Crafts · The Falchion Collection
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₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1727322 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +725.74₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 887.84₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 1 613.58₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +81.7%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 73%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 2 260.29₴ · profit at most −646.71₴ (at most -28.6%) · chance of profit at most 27%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) × 2 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 103.24 → 228.15 ₴
Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) × 8 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 784.61 → 2032.13 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection
+725.74 ₴ +81.7% chance of profit 73%
expensive: M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) · 3 557.00 ₴ · chance 27%
rare inputs
  • 2× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1650
  • 8× Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+1 360.90 ₴ +111.8% chance of profit 47%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 9 387.45 ₴ · chance 13%
sells slowly цена ненадёжна Первые пять годных лотов отличаются в разы: дешёвый может оказаться единственным. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× P90 | Chopper (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1641
Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Gamma Collection
+1 189.77 ₴ +78.1% chance of profit 20%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 9 387.45 ₴ · chance 20%
sells slowly
  • 4× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1635
  • 3× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1635
  • 3× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+1 175.38 ₴ +45.3% chance of profit 93%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 4 140.99 ₴ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× P90 | Chopper (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766
Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Gamma Collection
+1 145.55 ₴ +50.6% chance of profit 80%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 4 140.99 ₴ · chance 40%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1650
  • 8× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Gamma Collection
+958.36 ₴ +68.9% chance of profit 30%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 6 651.70 ₴ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
  • 3× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623
  • 6× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1623

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2
Negev | Loudmouth
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1650
103.24 ₴
at 51.62
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165032f′ (normalized) 0.049084wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 218 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 346.86 ₴ · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 128) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×8
Sawed-Off | Limelight
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0752
784.61 ₴
at 98.08
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075228f′ (normalized) 0.075228wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 55 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 49) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 887.84 ₴ +725.74 (+81.7%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.044100, 0.070000, 0.031500, 0.070000, 0.022400, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 73%
  • Losing outcome 27%
in profit
P2000 | Imperial Dragon
Factory New
1 261.79 ₴ 26.67%
Steam P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New)net 1097.21 you get 0.044100The Gamma Collection sells 26 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 179.00 ₴ (you get 1 025.21)) · buy orders: 2727 sell on Market.CSGO: 978.22 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 1 072.61 · lots 56 on CSFloat: from 974.89 ₴ listings: 116 on CS.Money: ~ 1 018.87 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 1 044.46 ₴ listings: 167
in profit
best
M4A4 | Desolate Space
Factory New
4 090.55 ₴ 26.67%
Steam M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New)net 3557.00 you get 0.070000The Gamma Collection sells 37 a week sell now to a buy order: 4 354.24 ₴ (you get 3 786.30)) · buy orders: 2240 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 417.86 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 3 747.66 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 2 850.61 ₴ listings: 137 on CS.Money: ~ 3 196.66 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 3 101.95 ₴ listings: 197
at a loss
worst
SCAR-20 | Bloodsport
Factory New
693.52 ₴ 26.67%
Steam SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New)net 603.06 you get 0.031500The Gamma Collection sells 24 a week sell now to a buy order: 676.94 ₴ (you get 588.64)) · buy orders: 2482 sell on Market.CSGO: 566.32 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 620.97 · lots 25 on CSFloat: from 537.27 ₴ listings: 78 on CS.Money: ~ 557.02 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 574.97 ₴ listings: 139
in profit
CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket
Factory New
1 208.15 ₴ 6.67%
Steam CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New)net 1050.57 you get 0.070000 sells 7 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 108.85 ₴ (you get 964.22)) · buy orders: 693 sell on Market.CSGO: 974.42 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 1 068.44 · lots 20 on CSFloat: from 873.45 ₴ listings: 45 on CS.Money: ~ 908.46 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 907.11 ₴ listings: 45
in profit
MP7 | Nemesis
Factory New
1 250.12 ₴ 6.67%
Steam MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New)net 1087.06 you get 0.022400 sells 34 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 247.15 ₴ (you get 1 084.47)) · buy orders: 2273 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 041.60 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 1 142.11 · lots 43 on CSFloat: from 987.46 ₴ listings: 91 on CS.Money: ~ 1 027.40 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 984.76 ₴ listings: 112
in profit
SG 553 | Cyrex
Factory New
1 192.56 ₴ 6.67%
price without deals
Steam SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New)net 1037.00 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 1 182.01 ₴ (you get 1 027.83)) · buy orders: 1006 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 045.86 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 1 146.78 · lots 16 on CSFloat: from 936.29 ₴ listings: 66 on CS.Money: ~ 950.65 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 994.63 ₴ listings: 101
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