Crafts · The Falchion Collection
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The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1727363 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +754.37₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 808.26₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 1 562.63₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +93.3%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 36%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 974.10₽ · profit at most −411.47₽ (at most -20.8%) · chance of profit at most 16%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) × 6 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 431.46 → 1082.96 ₽
P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) × 4 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 376.80 → 891.13 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection
+754.37 ₽ +93.3% chance of profit 36%
expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 9 555.43 ₽ · chance 8.0%
rare inputs
  • 6× UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
  • 4× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1651
Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Glove Collection
+2 223.35 ₽ +310.3% chance of profit 42%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Directive (Factory New) · 11 660.68 ₽ · chance 18%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
  • 9× XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0054
Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+865.26 ₽ +97.4% chance of profit 72%
expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 9 555.43 ₽ · chance 8.0%
rare inputs
  • 4× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
  • 6× Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+851.90 ₽ +131.2% chance of profit 36%
expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 9 555.43 ₽ · chance 8.0%
rare inputs
  • 4× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
  • 6× Nova | Windblown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+833.74 ₽ +113.0% chance of profit 24%
expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 9 555.43 ₽ · chance 8.0%
rare inputs
  • 4× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
  • 6× Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+811.57 ₽ +104.0% chance of profit 44%
expensive: M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New) · 9 555.43 ₽ · chance 8.0%
rare inputs
  • 4× P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
  • 6× M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6
UMP-45 | Riot
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0046
431.46 ₽
at 71.91
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004605f′ (normalized) 0.006578wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 174 · good ≈ 10
on the market with this float, usually ~11, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 215.09 ₽ · little data: 2.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 174) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×4
P2000 | Turf
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1651
376.80 ₽
at 94.20
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165131f′ (normalized) 0.165131wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 164 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 70) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 808.26 ₽ +754.37 (+93.3%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.042000, 0.070000, 0.036400, 0.035000, 0.175700, 0.070000, 0.049000, 0.070000, 0.021000, 0.038500 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 10 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 36%
  • Losing outcome 64%
at a loss
FAMAS | Neural Net
Factory New
597.19 ₽ 12.00%
Steam FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New)net 519.30 you get 0.042000 sells 28 a week sell now to a buy order: 558.44 ₽ (you get 485.60)) · buy orders: 9026 sell on Market.CSGO: 452.72 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 496.41 · lots 88 on CSFloat: from 457.41 ₽ listings: 122 on CS.Money: ~ 471.12 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 460.84 ₽ listings: 275
in profit
P2000 | Handgun
Factory New
1 713.16 ₽ 12.00%
Steam P2000 | Handgun (Factory New)net 1489.70 you get 0.070000 sells 15 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 644.73 ₽ (you get 1 430.20)) · buy orders: 2687 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 418.66 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 555.55 · lots 25 on CSFloat: from 1 226.62 ₽ listings: 68 on CS.Money: ~ 1 302.00 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 343.12 ₽ listings: 71
at a loss
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo
Factory New
831.46 ₽ 12.00%
Steam M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New)net 723.01 you get 0.036400 sells 147 a week sell now to a buy order: 810.89 ₽ (you get 705.12)) · buy orders: 15649 sell on Market.CSGO: 690.42 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 757.05 · lots 47 on CSFloat: from 635.58 ₽ listings: 532 on CS.Money: ~ 761.50 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 676.70 ₽ listings: 753
at a loss
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart
Factory New
496.65 ₽ 12.00%
Steam MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New)net 431.87 you get 0.035000 sells 95 a week sell now to a buy order: 480.03 ₽ (you get 417.41)) · buy orders: 15545 sell on Market.CSGO: 374.92 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 411.10 · lots 33 on CSFloat: from 376.90 ₽ listings: 214 on CS.Money: ~ 395.74 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 381.18 ₽ listings: 256
at a loss
worst
Negev | Loudmouth
Field-Tested
96.61 ₽ 12.00%
Steam Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested)net 84.01 you get 0.175700 sells 236 a week sell now to a buy order: 87.97 ₽ (you get 76.49)) · buy orders: 17976 sell on Market.CSGO: 69.02 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 75.69 · lots 32 on CSFloat: from 65.96 ₽ listings: 82 on CS.Money: ~ 68.53 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 70.24 ₽ listings: 128
in profit
Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts
Factory New
1 994.84 ₽ 8.00%
price without deals
Steam Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Factory New)net 1734.64 you get 0.070000The Glove Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 1 552.07 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 701.84 · lots 53 on CSFloat: from 1 517.86 ₽ listings: 141 on CS.Money: ~ 1 552.13 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 542.70 ₽ listings: 121
at a loss
G3SG1 | Stinger
Factory New
699.88 ₽ 8.00%
Steam G3SG1 | Stinger (Factory New)net 608.59 you get 0.049000The Glove Collection sells 22 a week sell now to a buy order: 763.08 ₽ (you get 663.54)) · buy orders: 4741 sell on Market.CSGO: 651.80 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 714.70 · lots 26 on CSFloat: from 597.89 ₽ listings: 79 on CS.Money: ~ 600.46 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 640.72 ₽ listings: 62
in profit
best
M4A1-S | Flashback
Factory New
10 988.74 ₽ 8.00%
Steam M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New)net 9555.43 you get 0.070000The Glove Collection sells 51 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 9 529.98 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 10 449.55 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 8 563.24 ₽ listings: 54 on CS.Money: ~ 8 950.42 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 8 845.06 ₽ listings: 116
at a loss
Nova | Gila
Factory New
498.57 ₽ 8.00%
Steam Nova | Gila (Factory New)net 433.54 you get 0.021000The Glove Collection sells ≈54 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 530.71 ₽ (you get 461.48)) · buy orders: 7315 sell on Market.CSGO: 447.13 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 490.28 · lots 46 on CSFloat: from 456.56 ₽ listings: 113 on CS.Money: ~ 429.15 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 443.71 ₽ listings: 126
in profit
USP-S | Cyrex
Factory New
2 678.13 ₽ 8.00%
Steam USP-S | Cyrex (Factory New)net 2328.81 you get 0.038500The Glove Collection sells 200 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 672.69 ₽ (you get 2 324.07)) · buy orders: 40209 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 341.33 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 567.25 · lots 118 on CSFloat: from 2 194.56 ₽ listings: 339 on CS.Money: ~ 2 377.01 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 368.45 ₽ listings: 547
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