Crafts · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1726772 · ways to build: 5 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +4 664.16₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 25 805.76₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 30 469.92₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +18.1%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 65 491.02₽ · profit at most −35 021.10₽ (at most -53.5%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 750.00 → 1620.00 ₽
StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Battle-Scarred) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 2380.00 → 5140.80 ₽
StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 22675.76 → 58730.22 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −25 204 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −25 204 ₽: StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Minimal Wear)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection
+4 664.16 ₽ +18.1% chance of profit 45%
expensive: StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) · 56 984.14 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −25 204 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750
  • 1× StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Battle-Scarred) buy 0.4500–0.4845
  • 8× StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1644
Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection
+33 449.78 ₽ +152.1% chance of profit 90%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 77 229.36 ₽ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
  • 1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1631
  • 8× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
+32 893.15 ₽ +132.5% chance of profit 95%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 77 229.36 ₽ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1624
  • 9× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection
+21 526.71 ₽ +53.3% chance of profit 45%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 117 438.99 ₽ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0093
  • 3× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0807
  • 6× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0093
Variant 5 The Fever Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection
+9 941.72 ₽ +88.7% chance of profit 50%
expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 36 575.01 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
  • 9× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection
+4 492.66 ₽ +52.8% chance of profit 50%
expensive: StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) · 22 468.92 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 2× StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 7× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0750
750.00 ₽
at 750.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075020f′ (normalized) 0.075020wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 57 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
×1
StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi
Battle-Scarred
buy 0.4500–0.4845
2 380.00 ₽
at 2 380.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.484513f′ (normalized) 0.484513wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
×8
StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1644
22 675.76 ₽
at 2 834.47
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164433f′ (normalized) 0.164433wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 14 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
Set · 10 pcs 25 805.76 ₽ +4 664.16 (+18.1%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.187499900 result 0.333750, 0.075000, 0.187500, 0.150000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov
Field-Tested
65 531.76 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested)net 56984.14 you get 0.333750The Winter Offensive Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 48 699.34 ₽ (you get 42 347.25)) · buy orders: 780 sell on Market.CSGO: 39 373.17 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 43 172.34 · lots 11 on CSFloat: from 40 922.31 ₽ listings: 38 on CS.Money: ~ 45 923.89 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 41 449.96 ₽ listings: 55
at a loss
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken
Minimal Wear
10 797.03 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Minimal Wear)net 9388.72 you get 0.075000The Winter Offensive Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 227.03 ₽ (you get 5 414.80)) · buy orders: 300 sell on Market.CSGO: 7 610.17 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 344.49 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 6 938.31 ₽ listings: 6 on CS.Money: ~ 6 623.94 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 6 524.58 ₽ listings: 13
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish
Field-Tested
6 922.96 ₽ 5.00%
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Field-Tested)net 6019.97 you get 0.187500 sells 128 a week sell now to a buy order: 5 831.15 ₽ (you get 5 070.56)) · buy orders: 1313 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 676.48 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 127.73 · lots 27 on CSFloat: from 4 477.35 ₽ listings: 69 on CS.Money: ~ 5 000.72 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 4 615.26 ₽ listings: 116
at a loss
StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector
Minimal Wear
6 926.07 ₽ 5.00%
Steam StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear)net 6022.67 you get 0.150000 sells 94 a week sell now to a buy order: 6 814.16 ₽ (you get 5 925.35)) · buy orders: 1844 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 532.82 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 066.69 · lots 26 on CSFloat: from 5 255.98 ₽ listings: 40 on CS.Money: ~ 5 789.63 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 372.48 ₽ listings: 70
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