Crafts · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1726261 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 526.31₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 10 309.78₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 11 836.09₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +14.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 80%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 26 098.57₽ · profit at most −14 262.48₽ (at most -54.6%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 646.93 → 1397.37 ₽
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 757.17 → 1635.49 ₽
Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 8905.68 → 23065.71 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection
+1 526.31 ₽ +14.8% chance of profit 80%
expensive: AK-47 | B the Monster (Minimal Wear) · 13 205.51 ₽ · chance 80%
rare inputs
  • 1× MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
  • 1× MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0747
  • 8× Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
Variant 2 The Fever Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection
+3 179.47 ₽ +44.9% chance of profit 55%
expensive: AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 14 206.16 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 10 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
  • 9× UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
Variant 3 The Genesis Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection
+2 230.96 ₽ +38.7% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AK-47 | The Oligarch (Minimal Wear) · 9 724.13 ₽ · chance 40%
  • 2× MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
  • 8× Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1683
Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection
+2 174.47 ₽ +35.2% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AK-47 | Nightwish (Factory New) · 9 595.17 ₽ · chance 5.0%
sells slowly
  • 1× MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0769
  • 8× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0769
  • 1× AWP | Duality (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0060
Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection
+1 944.61 ₽ +22.2% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) · 12 264.92 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 13 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0771
  • 2× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1705
  • 7× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0771
Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
+1 847.35 ₽ +17.4% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | B the Monster (Minimal Wear) · 13 205.51 ₽ · chance 90%
float out of reach rare inputs The rarest input sells 8 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1627
  • 1× XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1627

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1636
646.93 ₽
at 646.93
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163658f′ (normalized) 0.163658wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 627 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 479 · from 544.79 ₽ (float 0.1617) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0747
757.17 ₽
at 757.17
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074750f′ (normalized) 0.074750wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 286 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 486) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×8
Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1636
8 905.68 ₽
at 1 113.21
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163658f′ (normalized) 0.204573wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 208 · good ≈ 4
on the market with this float, usually ~4, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 1 629.65 ₽ · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 13 of 279 · from 1 583.82 ₽ (float 0.1544) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 10 309.78 ₽ +1 526.31 (+14.8%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.187499900 result 0.150000, 0.187500, 0.150000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 3 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 80%
  • Losing outcome 20%
in profit
best
AK-47 | B the Monster
Minimal Wear
15 186.34 ₽ 80.00%
Steam AK-47 | B the Monster (Minimal Wear)net 13205.51 you get 0.150000The Overpass 2024 Collection sells 23 a week sell now to a buy order: 14 322.55 ₽ (you get 12 454.39)) · buy orders: 1244 sell on Market.CSGO: 11 864.12 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 13 008.91 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 10 851.17 ₽ listings: 278 on CS.Money: ~ 11 916.76 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 11 267.47 ₽ listings: 363
at a loss
worst
AK-47 | Nightwish
Field-Tested
7 211.28 ₽ 10.00%
Steam AK-47 | Nightwish (Field-Tested)net 6270.68 you get 0.187500 sells 533 a week sell now to a buy order: 6 642.04 ₽ (you get 5 775.68)) · buy orders: 8731 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 095.34 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 587.00 · lots 274 on CSFloat: from 4 869.66 ₽ listings: 410 on CS.Money: ~ 5 218.29 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 255.13 ₽ listings: 533
at a loss
MP9 | Starlight Protector
Minimal Wear
7 413.06 ₽ 10.00%
Steam MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear)net 6446.14 you get 0.150000 sells 333 a week sell now to a buy order: 6 881.10 ₽ (you get 5 983.56)) · buy orders: 4774 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 430.61 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 954.62 · lots 46 on CSFloat: from 5 299.67 ₽ listings: 151 on CS.Money: ~ 5 704.83 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 492.40 ₽ listings: 143
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