Crafts · The Dead Hand Collection
$≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.0117 $. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1725658 · ways to build: 5 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +255.41$
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 489.37$
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 744.78$
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +52.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 194.97$ · profit at most −450.19$ (at most -37.7%) · chance of profit at most 45%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New) × 1 13% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 38.27 → 82.66 $
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) × 3 13% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 79.80 → 180.36 $
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) × 6 13% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 371.30 → 931.95 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 1. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 45.0% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -361.55 $.

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection
+255.41 $ +52.2% chance of profit 45%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 1 371.02 $ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0093
  • 3× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0807
  • 6× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0093
Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+405.32 $ +153.5% chance of profit 100%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 901.60 $ · chance 45%
продажа ненадёжна marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1624
  • 9× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection
+382.17 $ +139.2% chance of profit 90%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 901.60 $ · chance 45%
продажа ненадёжна marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
  • 1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1631
  • 8× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
Variant 4 only The Vanguard Collection
+275.52 $ +53.7% chance of profit 50%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 1 371.02 $ · chance 50%
продажа ненадёжна marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 3× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0807
  • 7× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0093
Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection
+256.62 $ +48.2% chance of profit 50%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) · 1 496.81 $ · chance 5.0%
marketplace price sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0807
  • 7× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0093
  • 1× StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0807
Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection
+213.28 $ +39.8% chance of profit 50%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 1 371.02 $ · chance 45%
продажа ненадёжна marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0807
  • 7× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0093
  • 1× StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0807

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

13% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 13% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0093
38.27 $
at 38.27
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.009367f′ (normalized) 0.009367wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 24 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~3, new ~0.34 per day, cheapest usually 98.10 $ · little data: 3.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 5 of 59 · from 51.23 $ (float 0.0081) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0807
79.80 $
at 26.60
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.080705f′ (normalized) 0.080705wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 6 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 14) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×6
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0093
371.30 $
at 61.88
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.009367f′ (normalized) 0.009367wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 2 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 4) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 489.37 $ +255.41 (+52.2%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.030769131 result 0.070000, 0.018461, 0.030769, 0.030769 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel
Factory New
1 399.00 $ 45.00%
sell on CSFloat
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New)net 1371.02 you get 0.070000The Vanguard Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 1 399.00 $ listings 8 · you get 1 371.02 $ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 1 249.94 $ (you get 1 086.90)) · buy orders: 430 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 1 399.00 $ listings: 8 on Lis-Skins: from 1 583.18 $ listings: 9
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental
Factory New
236.88 $ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New)net 205.99 you get 0.018461The Vanguard Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 205.70 $ to your card cheapest lot 225.55 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 179.95 $ listings: 13 on Lis-Skins: from 181.92 $ listings: 13
at a loss
StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit
Factory New
427.98 $ 5.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New)net 372.16 you get 0.030769
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 359.90 $ (you get 312.95)) · buy orders: 351
at a loss
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
Factory New
380.02 $ 5.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New)net 330.45 you get 0.030769
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 285.05 $ (you get 247.87)) · buy orders: 525 sell on Market.CSGO: 261.01 $ to your card cheapest lot 286.20 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 227.89 $ listings: 21 on CS.Money: ~ 279.12 $ on Lis-Skins: from 242.86 $ listings: 26
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