₽

at 1 515.01

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

17 245.00 ₽

at 3 449.00

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

10 249.21 ₽

at 10 249.21

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 33 554.25 ₽ +24 615.13 (+73.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 75%
Losing outcome 25%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov

Factory New

66 499.99 ₽ 25.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

9 221.00 ₽ 25.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach

Factory New

99 742.23 ₽ 25.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Stalker

Factory New

72 759.74 ₽ 25.00%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +25 485.96 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +28 681.22 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build