Crafts · The Dead Hand Collection
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The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1724874 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +776.84₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 4 411.16₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 5 188.00₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +17.6%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 10 636.85₽ · profit at most −5 448.85₽ (at most -51.2%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred) × 7 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 2699.97 → 6884.92 ₽
P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) × 2 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 1115.18 → 2464.55 ₽
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 596.01 → 1287.38 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection
+776.84 ₽ +17.6% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AWP | Queen's Gambit (Field-Tested) · 5 447.75 ₽ · chance 45%
  • 7× P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred) buy 0.4500–0.4850
  • 2× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1646
  • 1× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0751
Variant 2 The Gamma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection
+4 211.79 ₽ +62.1% chance of profit 55%
expensive: M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New) · 20 949.72 ₽ · chance 5.0%
sells slowly float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 5 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
  • 1× SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0055
Variant 3 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection
+4 051.39 ₽ +66.6% chance of profit 95%
expensive: AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 14 206.16 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly
  • 9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
  • 1× Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
Variant 4 The Fracture Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection
+3 953.64 ₽ +66.2% chance of profit 95%
expensive: AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 14 206.16 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 19 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
  • 1× XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection
+3 868.70 ₽ +60.6% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 14 206.16 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 1× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0051
Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection
+3 833.09 ₽ +61.6% chance of profit 95%
expensive: AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 14 206.16 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly
  • 9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768
  • 1× P250 | Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit collecting: no data

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×7
P90 | Deathgaze
Battle-Scarred
buy 0.4500–0.4850
2 699.97 ₽
at 385.71
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.485079f′ (normalized) 0.485079wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 165
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 129 · from 326.36 ₽ (float 0.4584) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×2
P90 | Deathgaze
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1646
1 115.18 ₽
at 557.59
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164669f′ (normalized) 0.164669wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 281 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new ~0.24 per day, cheapest usually 1 191.47 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 100 · from 962.80 ₽ (float 0.1627) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0751
596.01 ₽
at 596.01
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075102f′ (normalized) 0.075102wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 213 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.9 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 265) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 4 411.16 ₽ +776.84 (+17.6%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.379999900 all outcomes come out at 0.380000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 5%
  • About break-even 5%
in profit
best
AWP | Queen's Gambit
Field-Tested
6 264.91 ₽ 45.00%
Steam AWP | Queen's Gambit (Field-Tested)net 5447.75 you get 0.380000 sells 154 a week sell now to a buy order: 5 275.57 ₽ (you get 4 587.45)) · buy orders: 1348
in profit
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
Field-Tested
5 917.71 ₽ 45.00%
Steam Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Field-Tested)net 5145.83 you get 0.380000 sells 94 a week sell now to a buy order: 5 301.39 ₽ (you get 4 609.90)) · buy orders: 2064 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 376.66 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 4 798.98 · lots 44 on CSFloat: from 4 012.23 ₽ listings: 128 on CS.Money: ~ 4 488.49 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 4 204.96 ₽ listings: 135
about break-even
AWP | Printstream
Field-Tested
4 968.54 ₽ 5.00%
Steam AWP | Printstream (Field-Tested)net 4320.47 you get 0.380000The Fever Collection sells 548 a week sell now to a buy order: 4 692.26 ₽ (you get 4 080.22)) · buy orders: 3907 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 556.77 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 899.97 · lots 394 on CSFloat: from 3 556.53 ₽ listings: 907 on CS.Money: ~ 3 904.30 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 605.35 ₽ listings: 797
at a loss
worst
FAMAS | Bad Trip
Field-Tested
4 711.90 ₽ 5.00%
Steam FAMAS | Bad Trip (Field-Tested)net 4097.30 you get 0.380000The Fever Collection sells 303 a week sell now to a buy order: 4 558.39 ₽ (you get 3 963.81)) · buy orders: 4658 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 532.44 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 873.29 · lots 112 on CSFloat: from 3 511.98 ₽ listings: 171 on CS.Money: ~ 3 719.28 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 718.42 ₽ listings: 224
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