Crafts · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Mirage Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1726170 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +30 418.81₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 19 608.43₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 50 027.24₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +155.1%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 49 978.90₽ · profit at most +48.34₽ (at most +0.1%) · chance of profit at most 90%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 26.59 → 57.43 ₽
UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 1850.00 → 3996.00 ₽
MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 17731.84 → 45925.47 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −19 592 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −19 592 ₽: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Mirage Collection
+30 418.81 ₽ +155.1% chance of profit 90%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −19 592 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Mirage Collection
+2 199.31 ₽ +327.7% chance of profit 36%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%
sells slowly
  • 1× SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
  • 9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Mirage Collection
+734.88 ₽ +137.0% chance of profit 32%
expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 9 555.43 ₽ · chance 8.0%
rare inputs
  • 6× SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
  • 4× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1638
Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Mirage Collection
+490.94 ₽ +64.4% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AWP | Black Box (Factory New) · 2 128.47 ₽ · chance 30%
  • 1× SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
  • 9× R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766
Variant 5 only The Mirage Collection
+33 769.29 ₽ +154.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 100%
profit on prices without salesat least −21 798 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 9× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
+31 172.19 ₽ +151.8% chance of profit 95%
expensive: MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) · 55 567.61 ₽ · chance 90%
profit on prices without salesat least −20 534 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 8× MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
  • 1× XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
26.59 ₽
at 26.59
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003945f′ (normalized) 0.006921wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 1 831 · good ≈ 24
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 357 · from 113.07 ₽ (float 0.0022) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
UMP-45 | Blaze
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
1 850.00 ₽
at 1 850.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003945f′ (normalized) 0.049312wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 91 · good ≈ 7
on the market with this float, usually ~7, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 5 000.00 ₽ · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 5 of 396 · from 1 846.79 ₽ (float 0.0037) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×8
MAC-10 | Amber Fade
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
17 731.84 ₽
at 2 216.48
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003945f′ (normalized) 0.009862wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 37 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 62) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 19 608.43 ₽ +30 418.81 (+155.1%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.070000, 0.009054, 0.013513, 0.009459, 0.010270, 0.006757 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
MAG-7 | Bulldozer
Factory New
63 902.75 ₽ 90.00%
price without deals
Steam MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New)net 55567.61 you get 0.070000The Mirage Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 17 403.55 ₽ (you get 15 133.52)) · buy orders: 202 sell on Market.CSGO: 19 942.84 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 21 867.16 · lots 4 CSFloat: price does not match Steam — not shown CS.Money: price does not match Steam — not shown Lis-Skins: price does not match Steam — not shown
at a loss
PP-Bizon | Space Cat
Factory New
149.06 ₽ 2.00%
Steam PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Factory New)net 129.62 you get 0.009054 sells 680 a week sell now to a buy order: 151.09 ₽ (you get 131.38)) · buy orders: 19565 sell on Market.CSGO: 116.13 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 127.34 · lots 107 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 108.79 ₽ listings: 365 on CS.Money: ~ 107.93 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 118.21 ₽ listings: 459
at a loss
G3SG1 | Dream Glade
Factory New
299.83 ₽ 2.00%
Steam G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Factory New)net 260.72 you get 0.013513 sells ≈166 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 311.73 ₽ (you get 271.06)) · buy orders: 13771 sell on Market.CSGO: 266.34 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 292.05 · lots 24 on CSFloat: from 228.71 ₽ listings: 224 on CS.Money: ~ 240.70 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 238.99 ₽ listings: 116
at a loss
M4A1-S | Night Terror
Factory New
177.33 ₽ 2.00%
Steam M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New)net 154.20 you get 0.009459 sells 1094 a week sell now to a buy order: 181.69 ₽ (you get 157.99)) · buy orders: 25671 sell on Market.CSGO: 140.66 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 154.24 · lots 174 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 131.06 ₽ listings: 677 on CS.Money: ~ 136.20 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 149.05 ₽ listings: 651
at a loss
USP-S | Ticket to Hell
Factory New
206.19 ₽ 2.00%
Steam USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Factory New)net 179.30 you get 0.010270 sells 831 a week sell now to a buy order: 206.55 ₽ (you get 179.60)) · buy orders: 25294 sell on Market.CSGO: 168.14 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 184.37 · lots 203 on CSFloat: from 158.47 ₽ listings: 615 on CS.Money: ~ 160.18 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 161.04 ₽ listings: 519
at a loss
worst
XM1014 | Zombie Offensive
Factory New
110.00 ₽ 2.00%
Steam XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New)net 95.65 you get 0.006757 sells 1305 a week sell now to a buy order: 107.10 ₽ (you get 93.13)) · buy orders: 15502 sell on Market.CSGO: 81.02 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 88.84 · lots 194 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 78.81 ₽ listings: 312 on CS.Money: ~ 73.67 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 77.95 ₽ listings: 313
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