Crafts · The Falchion Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1727604 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +546.31₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 5 316.94₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 5 863.25₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +10.3%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 80%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 13 491.19₴ · profit at most −7 627.95₴ (at most -56.5%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 237.45 → 512.90 ₴
SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 412.96 → 892.00 ₴
Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 4666.52 → 12086.29 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection
+546.30 ₴ +10.3% chance of profit 80%
expensive: AK-47 | B the Monster (Minimal Wear) · 6 919.61 ₴ · chance 80%
rare inputs
  • 1× SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
  • 1× SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0747
  • 8× Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+968.00 ₴ +17.4% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | B the Monster (Minimal Wear) · 6 919.61 ₴ · chance 90%
float out of reach rare inputs The rarest input sells 8 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1627
  • 1× XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1627
Variant 3 The Genesis Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection
+953.52 ₴ +29.6% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | The Oligarch (Minimal Wear) · 5 095.38 ₴ · chance 45%
rare inputs
  • 1× SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
  • 8× Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1683
  • 1× Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
Variant 4 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+910.74 ₴ +15.9% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | B the Monster (Minimal Wear) · 6 919.61 ₴ · chance 90%
rare inputs pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 9× Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
  • 1× G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection
+904.33 ₴ +19.6% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) · 6 426.74 ₴ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 9 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0771
  • 2× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1705
  • 7× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0771
Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
+896.55 ₴ +15.5% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | B the Monster (Minimal Wear) · 6 919.61 ₴ · chance 90%
rare inputs
  • 9× Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1652
  • 1× Nova | Antique (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
SG 553 | Cyrex
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1636
237.45 ₴
at 237.45
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163658f′ (normalized) 0.163658wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 96 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
SG 553 | Cyrex
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0747
412.96 ₴
at 412.96
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074750f′ (normalized) 0.074750wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 54 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
×8
Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1636
4 666.52 ₴
at 583.32
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163658f′ (normalized) 0.204573wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 208 · good ≈ 4
on the market with this float, usually ~4, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 853.93 ₴ · little data: 1.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 5 316.94 ₴ +546.31 (+10.3%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.187499900 result 0.150000, 0.187500, 0.187500 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 3 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 80%
  • Losing outcome 20%
in profit
best
AK-47 | B the Monster
Minimal Wear
7 957.55 ₴ 80.00%
Steam AK-47 | B the Monster (Minimal Wear)net 6919.61 you get 0.150000The Overpass 2024 Collection sells 23 a week sell now to a buy order: 7 504.93 ₴ (you get 6 526.02)) · buy orders: 1244
at a loss
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge
Field-Tested
1 997.99 ₴ 10.00%
Steam AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested)net 1737.38 you get 0.187500 sells 190 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 979.70 ₴ (you get 1 721.48)) · buy orders: 2763
at a loss
worst
AWP | Hyper Beast
Field-Tested
1 768.92 ₴ 10.00%
Steam AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)net 1538.19 you get 0.187500 sells 131 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 676.56 ₴ (you get 1 457.88)) · buy orders: 2586
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