The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.

Average profit +469.02₽

Invest 1 460.61₽

Average return 1 929.63₽

ROI +32.1%

Chance of profit 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 3 649.34₽ · profit at most −1 719.71₽ (at most -47.1%) · chance of profit at most 22%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 13.16 → 28.43 ₽

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) × 2 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 206.14 → 455.57 ₽

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) × 7 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 1241.31 → 3165.34 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −374 ₽

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection

+469.02 ₽ +32.1% chance of profit 45%

expensive: StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Basilisk (Factory New) · 3 931.63 ₽ · chance 22%

profit on prices without salesat least −374 ₽

1× StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0746
2× StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1632
7× StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

+10 910.30 ₽ +564.5% chance of profit 40%

expensive: StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) · 46 304.35 ₽ · chance 13%

profit on prices without salesat least −1 777 ₽

6× StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
4× StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0836

Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

+7 380.34 ₽ +193.1% chance of profit 38%

expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 49 848.43 ₽ · chance 18%

profit on prices without salesat least −3 285 ₽

1× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
9× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0839

Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

+7 337.46 ₽ +199.4% chance of profit 54%

expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 49 848.43 ₽ · chance 18%

profit on prices without salesat least −3 234 ₽

1× StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
9× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0859

Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

+4 296.61 ₽ +23.2% chance of profit 47%

expensive: StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) · 46 304.35 ₽ · chance 23%

profit on prices without salesat least −18 187 ₽

2× StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
1× StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
6× StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0225
1 more

Variant 6 The Falchion Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

+835.61 ₽ +78.1% chance of profit 54%

expensive: StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Minimal Wear) · 6 202.32 ₽ · chance 18%

profit on prices without salesat least −522 ₽

1× StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
2× StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0746
7× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

13.16 ₽

at 13.16

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

206.14 ₽

at 103.07

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

1 241.31 ₽

at 177.33

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 460.61 ₽ +469.02 (+32.1%)

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr.

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

32.74 ₽

at 16.37

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

172.86 ₽

at 28.81

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1677

206.14 ₽

at 103.07

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 411.74 ₽ +218.89 (+53.2%)

profit on prices without sales at least −12 ₽

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×7

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

201.67 ₽

at 28.81

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

206.14 ₽

at 103.07

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

139.20 ₽

at 139.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 547.01 ₽ +269.19 (+49.2%)

profit on prices without sales at least −317 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

13.16 ₽

at 13.16

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

28.81 ₽

at 28.81

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

206.14 ₽

at 103.07

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

1 063.98 ₽

at 177.33

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 312.09 ₽ +431.97 (+32.9%)

profit on prices without sales at least −138 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr.

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

32.74 ₽

at 16.37

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

86.43 ₽

at 28.81

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

206.14 ₽

at 103.07

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

531.99 ₽

at 177.33

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 857.30 ₽ +330.04 (+38.5%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

900.00 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

3 079.01 ₽ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

4 521.38 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

1 229.52 ₽ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Factory New

175.95 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Factory New

329.03 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror

Factory New

394.06 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Factory New

477.03 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

115.98 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +162.13 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +404.87 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1723221 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 475.69₽ · invest 1 469.68₽
profit on prices without salesat least −367 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164248 instead of 0.163269; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New): float at most 0.004336 instead of 0.004038
Craft 1729784 · The Fracture Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 474.85₽ · invest 1 463.84₽
profit on prices without salesat least −376 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1742757 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 474.36₽ · invest 1 481.92₽
profit on prices without salesat least −376 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Zander (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162381 instead of 0.163269; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New): float at most 0.003768 instead of 0.004038
Craft 1728012 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 472.51₽ · invest 1 519.36₽
profit on prices without salesat least −397 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1740874 · The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 471.56₽ · invest 1 464.24₽
profit on prices without salesat least −371 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165634 instead of 0.163269; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New): float at most 0.004758 instead of 0.004038
Craft 1741230 · The Revolution Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 469.37₽ · invest 1 464.78₽
profit on prices without salesat least −382 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164072 instead of 0.163269; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New): float at most 0.004282 instead of 0.004038
Craft 1720096 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 467.88₽ · invest 1 502.65₽
profit on prices without salesat least −421 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168335 instead of 0.163269; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New): float at most 0.005580 instead of 0.004038
Craft 1724661 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 463.39₽ · invest 1 474.98₽
profit on prices without salesat least −380 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168817 instead of 0.163269; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New): float at most 0.005727 instead of 0.004038

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build