Crafts · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1725778 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +534.18₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 495.59₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 1 029.77₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +107.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 100%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 248.05₴ · profit at most −218.28₴ (at most -17.5%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 35.15 → 75.92 ₴
P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 47.49 → 102.59 ₴
Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 412.95 → 1069.54 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection
+534.17 ₴ +107.8% chance of profit 100%
expensive: MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) · 1 087.06 ₴ · chance 30%
sells slowly
  • 1× G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1637
  • 1× P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1637
  • 8× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1637
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+1 427.81 ₴ +253.4% chance of profit 100%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 9 387.45 ₴ · chance 13%
sells slowly
  • 6× XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
+1 189.77 ₴ +78.1% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 9 387.45 ₴ · chance 20%
sells slowly
  • 4× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1635
  • 3× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1635
  • 3× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+1 186.53 ₴ +47.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 4 140.99 ₴ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
+1 145.55 ₴ +50.6% chance of profit 80%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 4 140.99 ₴ · chance 40%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1650
  • 8× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
+958.36 ₴ +68.9% chance of profit 30%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 6 651.70 ₴ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
  • 3× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
  • 6× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
G3SG1 | Dream Glade
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1637
35.15 ₴
at 35.15
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163747f′ (normalized) 0.163747wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 870 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
×1
P2000 | Handgun
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1637
47.49 ₴
at 47.49
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163747f′ (normalized) 0.163747wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 160 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×8
Negev | Loudmouth
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1637
412.95 ₴
at 51.62
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163747f′ (normalized) 0.046563wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 218 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 346.86 ₴ · little data: 1.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 495.59 ₴ +534.18 (+107.8%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.070000, 0.022400, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 100%
  • Losing outcome 0%
in profit
CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket
Factory New
1 208.15 ₴ 30.00%
Steam CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New)net 1050.57 you get 0.070000The Falchion Collection sells 7 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 108.85 ₴ (you get 964.22)) · buy orders: 693
in profit
best
MP7 | Nemesis
Factory New
1 250.12 ₴ 30.00%
Steam MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New)net 1087.06 you get 0.022400The Falchion Collection sells 34 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 247.15 ₴ (you get 1 084.47)) · buy orders: 2273
in profit
SG 553 | Cyrex
Factory New
1 192.56 ₴ 30.00%
price without deals
Steam SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New)net 1037.00 you get 0.070000The Falchion Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 1 182.01 ₴ (you get 1 027.83)) · buy orders: 1006
in profit
Dual Berettas | Melondrama
Factory New
897.33 ₴ 3.33%
Steam Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Factory New)net 780.29 you get 0.070000 sells 93 a week no buy orders
in profit
worst
FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement
Factory New
880.67 ₴ 3.33%
Steam FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New)net 765.80 you get 0.070000 sells ≈84 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 848.80 ₴ (you get 738.09)) · buy orders: 5387
in profit
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition
Factory New
891.47 ₴ 3.33%
Steam MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New)net 775.19 you get 0.070000 sells 82 a week sell now to a buy order: 872.85 ₴ (you get 759.00)) · buy orders: 5775
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