StatTrak™
Classified → Covert
About the craftCraft 1727198 · ways to build: 5StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+54 996.54₸
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».63 825.31₸
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.118 821.84₸
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+86.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.55%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 161 355.68₸
· profit at most −42 533.84₸
(at most -26.4%) · chance of profit at most 45%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) × 17% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.1613840.10 → 29894.63 ₸
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) × 97% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.6349985.20 → 131461.08 ₸
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
1× StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New)buy0.0000–0.0059
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
7% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0052
(0% of this wear's listings)
13 840.10 ₸
at 13 840.10
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005219f′ (normalized) 0.016311wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 14 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 39 · from 34 824.18 ₸ (float 0.0041) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×9
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0759
(0% of this wear's listings)
49 985.20 ₸
at 5 553.91
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075965f′ (normalized) 0.075965wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 18 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 83) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs63 825.31 ₸
+54 996.54
(+86.2%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900all outcomes come out at 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
7% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0759
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
7 384.01 ₸
at 7 384.01
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075965f′ (normalized) 0.075965wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 20 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 32) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0052
(0% of this wear's listings)
13 840.10 ₸
at 13 840.10
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005219f′ (normalized) 0.016311wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 14 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 39 · from 34 824.18 ₸ (float 0.0041) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×8
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0759
(0% of this wear's listings)
44 431.29 ₸
at 5 553.91
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075965f′ (normalized) 0.075965wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 18 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 83) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs65 655.41 ₸
+54 550.43
(+83.1%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900all outcomes come out at 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
7% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×2
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0759
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
14 768.02 ₸
at 7 384.01
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075965f′ (normalized) 0.075965wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 20 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 32) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0052
(0% of this wear's listings)
13 840.10 ₸
at 13 840.10
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005219f′ (normalized) 0.016311wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 14 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 39 · from 34 824.18 ₸ (float 0.0041) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×7
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0759
(0% of this wear's listings)
38 877.38 ₸
at 5 553.91
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075965f′ (normalized) 0.075965wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 18 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 83) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs67 485.51 ₸
+54 104.33
(+80.2%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900all outcomes come out at 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −11 443 ₸
!
7% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×3
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0759
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
22 152.04 ₸
at 7 384.01
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075965f′ (normalized) 0.075965wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 20 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 32) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0052
(0% of this wear's listings)
13 840.10 ₸
at 13 840.10
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005219f′ (normalized) 0.016311wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 14 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 39 · from 34 824.18 ₸ (float 0.0041) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×6
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0759
(0% of this wear's listings)
33 323.47 ₸
at 5 553.91
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075965f′ (normalized) 0.075965wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 18 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 83) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs69 315.61 ₸
+53 658.22
(+77.4%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900all outcomes come out at 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −45 869 ₸
!
7% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×6
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0759
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
44 304.07 ₸
at 7 384.01
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075965f′ (normalized) 0.075965wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 20 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 32) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0052
(0% of this wear's listings)
13 840.10 ₸
at 13 840.10
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005219f′ (normalized) 0.016311wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 14 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 39 · from 34 824.18 ₸ (float 0.0041) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0759
(0% of this wear's listings)
16 661.73 ₸
at 5 553.91
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075965f′ (normalized) 0.075965wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 18 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 83) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs74 805.91 ₸
+52 319.85
(+69.9%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900all outcomes come out at 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
4 outcomes
Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%
in profit
best
StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream
Factory New
221 846.64 ₸45.00%
SteamStatTrak™ AWP | Printstream (Factory New)net 192910.13you get 0.070000The Fever Collectionsells 2 a weeksell now to a buy order: 184 695.08 ₸
(you get 160 604.40)) · buy orders: 1670
sell on Market.CSGO: 164 560.28 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 180 438.93 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 137 850.98 ₸listings: 65
on CS.Money: ~ 151 196.93 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 155 041.68 ₸listings: 48
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip
Factory New
48 260.48 ₸45.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New)net 41965.63you get 0.070000The Fever Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 42 885.37 ₸
(you get 37 291.59)) · buy orders: 1426
sell on Market.CSGO: 34 651.61 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 37 995.19 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 34 336.25 ₸listings: 27
on CS.Money: ~ 37 028.92 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 36 834.67 ₸listings: 38
in profit
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge
Factory New
175 359.19 ₸5.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New)net 152486.25you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 148 598.35 ₸
(you get 129 215.94)) · buy orders: 647
sell on Market.CSGO: 124 033.08 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 136 001.21 · lots 12
on CSFloat: from 114 755.31 ₸listings: 48
on CS.Money: ~ 132 691.49 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 129 135.87 ₸listings: 48
in profit
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
126 579.60 ₸5.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New)net 110069.24you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 114 549.29 ₸
(you get 99 608.05)) · buy orders: 930
sell on Market.CSGO: 119 923.82 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 131 495.42 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 92 780.12 ₸listings: 25
on CS.Money: ~ 99 376.30 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 94 049.66 ₸listings: 32
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+35 934.91 ₸a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+48 857.70 ₸historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
Similar
16 crafts almost like this one
The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 1717403
· The CS20 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 57 493.15₸
· invest 57 485.46₸
sells slowlyrare inputs
StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.075965
Craft 1728440
· The Fever Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 56 449.11₸
· invest 58 665.44₸
sells slowlyrare inputs
StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076792 instead of 0.075965
Craft 1728159
· The Fever Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 56 005.33₸
· invest 55 327.82₸
sells slowlyrare inputs
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.075965
Craft 1728677
· The Fever Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 55 835.54₸
· invest 56 999.59₸
sells slowlyrare inputs
StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.075965
Craft 1720442
· The Chroma 3 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 54 483.82₸
· invest 63 089.48₸
sells slowlyrare inputs
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076905 instead of 0.075965
Craft 1722293
· The Clutch Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 54 472.61₸
· invest 56 080.16₸
sells slowlyrare inputs
StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076737 instead of 0.075965
Craft 1728323
· The Fever Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 54 218.64₸
· invest 62 260.30₸
sells slowlyrare inputs
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.075965
Craft 1716443
· The Breakout Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 54 094.52₸
· invest 66 761.23₸
sells slowlyrare inputs
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.075965
Craft 1728228
· The Fever Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 53 865.11₸
· invest 63 125.08₸
sells slowlyrare inputs
StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.075965
Craft 1728562
· The Fever Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 53 748.31₸
· invest 60 859.11₸
sells slowlyrare inputs
StatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.075965
Craft 1728706
· The Fever Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 52 980.91₸
· invest 59 785.46₸
sells slowlyrare inputs
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.075965
Craft 1728899
· The Fever Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 52 758.60₸
· invest 66 092.81₸
sells slowlyrare inputs
StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076609 instead of 0.075965
Craft 1728383
· The Fever Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 52 537.39₸
· invest 68 062.05₸
sells slowlyrare inputs
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.075965
Craft 1725815
· The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 52 436.33₸
· invest 59 138.92₸
sells slowlyrare inputs
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.075965
Craft 1723763
· The Danger Zone Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 52 415.01₸
· invest 57 975.92₸
sells slowlyrare inputs
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.075965
Craft 1728260
· The Fever Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 52 022.32₸
· invest 62 116.25₸
sells slowlyrare inputs
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.075965
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
