Crafts · The Falchion Collection
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The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1727440 · ways to build: 5 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +494.38₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 1 815.10₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 2 309.48₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +27.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 67%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 4 374.32₽ · profit at most −2 064.83₽ (at most -47.2%) · chance of profit at most 13%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) × 6 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 1145.94 → 2876.31 ₽
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 142.96 → 308.79 ₽
StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) × 3 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 526.20 → 1189.21 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −623 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −623 ₽: StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New), StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection
+494.38 ₽ +27.2% chance of profit 67%
expensive: StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) · 4 426.25 ₽ · chance 13%
profit on prices without salesat least −623 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 5 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1634
  • 1× StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1634
  • 3× StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1634
Variant 2 The Recoil Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+606.10 ₽ +34.2% chance of profit 50%
expensive: StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) · 4 426.25 ₽ · chance 17%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1622
  • 4× StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1622
  • 5× StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
Variant 3 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Horizon Collection
+538.71 ₽ +41.4% chance of profit 97%
expensive: StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) · 2 906.63 ₽ · chance 30%
rare inputs
  • 1× StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1643
  • 6× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750
  • 3× StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750
Variant 4 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+480.77 ₽ +28.9% chance of profit 27%
expensive: StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) · 4 426.25 ₽ · chance 27%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 5 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 8× StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1631
  • 1× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
  • 1× StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
Variant 5 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+471.48 ₽ +24.4% chance of profit 37%
expensive: StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) · 4 426.25 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1656
  • 1× StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Last Dive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection
+53 572.30 ₽ +94.4% chance of profit 90%
expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) · 139 259.75 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −9 439 ₽ marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 6× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
  • 3× StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6
StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1634
1 145.94 ₽
at 190.99
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163466f′ (normalized) 0.046012wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 6 130.90 ₽ · little data: 1.0 d.
×1
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1634
142.96 ₽
at 142.96
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163466f′ (normalized) 0.233523wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 41 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×3
StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1634
526.20 ₽
at 175.40
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163466f′ (normalized) 0.163466wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 32 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 1 815.10 ₽ +494.38 (+27.2%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.099999900 result 0.100000, 0.032000, 0.100000, 0.070000, 0.100000, 0.080000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 67%
  • Losing outcome 33%
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket
Minimal Wear
1 399.98 ₽ 20.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear)net 1217.37 you get 0.100000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 1 259.37 ₽ (you get 1 095.10)) · buy orders: 267 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 287.74 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 412.00 · lots 8 on CSFloat: from 1 284.87 ₽ listings: 12 on CS.Money: ~ 1 177.80 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 182.94 ₽ listings: 32
in profit
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis
Factory New
2 389.77 ₽ 20.00%
Steam StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New)net 2078.06 you get 0.032000 sells 10 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 279.67 ₽ (you get 1 982.32)) · buy orders: 585 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 960.39 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 149.56 · lots 15 on CSFloat: from 1 938.44 ₽ listings: 29 on CS.Money: ~ 1 845.08 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 010.40 ₽ listings: 39
in profit
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex
Minimal Wear
2 281.99 ₽ 20.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)net 1984.34 you get 0.100000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 1 490.78 ₽ (you get 1 296.33)) · buy orders: 567 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 347.57 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 477.60 · lots 30 on CSFloat: from 1 200.07 ₽ listings: 33 on CS.Money: ~ 1 295.15 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 381.67 ₽ listings: 70
in profit
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena
Factory New
4 118.27 ₽ 13.33%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New)net 3581.10 you get 0.070000The Horizon Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 2 613.40 ₽ (you get 2 272.52)) · buy orders: 909 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 938.61 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 222.17 · lots 7 on CSFloat: from 2 586.02 ₽ listings: 28 on CS.Money: ~ 2 645.12 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 748.77 ₽ listings: 48
in profit
best
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare
Minimal Wear
5 090.19 ₽ 13.33%
Steam StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear)net 4426.25 you get 0.100000The Horizon Collection sells 20 a week sell now to a buy order: 5 200.98 ₽ (you get 4 522.59)) · buy orders: 706 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 460.73 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 4 891.16 · lots 21 on CSFloat: from 3 995.09 ₽ listings: 52 on CS.Money: ~ 4 675.22 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 4 273.48 ₽ listings: 68
at a loss
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer
Minimal Wear
1 603.22 ₽ 13.33%
Steam StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear)net 1394.10 you get 0.080000The Horizon Collection sells 15 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 335.87 ₽ (you get 1 161.62)) · buy orders: 2212 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 280.44 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 404.00 · lots 13 on CSFloat: from 1 079.29 ₽ listings: 39 on CS.Money: ~ 1 128.12 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 222.34 ₽ listings: 31
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