Crafts · The Dead Hand Collection
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The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1725275 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +3 065.99₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 6 539.59₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 9 605.58₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +46.9%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 100%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 16 043.62₽ · profit at most −6 438.04₽ (at most -40.1%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 4460.72 → 11553.26 ₽
P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 1061.70 → 2293.27 ₽
Nova | Antique (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 1017.17 → 2197.09 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection
+3 065.99 ₽ +46.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) · 9 996.43 ₽ · chance 45%
rare inputs
  • 8× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1638
  • 1× P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748
  • 1× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection
+3 684.66 ₽ +65.6% chance of profit 95%
expensive: AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) · 9 996.43 ₽ · chance 45%
float out of reach
  • 9× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1618
  • 1× XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1618
Variant 3 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection
+3 585.47 ₽ +60.1% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) · 9 996.43 ₽ · chance 45%
rare inputs pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 9× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
  • 1× G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
Variant 4 The Fracture Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection
+3 476.39 ₽ +61.8% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) · 9 996.43 ₽ · chance 45%
rare inputs
  • 9× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1656
  • 1× XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
Variant 5 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection
+3 385.72 ₽ +59.0% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) · 9 996.43 ₽ · chance 45%
  • 9× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1658
  • 1× Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048
Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection
+3 368.40 ₽ +52.4% chance of profit 100%
expensive: M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) · 10 801.43 ₽ · chance 5.0%
rare inputs
  • 9× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1655
  • 1× SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×8
P90 | Deathgaze
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1638
4 460.72 ₽
at 557.59
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163885f′ (normalized) 0.163885wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 281 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new ~0.24 per day, cheapest usually 1 191.47 ₽
×1
P250 | Kintsugi
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0748
1 061.70 ₽
at 1 061.70
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074829f′ (normalized) 0.074829wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 279 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
×1
Nova | Antique
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0042
1 017.17 ₽
at 1 017.17
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004225f′ (normalized) 0.014086wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 60 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 6 296.43 ₽ · little data: 2.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 6 539.59 ₽ +3 065.99 (+46.9%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.139999900 result 0.140000, 0.140000, 0.070000, 0.294800 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 100%
  • Losing outcome 0%
in profit
best
AWP | Queen's Gambit
Minimal Wear
11 495.90 ₽ 45.00%
Steam AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear)net 9996.43 you get 0.140000 sells ≈71 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 10 502.37 ₽ (you get 9 132.49)) · buy orders: 1001
in profit
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
Minimal Wear
10 792.87 ₽ 45.00%
Steam Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear)net 9385.10 you get 0.140000 sells ≈40 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 10 508.11 ₽ (you get 9 137.48)) · buy orders: 3022 sell on Market.CSGO: 7 934.40 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 700.00 · lots 21 on CSFloat: from 7 709.23 ₽ listings: 85 on CS.Money: ~ 8 778.24 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 983.34 ₽ listings: 96
in profit
worst
AUG | Chameleon
Factory New
8 886.60 ₽ 5.00%
Steam AUG | Chameleon (Factory New)net 7727.48 you get 0.070000The Phoenix Collection sells 53 a week sell now to a buy order: 8 821.30 ₽ (you get 7 670.69)) · buy orders: 4230 sell on Market.CSGO: 7 582.36 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 314.00 · lots 18 on CSFloat: from 7 670.68 ₽ listings: 96 on CS.Money: ~ 7 594.45 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 380.30 ₽ listings: 69
in profit
AWP | Asiimov
Field-Tested
11 442.91 ₽ 5.00%
Steam AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested)net 9950.36 you get 0.294800The Phoenix Collection sells 88 a week sell now to a buy order: 11 151.66 ₽ (you get 9 697.09)) · buy orders: 6658 sell on Market.CSGO: 8 572.80 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 9 400.00 · lots 97 on CSFloat: from 8 291.71 ₽ listings: 783 on CS.Money: ~ 9 238.23 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 9 016.37 ₽ listings: 735
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